Chapecoense vs São Paulo preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena Condá
Serie A
ChapecoenseACF
1 0
São PauloSAO
Full Time
Round 24 Regular Season
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Chapecoense hosted São Paulo in a match that ended with a 1-0 home victory. The halftime score stood at 1-0 after Chapecoense scored early. São Paulo controlled 77 percent of possession and generated an xG of 3.11 while Chapecoense managed only 0.89. Despite the clear statistical dominance by the visitors the home side secured the win through resolute defending. No red cards were shown to either team. The stronger side according to pre-match assessment failed to convert its opportunities into goals. The outcome highlighted a notable gap between expected metrics and the actual result on the pitch.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Chapecoense 1-0 São Paulo. Chapecoense showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with performance indicators throughout.
  • xG alignment: The result did not align with xG values since the lower xG team prevailed.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match alignments despite the xG differential.
  • xG expectations: São Paulo held higher xG expectations at 3.11 versus Chapecoense at 0.89.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the flow or altered the final scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics faced no dismissal distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Klein
R. Klein
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. da Silva Alves
R. da Silva Alves
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Stanislau
M. Stanislau
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Mota Correia
B. Mota Correia
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Chapecoense R. dos Santos Lacerda
R. dos Santos Lacerda
VS
São Paulo D. Silvestre Júnior
D. Silvestre Júnior
0.35
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bahia Rank: 63 D
Coritiba Rank: 60 L
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 D
Santos Rank: 64 D
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Bahia Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Coritiba Rank: 59 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Santos Rank: 64 D
Flamengo Rank: 75 D
Athletico PR Rank: 65 L
Remo Rank: 57 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.33
61.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Power Score
48.33
61.68
League Position
20
13
Global Rank
757
485

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Chapecoense — Opponent-weighted form score
São Paulo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Chapecoense São Paulo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Chapecoense

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

São Paulo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Chapecoense ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy São Paulo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
61.96
34.35
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.35
61.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Chapecoense +2.27 Efficiency Index
vs
São Paulo -2.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Chapecoense
São Paulo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Chapecoense
vs
São Paulo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Chapecoense São Paulo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
20%
30%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18 vs -0.92
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Chapecoense São Paulo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
30%
20%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.92 vs -0.18
Chapecoense
São Paulo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Chapecoense
vs
São Paulo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Chapecoense São Paulo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Chapecoense 0.52
São Paulo 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Chapecoense São Paulo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Chapecoense 0.00
São Paulo 0.04
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SAO had peak pressure around 84'.
  • SAO started the game with stronger pressure.
ACF Pressure SAO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SAO reached the top pressure at 84' (91.08).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Chapecoense ACF Home
1 matches
São Paulo SAO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:21:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Condá
Capacity
21000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Rafael da Silva Alves
Michael Stanislau
Bruno Mota Correia

Statistics

Possession
ACF
30%
SAO
70%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 3
2 Shots 10
25 Dangerous attacks 89
23 Possession 77
7 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

74 Ball Safe 110
13 Goal Kicks 6
5 Goal Attempts 14
5 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 34
0 Hit Woodwork 1
14 Successful Headers 18
0 Injuries 1
7 Dribble Attempts 13
5 Successful Dribbles 8
71 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62

Attacking

66 Attacks 181
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

61 Long Passes 41
236 Passes 790
168 Successful Passes 708
71 Successful Passes Percentage 90
12 Key Passes 16
25 Successful Long Passes 27
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 66

Defensive

5 Saves 3
15 Tackles 8
12 Interceptions 5
41 Duels Won 50

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 36
5 Accurate Crosses 9

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

98
Anderson
Anderson Goalkeeper
8.38
3
Doma
Doma (C) Defender
6.87
5
Heitor
Heitor Defender
6.54
26
Everton
Everton
Defender65'
6.72
21
Kauan Faria
Kauan Faria Defender
7.61
91
Bruno Pacheco
Bruno Pacheco Defender
7.72
7
Marcinho
Marcinho Midfielder
6.18
27
Camilo
Camilo Midfielder
6.94
77
Dylan Borrero
Dylan Borrero Midfielder
6.75
31
Maurício Garcez
Maurício Garcez
Attacker58'
7.09
88
Yago Felipe
Yago Felipe Midfielder
6.94
12
Fernando
Fernando
Defender74'
6.56
9
Tulio Eduardo
Tulio Eduardo Attacker
7
29
Franco Rossi
Franco Rossi
Attacker74'
6.52
10
Giovanni Augusto
Giovanni Augusto Attacker
8.03
16
Bruno Matias
Bruno Matias
Midfielder74'
6.58
Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

