CF Montréal vs LA Galaxy preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Stade Saputo
Major League Soccer
CF MontréalCFM
2 – 2
LA GalaxyLAG
Full Time
Regular Season
Daniel Ríos - 16'
Prince Owusu - 79'
Goal
|
Goal
Rubén Ramos - 19'
|
Red Card JT Marcinkowski 68'

CONTEXT

CF Montréal hosted LA Galaxy in a thrilling encounter that finished 2-2. The teams were level at 1-1 at halftime. CF Montréal dominated possession with 57 percent but LA Galaxy, the stronger side, managed to secure a point despite playing with ten men after receiving a red card. Expected goals stood at 1.64 for the home team and 1.11 for the visitors, yet the actual goals did not align perfectly with these figures. The match featured a significant structural deviation from expectations, especially regarding LA Galaxy's performance. Efficiency metrics showed shifts in line with the game's flow. Overall, the draw came after intense second-half adjustments due to the red card.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match exhibited a significant 100 percent deviation for LA Galaxy from expected performance.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with game dynamics at 0.1318 for home and -0.1318 for away.
  • xG alignment: The 2-2 outcome was not consistent with expected goals of 1.64 to 1.11.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations despite the draw.
  • xG expectations: CF Montréal posted 1.64 expected goals against LA Galaxy's 1.11.
  • Event impact: The red card to LA Galaxy altered second half dynamics substantially.
  • Red card distortion: The away red card created structural distortion in the 2-2 draw.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Hernandez
L. Hernandez
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
CF Montréal P. Eullaffroy
P. Eullaffroy
VS
LA Galaxy G. Vanney
G. Vanney
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 W
DC United Rank: 57 D
New England Rank: 65 D
Inter Miami Rank: 75 L
Nashville SC Rank: 73 L
Toronto Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 63 W
Houston Dynamo Rank: 65 L
Dallas Rank: 68 D
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 62 D
St. Louis City Rank: 64 L
Los Angeles FC Rank: 71 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
57.6
60.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CF Montréal
LA Galaxy
Power Score
57.6
60.78
League Position
14
10
Global Rank
631
525

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
CF Montréal — Opponent-weighted form score
LA Galaxy — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CF Montréal LA Galaxy

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

CF Montréal

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LA Galaxy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

CF Montréal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LA Galaxy
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
13.70
11.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.85
13.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
CF Montréal +0.13 Efficiency Index
vs
LA Galaxy -0.13 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
CF Montréal
LA Galaxy
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

CF Montréal
vs
LA Galaxy
Created Set-piece attacking threat
CF Montréal LA Galaxy
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
47%
21%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.76 vs -0.23
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
CF Montréal LA Galaxy
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
21%
47%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.23 vs -0.76
CF Montréal
LA Galaxy
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
CF Montréal
vs
LA Galaxy
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
CF Montréal LA Galaxy
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
CF Montréal 0.19
LA Galaxy 0.75
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
CF Montréal LA Galaxy
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
CF Montréal 0.25
LA Galaxy 0.04
CF Montréal
LA Galaxy
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFM had peak pressure around 18'.
  • CFM started the game with stronger pressure.
CFM Pressure LAG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CFM reached the top pressure at 18' (100.00).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
T. Guilier
Chile
31 T. Guilier
D. Bugaj
Substitution
Poland
27 D. Bugaj
J. Neal
Substitution
United States
2 J. Neal
B. Vera Ramírez
Substitution
Colombia
4 B. Vera Ramírez
L. Petrasso
Canada
13 L. Petrasso
M. Longstaff
England
8 M. Longstaff
D. Pereira Gil
Substitution
Venezuela
7 D. Pereira Gil
V. Loturi
Canada
22 V. Loturi
N. Streit
Substitution
Switzerland
23 N. Streit
P. Owusu
Germany
9 (C) P. Owusu
D. Ríos Calderón
Mexico
14 D. Ríos Calderón

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Saputo
Capacity
20801
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lorenzo Hernandez

Statistics

Possession
CFM
57%
LAG
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 1
9 Shots 2
52 Dangerous attacks 15
57 Possession 43
6 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Goal Kicks 12
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 15
1 Successful Headers 3
7 Dribble Attempts 9
2 Successful Dribbles 4
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 44

Attacking

118 Attacks 47
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

52 Long Passes 52
546 Passes 419
475 Successful Passes 342
87 Successful Passes Percentage 82
12 Key Passes 6
36 Successful Long Passes 23
69 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

3 Saves 4
12 Tackles 12
6 Interceptions 12
27 Duels Won 32

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 9
9 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Lorenzo Hernandez

Starting XI ▼

31
Thomas Guilier
Thomas Guilier Goalkeeper
6.21
2
Jalen Neal
Jalen Neal Defender
6.6
29
Olger Escobar
Olger Escobar
Attacker81'
4
Brayan Vera
Brayan Vera Defender
6.43
5
Brandan Craig
Brandan Craig
Defender46'
13
Luca Petrasso
Luca Petrasso Defender
6.18
27
Dawid Bugaj
Dawid Bugaj Defender
6.42
3
Brayan Ceballos
Brayan Ceballos
Defender61'
7
Daniel Pereira
Daniel Pereira Midfielder
6.88
10
Alexis Sánchez
Alexis Sánchez
Attacker62'
8
Matty Longstaff
Matty Longstaff Midfielder
6.53
22
Victor Loturi
Victor Loturi Midfielder
6.42
9
Prince Owusu
Prince Owusu (C) Attacker
6.85
14
Daniel Ríos
Daniel Ríos Attacker
7.34
23
Noah Streit
Noah Streit Attacker
6.67
21
Fabian Herbers
Fabian Herbers
Attacker62'
Referee : Lorenzo Hernandez

