Chapecoense vs São Paulo preview
2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena Condá
Round 24 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 23
Events
2ND-HALF
66'
6th Substitution
4th Substitution
65'
65'
5th Substitution
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
62'
Maurício Garcez → Dylan Borrero
3rd Substitution
58'
46'
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
31'
1st Substitution
Header / 1st Goal
26'
Statistics
Possession
ACF
34%
SAO
66%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
0
1
Big Chances Created
2
2
Shots
6
20
Dangerous attacks
54
28
Possession
72
6
Corners
3
3
Free kicks
10
1
Yellow Cards
0
Match Overview
8
Goal Kicks
4
2
Substitutions
4
12
Throwins
21
0
Hit Woodwork
1
8
Successful Headers
12
5
Dribble Attempts
8
4
Successful Dribbles
4
80
Successful Dribbles Percentage
50
Attacking
49
Attacks
124
0
Big Chances Missed
2
Possession
40
Long Passes
28
192
Passes
519
142
Successful Passes
457
74
Successful Passes Percentage
88
11
Key Passes
10
15
Successful Long Passes
19
38
Successful Long Passes Percentage
68
Defensive
3
Saves
3
12
Tackles
5
9
Interceptions
5
27
Duels Won
31
Build-up
15
Total Crosses
23
5
Accurate Crosses
5
Discipline
0
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
3
Lineup
Referee :
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Manager ▼
R. dos Santos Lacerda
Coach
Starting XI ▼
77
Dylan Borrero
Attacker
31
Maurício Garcez
Attacker58'
Substitutes ▼
80
Miguel Carvalho
Midfielder
Referee :
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Manager ▼
D. Silvestre Júnior
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
46
Pedro Ferreira
Midfielder
34
Tetê
Attacker
CONTEXT
Entering the second half at minute 45, Chapecoense faces São Paulo in a contest where the home side has established qualitative leadership against pre-match signals that positioned the visitors as the stronger side. Possession remains heavily tilted toward São Paulo with 71 percent control, allowing them to dictate tempo and create sustained pressure in advanced areas. Despite this, Chapecoense has generated meaningful chances that have shifted the live assessment in their favor. Expected goals stand at 0.51 for the home team and 1.44 for the away side, highlighting a clear divergence from structural expectations. No red cards have been shown to either side, preserving full squads and open tactical options. The pattern shows Chapecoense capitalizing on efficiency while São Paulo holds the majority of territory and creation metrics.
TL;DR
-
Live state: In the second half at minute 45 Chapecoense holds qualitative leadership over São Paulo.
-
Structural vs live: Live leadership by Chapecoense diverges from pre-match signals favoring São Paulo.
-
Projection vs live: Projection and live assessment maintain neutral alignment amid ongoing play.
-
xG trend: São Paulo leads xG at 1.44 against Chapecoense at 0.51 in line with efficiency signals.
-
Possession profile: São Paulo dominates possession at 71 percent compared to Chapecoense at 29 percent.
-
Event impact: Absence of red cards keeps both teams at full strength without major disruptions.
-
Second-half outlook: Chapecoense continues as live leader in the second half against pre-match expectations.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Klein
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.32
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
R. da Silva Alves
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Stanislau
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
B. Mota Correia
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
0.35
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bahia
Rank: 63
D
Coritiba
Rank: 60
L
Vasco da Gama
Rank: 61
D
Santos
Rank: 64
D
Flamengo
Rank: 76
L
Bahia
Rank: 62
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Coritiba
Rank: 59
D
Grêmio
Rank: 63
L
Santos
Rank: 64
D
Flamengo
Rank: 76
D
Athletico PR
Rank: 65
L
Remo
Rank: 57
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.67
62.8
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Power Score
47.67
62.8
League Position
20
13
Global Rank
798
461
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Chapecoense
—
Opponent-weighted form score
São Paulo
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Chapecoense São Paulo
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Chapecoense
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
São Paulo
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Chapecoense
vs
São Paulo
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
22%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.18
vs
-0.92
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
42%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.92
vs
-0.18
Chapecoense
São Paulo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Chapecoense
vs
São Paulo
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Chapecoense
0.00
São Paulo
0.00
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Chapecoense
0.00
São Paulo
0.00
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ACF had peak pressure around 28'.
- SAO started the game with stronger pressure.
ACF Pressure
SAO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
ACF reached the top pressure at 28' (74.57).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Chapecoense
ACF
Home
1
matches
São Paulo
SAO
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-08-23T19:30:22+00:00
PLAYERS CURRENTLY PLAYING
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
4-4-2
31 M. Garcez
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Condá
Capacity
21000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Rafael da Silva Alves
Michael Stanislau
Bruno Mota Correia
Next Match
Chapecoense
vs
Grêmio
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 30 Aug - 9:30 PM
Venue: Arena do Grêmio
São Paulo
vs
Bragantino
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 11:00 PM
Venue: Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
CONCLUSION
The second half at minute 45 shows Chapecoense sustaining qualitative control through opportunistic play even as São Paulo maintains superior possession and expected goals. This divergence from pre-match indications of visitor strength creates an intriguing dynamic where efficiency trumps territory. With no cards issued the match remains open for tactical adjustments by both coaches. Chapecoense must continue converting limited opportunities while São Paulo looks to translate their territorial advantage into clearer openings. The neutral projection alignment suggests the contest could swing further depending on how each side manages the remaining phases of play.
Match Commentary