23
Rafael
Rafael Goalkeeper
7.02
12
Iago
Iago Defender
7.78
19
Lucas Ramon
Lucas Ramon Defender
6.85
28
Newton
Newton
Midfielder65'
6.81
22
Domingos Duarte
Domingos Duarte Defender
7.66
35
Sabino
Sabino Defender
7.24
10
Luciano
Luciano Midfielder
7.17
29
Pablo Maia
Pablo Maia Midfielder
6.65
11
Ferreirinha
Ferreirinha
Attacker66'
6.91
37
Artur
Artur Midfielder
7.53
80
Cauly
Cauly Midfielder
7.21
46
Pedro Ferreira
Pedro Ferreira
Midfielder76'
6.46
94
Danielzinho
Danielzinho Midfielder
6.58
8
Marcos Antônio
Marcos Antônio
Midfielder46'
7.33
9
Jonathan Calleri
Jonathan Calleri (C) Attacker
6.58
43
Gustavo Santana
Gustavo Santana
Attacker31'
6.66

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Camilo
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
88'
76'
Event
Pedro Ferreira → Cauly
10th Substitution
Event
Fernando → Yago Felipe
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Bruno Matias  → Giovanni Augusto
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Franco Rossi → Tulio Eduardo
9th Substitution
74'
Event
Yago Felipe
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
74'
72'
Event
Luciano
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
Event
Ferreirinha → Pablo Maia
6th Substitution
Event
Everton → Heitor
4th Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Newton  → Lucas Ramon
5th Substitution
Event
Marcinho
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
62'
Event
Maurício Garcez  → Dylan Borrero
3rd Substitution
58'
46'
Event
Marcos Antônio → Danielzinho
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
31'
Event
Gustavo Santana → Jonathan Calleri 
1st Substitution
Event
Bruno Pacheco
Header / 1st Goal
26'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Franco Rossi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Camilo receives a yellow card.
78
Attempt Attempt
Newton takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
77
Attempt Attempt
Luciano da Rocha Neves takes a header shot but misses.
76
Attempt Attempt
Artur Victor Guimaraes takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Update Update
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira is on, and Cauly Oliveira Souza is off.
74
Substitution Substitution
Fernando Bueno is substituted off for Yago Felipe da Costa Rocha.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yago Felipe da Costa Rocha receives a yellow card.
74
Update Update
Bruno Matias dos Santos comes on for Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso.
74
Update Update
Franco Rossi is on, and Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira is off.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Luciano da Rocha Neves.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Anderson Silva Da Paixao.
70
Attempt Attempt
Artur Victor Guimaraes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
68
Attempt Attempt
Iago Amaral Borduchi takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Cauly Oliveira Souza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Update Update
Aldemir Dos Santos Ferreira is on, and Pablo Maia is off.
65
Update Update
On comes Newton, off goes Lucas Ramon Batista Silva.
64
Update Update
On for Everton, off goes Heitor Rodrigues da Fonseca.
62
Attempt Attempt
Luciano da Rocha Neves takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
62
Attempt Attempt
Heitor Rodrigues da Fonseca takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcinho receives a yellow card.
59
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Santana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Santana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
57
Update Update
Mauricio Garcez de Jesus comes on for Dylan Felipe Borrero Caicedo.
57
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Santana takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jose Sabino Chagas Monteiro takes a header, but the shot is blocked.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Update Update
Offside.
50
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Maia takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kauan Head Shot Saved
46
Update Update
Marcos Antonio Silva San is on, and Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Domingos Duarte takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Luciano da Rocha Neves takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Maia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Cauly Oliveira Souza takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Update Update
Offside.
31
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Gustavo Santana comes on for Jonathan Calleri.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Bruno de Jesus Pacheco Head Shot Goal
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bruno de Jesus Pacheco scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Giovanni Augusto Oliveira Cardoso.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Attempt Attempt
Cauly Oliveira Souza takes a right-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira takes a shot with his right foot, but it is blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Kauan takes a shot, but it's blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Yago Felipe da Costa Rocha takes a right-footed shot but misses.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Attempt Attempt
Heitor Rodrigues da Fonseca takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Tulio Eduardo Silva de Oliveira takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Update Update
Gustavo Santana comes on for Jonathan Calleri.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Rafael Rodrigo Klein.

CONCLUSION

Chapecoense claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over São Paulo despite trailing heavily in possession and expected goals. The home side scored once before halftime and maintained a compact defensive structure to preserve the lead. São Paulo created numerous chances yet could not find the net. This result underscores how clinical finishing and organization can overcome statistical disadvantages. Both teams finished with eleven players as no dismissals took place. The performance offers insights into the limits of possession dominance when conversion rates remain low. Overall the match demonstrated the unpredictable nature of outcomes even when one side controls most of the play.