CF Montréal vs Inter Miami preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Stade Saputo Sat, 25 Jul - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
CF MontréalCFM
0 1
Inter MiamiMIA
Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 11:30 PM
Regular Season
|
Goal
Luis Suárez - 81' (P)

CONTEXT

CF Montréal faced Inter Miami in a match that concluded with a 0-1 final score. The game remained level at halftime with both sides unable to break the deadlock in the opening period. Inter Miami controlled more of the ball with 57 percent possession compared to the home side's 43 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.93 for CF Montréal and 2.03 for Inter Miami, reflecting a narrow differential of 0.1. The stronger team on paper delivered the victory through a second-half goal. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying performance metrics throughout the ninety minutes.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Inter Miami showed significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome aligned with the expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The result was consistent with pre-match market alignment.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals were closely matched at 1.93 for home and 2.03 for away.
  • Event impact: The away goal in the second half proved decisive in the 0-1 victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued affecting the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Da Silva
A. Da Silva
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Barwegen
M. Barwegen
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Arfa
L. Arfa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Shaw-MacLaren
C. Shaw-MacLaren
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
CF Montréal P. Eullaffroy
P. Eullaffroy
VS
Inter Miami Á. Hoyos Marchisio
Á. Hoyos Marchisio
0.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.13
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nashville SC Rank: 72 L
Toronto Rank: 57 D
DC United Rank: 55 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 L
Portland Timbers Rank: 61 D
Orlando City Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chicago Fire Rank: 65 W
Philadelphia Union Rank: 63 W
Portland Timbers Rank: 61 W
Cincinnati Rank: 68 W
Toronto Rank: 58 W
Orlando City Rank: 65 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.72
76.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
CF Montréal
Inter Miami
Power Score
56.72
76.54
League Position
13
2
Global Rank
640
118

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
CF Montréal — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter Miami — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) CF Montréal Inter Miami

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

CF Montréal

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Inter Miami

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

CF Montréal ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Inter Miami
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
9.19
7.81
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
7.81
9.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
CF Montréal +0.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Inter Miami -0.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
CF Montréal
Inter Miami
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

CF Montréal
vs
Inter Miami
Created Set-piece attacking threat
CF Montréal Inter Miami
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
10%
59%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.19 vs -0.20
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
CF Montréal Inter Miami
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
59%
10%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.20 vs -0.19
CF Montréal
Inter Miami
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
CF Montréal
vs
Inter Miami
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
CF Montréal Inter Miami
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
CF Montréal 0.16
Inter Miami 0.44
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
CF Montréal Inter Miami
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
CF Montréal 0.00
Inter Miami 0.00
CF Montréal
Inter Miami
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CFM had peak pressure around 55'.
  • CFM started the game with stronger pressure.
CFM Pressure MIA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CFM reached the top pressure at 55' (76.59).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

CF Montréal CFM Home
4 matches
Inter Miami MIA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
8
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:04:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
R. Ríos Novo
Argentina
34 R. Ríos Novo
S. Reguilón Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
3 S. Reguilón Rodríguez
M. dos Santos Silva
Brazil
16 M. dos Santos Silva
I. Fray
Jamaica
17 I. Fray
F. Mura
Argentina
4 F. Mura
M. Silvetti
24 M. Silvetti
T. Segovia Pérez
Venezuela
8 T. Segovia Pérez
C. Casimiro
Brazil
5 C. Casimiro
Y. Bright
Substitution
42 Y. Bright
L. Suárez Díaz
Uruguay
9 (C) L. Suárez Díaz
G. Berterame
Substitution
Argentina
19 G. Berterame

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Saputo
Capacity
20801
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alexis Da Silva
Michael Barwegen
Lyes Arfa
Carly Shaw-MacLaren

Statistics

Possession
CFM
45%
MIA
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 9
64 Dangerous attacks 52
43 Possession 57
5 Corners 6
13 Free kicks 6
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

73 Ball Safe 91
0 Penalties 1
11 Goal Kicks 9
6 Goal Attempts 11
5 Substitutions 3
12 Throwins 12
0 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Successful Headers 3
0 Injuries 1
17 Dribble Attempts 15
6 Successful Dribbles 7
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

98 Attacks 102
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

60 Long Passes 42
387 Passes 523
323 Successful Passes 458
83 Successful Passes Percentage 88
6 Key Passes 13
34 Successful Long Passes 20
57 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

1 Saves 2
12 Tackles 16
11 Interceptions 5
37 Duels Won 41

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 13
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Alexis Da Silva

