Charlton Athletic vs Derby County preview

England flag 2026/2027 Championship, England
The Valley Sat, 15 Aug - 2:00 PM
Championship
KICKOFF : Sat, 15 Aug - 2:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Championship regular season of 2026/2027, Charlton Athletic welcome Derby County to The Valley for a standard league fixture. Charlton currently hold third place in the domestic table while Derby County occupy tenth. Power metrics favor the visitors with a score of 74.88 against the home side's 71.14, creating a 3.7-point advantage for Derby County as the stronger team. Both sides enter without recorded form data, each showing a form score of zero. Set piece details carry low confidence and rely on proxy information for both clubs. The encounter features no knockout elements and focuses purely on league points. Analytical preparation highlights positional differences alongside underlying team strengths.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Charlton Athletic occupy third place domestically while Derby County sit tenth.
  • Form: Neither side has recorded form data for the upcoming fixture.
  • Squad: Derby County hold a slight power advantage of 3.7 points over Charlton Athletic.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not specified in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data utilized for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores indicate Derby County at 74.88 compared to Charlton Athletic at 71.14.
  • Market: Baseline split: Charlton Athletic 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Derby County 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Charlton Athletic N. Jones
N. Jones
VS
Derby County J. Eustace
J. Eustace
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Swansea City Rank: 74 L
Hull City Rank: 77 W
Ipswich Town Rank: 81 L
Sheffield Wednesday Rank: 61 D
Preston North End Rank: 71 L
Watford Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sheffield United Rank: 76 L
Queens Park Rangers Rank: 70 W
Norwich City Rank: 77 L
Oxford United Rank: 70 W
Southampton Rank: 83 L
Stoke City Rank: 70 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.14
74.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Charlton Athletic
Derby County
Power Score
71.14
74.88
League Position
3
10
Global Rank
259
165

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Charlton Athletic Opponent-weighted form score
Derby County Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Charlton Athletic Derby County

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Charlton Athletic CHA Home
2 matches
Derby County DRB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:12:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
W. Mannion
25 W. Mannion
D. McNamara
20 D. McNamara
L. Jones
5 L. Jones
B. Koumetio
12 B. Koumetio
A. Bell
17 A. Bell
C. Coventry
6 C. Coventry
N. Chalobah
15 N. Chalobah
T. Campbell
7 T. Campbell
S. Carey
14 S. Carey
K. Ahearne-Grant
9 K. Ahearne-Grant
M. Godden
24 M. Godden
C. Taylor
18 C. Taylor
M. Clarke
5 M. Clarke
J. Ward
23 J. Ward
O. Fraulo
29 O. Fraulo
L. Travis
27 L. Travis
C. Taylor
33 C. Taylor
B. Clark
8 B. Clark
S. Szmodics
11 S. Szmodics
C. Morris
9 C. Morris

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 15, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Championship, England · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
The Valley
Capacity
27111
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ben Speedie
Daniel Leach
Thomas Cooke
Darren Drysdale

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ben Speedie

Starting XI

25
Will Mannion
Will Mannion Goalkeeper
7.23
24
Matty Godden
Matty Godden Centre Forward
6.6
6
Conor Coventry
Conor Coventry Defensive Midfield
6.72
12
Billy Koumetio
Billy Koumetio Left Back
6.83
14
Sonny Carey
Sonny Carey Attacking Midfield
6.89
5
Lloyd Jones
Lloyd Jones Right Back
7.12
20
Danny McNamara
Danny McNamara Right Back
6.53
17
Amari'i Bell
Amari'i Bell Left Back
6.77
15
Nathaniel Chalobah
Nathaniel Chalobah Defensive Midfield
6.66
7
Tyreece Campbell
Tyreece Campbell Right Wing
6.71
9
Karlan Grant
Karlan Grant Left Wing
6.69
Referee : Ben Speedie

Starting XI

1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
6.91
9
Carlton Morris
Carlton Morris Centre Forward
7.04
11
Sammie Szmodics
Sammie Szmodics Right Wing
6.75
6
Sondre Langås
Sondre Langås Right Back
6.84
18
Charlie Taylor
Charlie Taylor Left Back
6.66
23
Joe Ward
Joe Ward Right Back
7
27
Lewis Travis
Lewis Travis Defensive Midfield
6.98
29
Oscar Fraulo
Oscar Fraulo Defensive Midfield
6.64
33
Corey Blackett-Taylor
Corey Blackett-Taylor Left Wing
6.6
5
Matt Clarke
Matt Clarke Left Back
7.07
8
Bobby Clark
Bobby Clark Attacking Midfield
6.68

CONCLUSION

The matchup at The Valley pits a high-placed Charlton Athletic side against a Derby County team with greater underlying power strength. Positional standings suggest Charlton may seek to leverage home advantage while Derby aim to close the gap through superior metrics. Absence of recent form records leaves preparation centered on season-long indicators and power differentials. Low-confidence set piece data adds uncertainty to specialized phases. Overall the contest appears balanced yet tilted toward the visitors on structural grounds. Teams will likely emphasize controlled play and efficient chance creation to secure points in this Championship regular season encounter.