Starting XI ▼

12
JT Marcinkowski
JT Marcinkowski Goalkeeper
6.88
4
Maya Yoshida
Maya Yoshida (C) Defender
7.55
5
Jakob Glesnes
Jakob Glesnes Defender
6.37
14
John Nelson
John Nelson Defender
6.33
1
Novak Mićović
Novak Mićović
Goalkeeper72'
26
Harbor Miller
Harbor Miller Defender
6.48
15
Justin Haak
Justin Haak Midfielder
6.71
16
Isaiah Parente
Isaiah Parente Midfielder
6.55
3
Julián Aude
Julián Aude
Defender72'
24
Rubén Ramos
Rubén Ramos Midfielder
7.07
27
Erik Thommy
Erik Thommy
Midfielder62'
7
Kyogo Furuhashi
Kyogo Furuhashi Attacker
6.36
21
Robert Taylor
Robert Taylor Attacker
6.82
25
Carlos Garcés
Carlos Garcés
Defender82'
28
Joseph Paintsil
Joseph Paintsil Attacker
6.65
11
Hirving Lozano
Hirving Lozano
Attacker62'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Brayan Ceballos
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+1'
82'
Event
Carlos Garcés → Robert Taylor
10th Substitution
Event
Olger Escobar → Jalen Neal
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Prince Owusu
Header / 4th Goal
79'
72'
Event
Julián Aude → Isaiah Parente
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Novak Mićović → John Nelson
8th Substitution
68'
Event
JT Marcinkowski
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Event
Brandan Craig
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
67'
Event
Fabian Herbers → Noah Streit
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Alexis Sánchez → Daniel Pereira
5th Substitution
62'
62'
Event
Hirving Lozano → Joseph Paintsil
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Erik Thommy  → Rubén Ramos
6th Substitution
Event
Brayan Ceballos → Dawid Bugaj 
2nd Substitution
61'
48'
Event
Maya Yoshida 
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Brandan Craig → Brayan Vera
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
19'
Event
Rubén Ramos
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Daniel Ríos
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
16'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Brayan Ceballos attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brayan Ceballos receives a yellow card.
89
Attempt Attempt
Matthew Longstaff takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Olger Escobar takes a left-footed shot but misses.
82
Update Update
Carlos Emiro Torres Garces is on, and Robert Taylor is off.
81
Update Update
Olger Escobar is on, and Jalen Neal is off.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Prince Owusu scores with a header.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Prince Owusu scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
78
Attempt Attempt
Brandan Craig takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Attempt Attempt
Brandan Craig takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Attempt Attempt
Alexis Sanchez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Julian Aude replaces Isaiah Parente.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Novak Micovic comes on for John Nelson.
68
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to James Thomas Marcinkowski.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor Loturi receives a yellow card.
66
Attempt Attempt
Prince Owusu takes a left-footed shot but misses.
64
Update Update
Offside.
62
Update Update
Erik Thommy comes on for Ruben Ramos Jr.
62
Update Update
Hirving Rodrigo Lozano Bahena comes on for Joseph Paintsil.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alexis Sanchez comes on for Daniel Pereira.
62
Update Update
Fabian Herbers comes on for Noah Streit.
61
Update Update
Brayan Ceballos comes on for Dawid Bugaj.
56
Attempt Attempt
Justin Haak takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Justin Haak takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Kyogo Furuhashi takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
54
Update Update
Offside.
50
Update Update
Offside.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Maya Yoshida scores with a right-footed shot.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
48
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Paintsil takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Brandan Craig comes on for Brayan Vera.
42
Attempt Attempt
Prince Owusu attempts a header but misses the shot.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Update Update
Offside.
33
Attempt Attempt
Maya Yoshida takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
31
Update Update
Offside.
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Prince Owusu with his left foot is saved.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ruben Ramos Jr. scores, making it 1-1.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ruben Ramos Jr. scores with a left-footed shot.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Kyogo Furuhashi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Daniel Armando Rios Calderon scores with a right-footed shot.
16
Attempt Attempt
Matthew Longstaff takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
6
Attempt Attempt
Maya Yoshida attempts a header but misses the shot.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Lorenzo Hernandez.

CONCLUSION

The draw between CF Montréal and LA Galaxy underscores the impact of key events on match outcomes. With LA Galaxy reduced to ten men, they showed resilience to equalize and hold the score at 2-2. Although expected goals suggested a different result, the actual performance demonstrated how efficiency can shift during the game. The red card played a pivotal role in altering the dynamics after the break. Both teams contributed to an engaging contest that defied some pre-match projections but aligned in other aspects. This result emphasizes the importance of adapting to in-game challenges and maintaining composure under pressure. The possession advantage for CF Montréal did not translate directly into a victory, highlighting the balanced nature of the competition.