CFR Cluj vs Alashkert preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu
Europa Conference League
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 1
|
Red Card Cézar 12'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. CFR Cluj 3–0 Alashkert. The result saw CFR Cluj take the points. CFR Cluj showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 57%–43%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: CFR Cluj 3-0 Alashkert. CFR Cluj showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Thórarinsson
V. Thórarinsson
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Sigurdsson
G. Sigurdsson
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Bjarnason
G. Bjarnason
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
?. Kristjánsson
?. Kristjánsson
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
VS
Alashkert V. Gevorgyan
V. Gevorgyan
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alashkert Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
CFR Cluj Rank: 71 D
Yelimay Semey Rank: D
Yelimay Semey Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home CFR Cluj
57.79%
Draw
24.1%
Away Alashkert
18.11%

Movement

Changes since opening
CFR Cluj
-39.08%
Draw
+21.74%
Alashkert
+17.34%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CFR Cluj
Alashkert
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
CFR Cluj Opponent-weighted form score
Alashkert Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CFR Cluj Alashkert

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

CFR Cluj

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Alashkert

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

CFR Cluj ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Alashkert
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.75
27.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.21
36.75
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
CFR Cluj +0.77 Efficiency Index
vs
Alashkert -0.77 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
CFR Cluj
Alashkert
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

CFR Cluj ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Alashkert
Created Set-piece attacking threat
CFR Cluj Alashkert
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
CFR Cluj Alashkert
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
CFR Cluj
Alashkert
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

CFR Cluj
vs
Alashkert
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
CFR Cluj Alashkert
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
CFR Cluj Alashkert
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
CFR Cluj
Alashkert
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFR had peak pressure around 30'.
  • CFR started the game with stronger pressure.
CFR Pressure ALA Pressure
Pressure Index: CFR reached the top pressure at 30' (54.06).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

CFR Cluj CFR Home
3 matches
Alashkert ALA Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
8
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:06:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 1
Stadium
Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu
Capacity
23500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Vilhjálmur Alvar Thórarinsson
Gylfi Mar Sigurdsson
Guðmundur Ingi Bjarnason
Ívar Orri Kristjánsson

Statistics

Possession
CFR
57%
ALA
43%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
12 Shots 7
99 Dangerous attacks 74
57 Possession 43
13 Corners 5
10 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 22

Attacking

153 Attacks 114

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Vilhjálmur Alvar Thórarinsson

Starting XI

31
Octavian Vâlceanu
Octavian Vâlceanu Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Aly Abeid
Aly Abeid Defender
6.5
14
Simão Rocha
Simão Rocha Defender
6.5
42
Renato Pantalon
Renato Pantalon Defender
6.5
47
Christopher Braun
6.61
45
Mário Camora
Mário Camora
Defender83'
6.5
8
Alin Fică
Alin Fică Midfielder
6.69
6
Ovidiu Perianu
Ovidiu Perianu
Midfielder83'
6.5
11
Andrei Cordea
Andrei Cordea Midfielder
6.5
73
Karlo Muhar
Karlo Muhar Midfielder
6.69
10
Adrian Păun
Adrian Păun
Midfielder71'
6.5
88
Damjan Djokovic
Damjan Djokovic (C) Midfielder
6.45
7
Meriton Korenica
Meriton Korenica Attacker
6.86
77
Andres Sfait
Andres Sfait
Attacker71'
6.5
9
Stefan Drazic
Stefan Drazic Attacker
6.82
17
Lorenzo Biliboc
Lorenzo Biliboc
Attacker83'
6.5
Referee : Vilhjálmur Alvar Thórarinsson

Starting XI

24
Arsen Beglaryan
Arsen Beglaryan Goalkeeper
5.68
3
Cézar
Cézar Defender
3.83
4
Yaroslav Matyukhin
5.88
5
Davit Terteryan
Davit Terteryan Defender
5.86
21
Jefferson Granado
Jefferson Granado
Midfielder83'
6.5
55
Hakob Hakobyan
Hakob Hakobyan Defender
6.05
15
Arsen Sadoyan
Arsen Sadoyan
Defender75'
6.26
7
Karen Nalbandyan
6.18
14
Domi Jaurès Massoumou
6.5
8
Edgar Piloyan
Edgar Piloyan Midfielder
6.18
10
Olawale Farayola
Olawale Farayola Midfielder
6.18
17
Joseph Sabobo
Joseph Sabobo Midfielder
6.37
18
Ifeanyi David Nduka
Ifeanyi David Nduka
Midfielder14'
6.27
88
Rafael Jesus
Rafael Jesus Midfielder
6.18
11
Momo Touré
Momo Touré Attacker
6.43
19
Philip Ejike
Philip Ejike
Attacker75'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lorenzo Biliboc Stefan Drazic
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Mário Camora  Christopher Braun
7th Substitution
83'
Event
Ovidiu Perianu Alin Fică
10th Substitution
83'
83'
Event
Jefferson Granado Davit Terteryan
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Domi Jaurès Massoumou Karen Nalbandyan 
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
77'
75'
Event
Philip Ejike Momo Touré
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Arsen Sadoyan Hakob Hakobyan
5th Substitution
Event
Adrian Păun Karlo Muhar
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Andres Sfait Meriton Korenica
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
49'
1ST-HALF
Event
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
45'
14'
Event
Ifeanyi David Nduka Joseph Sabobo
1st Substitution
12'
Event
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal
3'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Update Update
Ovidiu Perianu is on, and Alin Fica is off.
84
Update Update
Mario Camora is on, and Christopher Braun is off.
83
Substitution Substitution
Domi Jaures Massoumou is substituted off for Karen Nalbandyan.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alin Fica scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Christopher Braun.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alin Fica scores, making it 3-0.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Arsen Sadoyan comes on for Hakob Hakobyan.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Alexandru Paun comes on for Karlo Muhar.
71
Substitution Substitution
Andres Sfait is substituted for Meriton Korenica.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Update Update
On Ifeanyi David Nduka, off Joseph Sabobo.
12
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Vilhjalmur Alvar Thorarinsson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: CFR Cluj 3-0 Alashkert. Structural assessment: CFR Cluj exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.