Starting XI ▼

1
Sébastian Breza
Sébastian Breza Goalkeeper
6.63
4
Brayan Vera
Brayan Vera Defender
6.49
13
Luca Petrasso
Luca Petrasso Defender
6.6
24
Efraín Morales
Efraín Morales Defender
6.97
5
Brandan Craig
Brandan Craig
Defender90+11'
27
Dawid Bugaj
Dawid Bugaj Defender
6.36
6
Samuel Piette
Samuel Piette (C) Midfielder
6.59
7
Daniel Pereira
Daniel Pereira
Midfielder61'
8
Matty Longstaff
Matty Longstaff Midfielder
6.55
21
Fabian Herbers
Fabian Herbers
Attacker80'
22
Victor Loturi
Victor Loturi Midfielder
6.64
29
Olger Escobar
Olger Escobar
Attacker90+6'
9
Prince Owusu
Prince Owusu Attacker
6.8
14
Daniel Ríos
Daniel Ríos Attacker
6.29
23
Noah Streit
Noah Streit
Midfielder62'
18
Gennadiy Synchuk
Gennadiy Synchuk Attacker
6.63
Referee : Alexis Da Silva

Starting XI ▼

34
Rocco Ríos Novo
Rocco Ríos Novo Goalkeeper
6.9
3
Sergio Reguilón
Sergio Reguilón Defender
6.68
32
Noah Allen
Noah Allen
Defender59'
4
Facundo Mura
Facundo Mura Defender
6.45
16
Micael
Micael Defender
6.59
17
Ian Fray
Ian Fray Defender
6.52
5
Casemiro
Casemiro Midfielder
7.12
8
Telasco Segovia
Telasco Segovia Midfielder
6.77
24
Mateo Silvetti
Mateo Silvetti Midfielder
6.47
42
Yannick Bright
Yannick Bright Midfielder
6.63
41
David Ruíz
David Ruíz
Midfielder90+8'
9
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez (C) Attacker
6.54
19
Germán Berterame
Germán Berterame Attacker
6.39
59
Preston Plambeck
Preston Plambeck
Midfielder80'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Brandan Craig → Efraín Morales 
8th Substitution
90+11'
90+8'
Event
David Ruíz → Yannick Bright
7th Substitution
Event
Olger Escobar → Victor Loturi
6th Substitution
90+6'
84'
Event
Telasco Segovia
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
81'
Event
Luis Suárez
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Fabian Herbers → Matty Longstaff
4th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Preston Plambeck → Germán Berterame
5th Substitution
Event
Noah Streit → Daniel Ríos
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Daniel Pereira → Samuel Piette  
2nd Substitution
61'
59'
Event
Noah Allen → Sergio Reguilón
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
23'
Event
Ian Fray
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Update Update
On Brandan Craig，Off Efrain Morales
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Prince Prince Owusu Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Update Update
On David Ruiz，Off Yannick Bright
90
Update Update
On Olger Escobar，Off Victor Loturi
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Preston Plambeck Right Footed Shot Blocked
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gennadiy Synchuk Left Footed Shot Saved
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Luis Suarez Right Footed Shot Goal
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Luis Suarez 0-1
80
Update Update
On Preston Plambeck，Off German Berterame
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Luis Suarez 0-1
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez Right Footed Shot Saved
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez Right Footed Shot Saved
67
Corner Corner
Corner
66
Corner Corner
Corner
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gennadiy Synchuk Left Footed Shot Saved
62
Update Update
On Daniel Pereira，Off Samuel Piette
62
Update Update
On Noah Streit，Off Daniel Armando Rios Calderon
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Henrique Casimiro Right Footed Shot Missed
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luis Suarez Right Footed Shot Blocked
59
Update Update
On Noah Allen，Off Sergio Reguilón
55
Update Update
Offside
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot - German Berterame Right Footed Shot Missed
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Prince Prince Owusu Head Shot Missed
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gennadiy Synchuk Right Footed Shot Missed
49
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Luis Suarez Right Footed Shot Missed
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez Left Footed Shot Missed
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Micael dos Santos Silva Head Shot Blocked
45
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Corner Corner
Corner
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Telasco Jose Segovia Perez Right Footed Shot Post
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mateo Silvetti Right Footed Shot Missed
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mateo Silvetti Right Footed Shot Blocked
29
Corner Corner
Corner
27
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Matthew Longstaff Right Footed Shot Missed
26
Attempt Attempt
Shot - German Berterame Right Footed Shot Missed
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Ian Fray
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ian Fray Head Shot Blocked
21
Corner Corner
Corner
20
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mateo Silvetti Right Footed Shot Blocked
19
Corner Corner
Corner
19
Update Update
First Half Ends！0-0
16
Corner Corner
Corner
16
Corner Corner
Corner
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Ian Fray
13
Corner Corner
Corner
10
Corner Corner
Corner
5
Corner Corner
Corner
3
Corner Corner
Corner
2
Update Update
Offside
2
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Alexis Da Silva

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: CF Montréal 0-1 Inter Miami. Structural assessment: Inter Miami exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.