Chapecoense vs Bahia preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Arena Condá Sun, 16 Aug - 2:00 PM
Serie A
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 2:00 PM
Round 23 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Serie A regular season, Chapecoense welcome Bahia to Arena Condá for a league fixture. The home side currently occupy 20th position in the domestic table while the visitors sit in sixth. Bahia enter as the stronger team overall with a power score of 63.74 compared to Chapecoense's 48.44, creating a 15.3-point advantage. Form metrics further highlight the gap, with Bahia posting 20.72 against the hosts' 3.89. Limited recent outing information is available for either side, yet the structural and power differentials point to Bahia dictating the tempo. Both teams show low-confidence set-piece profiles reliant on proxies, leaving efficiency and transition details sparse. The match offers a clear test of whether Chapecoense can disrupt Bahia's superior organization at home.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Chapecoense sit 20th in the domestic table while Bahia occupy sixth place.
  • Form: Chapecoense hold a form score of 3.89 against Bahia's 20.72.
  • Squad: Bahia are the stronger side with a power score of 63.74 to Chapecoense's 48.44.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Bahia show stronger transition metrics based on overall power indicators.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece profiles for both sides carry low confidence and rely on proxies.
  • xVariable: Bahia hold a 15.3-point power advantage entering the match.
  • Market: Projection split: Chapecoense 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Bahia 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Chapecoense R. dos Santos Lacerda
R. dos Santos Lacerda
VS
Bahia R. Mücke Ceni
R. Mücke Ceni
0.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Coritiba Rank: 60 L
Vasco da Gama Rank: 61 D
Santos Rank: 63 D
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Bahia Rank: 61 L
Palmeiras Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vasco da Gama Rank: 63 D
Fluminense Rank: 69 D
Corinthians Rank: 68 D
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 63 D
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Botafogo Rank: 69 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.44
63.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Chapecoense
Bahia
Power Score
48.44
63.74
League Position
20
6
Global Rank
800
467

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Chapecoense Opponent-weighted form score
Bahia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Chapecoense Bahia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Chapecoense ACF Home
1 matches
Bahia BAH Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0.63
xG
1.67
1.67
xGA
0.63

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T00:33:35+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Arena Condá
Capacity
21000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

98
Anderson Silva Da Paixao
Anderson Silva Da Paixao Goalkeeper
26
Everton Souza da Cruz
4
João Paulo Silveira dos Santos
João Paulo Silveira dos Santos Defender
25
Vitor Gustavo da Silva Becker
Vitor Gustavo da Silva Becker Defender
21
Kauan Faria Gomes
23
Gustavo Talles da Silva
Gustavo Talles da Silva Defender
Fernando Carlos da Silva Filho
Fernando Carlos da Silva Filho Defender
35
Vinicius Eduardo de Almeida Gomes da Silva
Vinicius Eduardo de Almeida Gomes da Silva Defender
16
Bruno Matias dos Santos
99
Rafael dos Santos Cavalheira Natividade
Rafael dos Santos Cavalheira Natividade Midfielder
Max Alves da Silva
Max Alves da Silva Midfielder
8
Robert dos Santos Conceição
Robert dos Santos Conceição Midfielder
19
David Antunes da Silva
11
Yannick Bolasie Yala
31
Mauricio Garcez
Mauricio Garcez Attacker
Márcio Kaíque Maciel Figueira
Márcio Kaíque Maciel Figueira Attacker
77
Italo de Vargas da Rosa
Italo de Vargas da Rosa Attacker
40
João Henrique Araújo Bom
João Henrique Araújo Bom Attacker

Squad

22
Leonardo da Silva Vieira
Leonardo da Silva Vieira Goalkeeper
Guido Herrera
Guido Herrera Goalkeeper
61
Victor dos Santos Nascimento
Victor dos Santos Nascimento Goalkeeper
25
Iago Amaral Borduchi
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
3
Marco Moreno Ojeda
Marco Moreno Ojeda Defender
31
Román Gómez
Román Gómez Defender
83
Frederico Lippert Neto Gomes
Frederico Lippert Neto Gomes Defender
14
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho Midfielder
11
Rodrigo Nestor Bertalia
8
Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva
Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva Midfielder
80
Roger Gabriel Farias de Jesus
Roger Gabriel Farias de Jesus Midfielder
27
Everaldo Stum
Everaldo Stum Attacker
99
Cristian Gonzalo Olivera Ibarra
Cristian Gonzalo Olivera Ibarra Attacker
16
Erick da Costa Farias
9
Alejo Véliz
Alejo Véliz Attacker
23
Mateo Sanabria
Mateo Sanabria Attacker
89
Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo
Wendeson Wanderley Santos de Melo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Bahia arrive with clear edges in power, form and league standing that should shape their approach at Arena Condá. Chapecoense will need disciplined structure to limit the visitors' influence, particularly in open play where the gap appears widest. Set-piece uncertainty adds a layer of unpredictability, yet the overall profile favors Bahia maintaining control. The hosts may look to exploit any lapses in concentration, but sustained pressure from the higher-ranked side looks the more probable pattern. Both teams operate with incomplete advanced data, placing emphasis on core organizational strengths. Bahia's superior metrics suggest they are better equipped to navigate the contest and secure a positive result on the road.