Chapecoense vs Bahia preview
2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena Condá
Round 23 ·
Regular Season
|
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 28
CONTEXT
In a captivating encounter Chapecoense hosted Bahia and the match concluded in a 3-3 draw. The first half ended with Chapecoense at 1 and Bahia at 2. Bahia as the stronger team dominated possession at 66 percent while Chapecoense held 34 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.42 for the home side and 2.69 for the visitors creating a differential of minus 1.27. Both teams scored three goals apiece in a high scoring affair that featured no red cards. The outcome proved inconsistent with xG metrics yet remained aligned from a market perspective. Efficiency stayed in line with expectations despite the significant deviation recorded for Bahia. The game delivered end to end action and late drama.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Bahia recorded a significant deviation level of 100 percent.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout the match.
-
xG alignment: The draw outcome was not consistent with the xG metrics.
-
Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with market expectations.
-
xG expectations: Bahia held higher xG at 2.69 against 1.42 for Chapecoense.
-
Event impact: The 3-3 draw featured a halftime score of 1-2 and late goals.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
D. Simon Manis
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
B. Boschilia
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Ferreira de Moraes
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
0.32
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.37
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Coritiba
Rank: 60
L
Vasco da Gama
Rank: 61
D
Santos
Rank: 63
D
Flamengo
Rank: 75
L
Bahia
Rank: 63
L
Palmeiras
Rank: 75
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vasco da Gama
Rank: 63
D
Fluminense
Rank: 69
D
Corinthians
Rank: 68
D
Atlético Mineiro
Rank: 65
D
Chapecoense
Rank: 52
W
Botafogo
Rank: 66
W
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.51
62.74
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chapecoense
Bahia
Power Score
47.51
62.74
League Position
20
5
Global Rank
814
472
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Chapecoense
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Bahia
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Chapecoense Bahia
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Chapecoense
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Bahia
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Chapecoense
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Bahia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.41
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Chapecoense
+0.57
Efficiency Index
vs
Bahia
-0.57
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Chapecoense
Bahia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Chapecoense
vs
Bahia
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Chapecoense
Bahia
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
24%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.35
vs
-0.37
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Chapecoense
Bahia
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
51%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.37
vs
-0.35
Chapecoense
Bahia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Chapecoense
vs
Bahia
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Chapecoense
Bahia
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Chapecoense
0.35
Bahia
0.31
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Chapecoense
Bahia
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Chapecoense
0.05
Bahia
0.09
Chapecoense
Bahia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BAH had peak pressure around 68'.
- BAH started the game with stronger pressure.
ACF Pressure
BAH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
BAH reached the top pressure at 68' (72.33).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Chapecoense
ACF
Home
1
matches
Bahia
BAH
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0.63
xG
1.67
1.67
xGA
0.63
Data last updated: 2026-08-17T00:04:24+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
3-1-4-2
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Condá
Capacity
21000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis
Bruno Boschilia
Jefferson Ferreira de Moraes
Next Match
Chapecoense
vs
São Paulo
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 23 Aug - 9:30 PM
Venue: Arena Condá
Bahia
vs
Vitória
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 23 Aug - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas
Statistics
Possession
ACF
38%
BAH
62%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
3
2
Big Chances Created
1
4
Shots
11
34
Dangerous attacks
61
34
Possession
66
3
Corners
5
9
Free kicks
15
1
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
59
Ball Safe
64
0
Penalties
1
14
Goal Kicks
11
7
Goal Attempts
14
5
Substitutions
5
20
Throwins
11
10
Successful Headers
7
3
Assists
1
1
Injuries
1
8
Dribble Attempts
30
4
Successful Dribbles
15
50
Successful Dribbles Percentage
50
Attacking
56
Attacks
102
Possession
51
Long Passes
35
284
Passes
564
229
Successful Passes
515
81
Successful Passes Percentage
91
10
Key Passes
13
23
Successful Long Passes
17
45
Successful Long Passes Percentage
49
Defensive
3
Saves
0
20
Tackles
11
7
Interceptions
8
43
Duels Won
49
Build-up
19
Total Crosses
26
6
Accurate Crosses
7
Discipline
2
Offsides
0
16
Fouls
9
Lineup
Referee :
Daiane Caroline Muniz dos Santos
Manager ▼
R. dos Santos Lacerda
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
30
Matheus Aurélio
Goalkeeper
6
Mancha
Defender
15
Rafael Thyere
Defender
25
Victor Caetano
Defender
70
Rubens
Midfielder
97
Ênio
Midfielder
18
Neto Pessoa
Attacker
Referee :
Daiane Caroline Muniz dos Santos
Manager ▼
R. Mücke Ceni
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
17
Guido Herrera
Goalkeeper
3
Marco Moreno
Defender
4
Kanu
Defender
44
Marcos Victor
Defender
12
Willian José
Attacker
27
Everaldo
Attacker
99
Cristian Olivera
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
90+2'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
89'
84'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
83'
10th Substitution
8th Substitution
78'
9th Substitution
78'
Header / 4th Goal
71'
67'
6th Substitution
67'
7th Substitution
66'
4th Substitution
66'
5th Substitution
65'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
48'
1st Substitution
46'
2nd Substitution
46'
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
19'
13'
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
CONCLUSION
The 3-3 draw between Chapecoense and Bahia provided intense action from start to finish with both sides showing attacking intent. Bahia controlled territory and created superior chances according to xG yet could not claim victory. Chapecoense defended resiliently and capitalized on opportunities to level the score. The absence of red cards allowed continuous flow and contributed to the open nature of the game. Significant deviation from Bahia underscored their failure to convert dominance into points. Overall the result reflected a hard fought battle where efficiency aligned closely with the flow of play. Fans witnessed a memorable contest full of goals and momentum shifts that highlighted the competitive spirit of both teams.
Match Commentary