Ceuta vs Celta Fortuna preview

Spain flag 2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
La Liga 2
KICKOFF :
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Ceuta welcomes Celta Fortuna to Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube for a La Liga 2 regular season encounter in the 2026/2027 campaign. The hosts currently sit 22nd in the domestic standings while the visitors occupy a more comfortable 10th place. Despite the league table, Ceuta holds a clear power advantage with a score of 64.03 compared to Celta Fortuna's 44.1, creating a 19.9 point edge that marks them as the stronger side overall. Form data shows Celta Fortuna with a score of 22.22 while Ceuta has none recorded. Limited information exists on efficiency and set pieces for both clubs, with the latter category relying on low-confidence proxy metrics. This fixture pits a higher-powered home unit against a better-placed opponent in what shapes as a balanced contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Ceuta sits 22nd in the league while Celta Fortuna occupies 10th place domestically.
  • Form: Ceuta has no recorded form score while Celta Fortuna enters with a mark of 22.22.
  • Squad: Ceuta holds a power score of 64.03 against Celta Fortuna's 44.1 for a 19.9 point advantage.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams ahead of this match.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no available data for either side in this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy data with no xG details.
  • xVariable: The 19.9 point power advantage identifies Ceuta as the stronger team overall.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: 78 L
Las Palmas Rank: 73 L
FC Andorra Rank: 68 L
Albacete Rank: 68 W
FC Andorra Rank: 67 W
Málaga Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Castellón Rank: 71 D
FC Andorra Rank: 68 W
Cádiz Rank: 61 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.03
44.1
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ceuta
Celta Fortuna
Power Score
64.03
44.1
League Position
22
10
Global Rank
447
394

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Ceuta Opponent-weighted form score
Celta Fortuna Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ceuta Celta Fortuna

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Capacity
6500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Pedro López Galisteo
16
Carlos Redruello Nimo
14
Yann Bodiger
Yann Bodiger Midfielder
20
Alejandro Meléndez Ruiz
10
Marino Illescas Montaño
24
Victor Corral Herranz
17
Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze
Mawuli Kwame Mensah Vadze Midfielder
25
Salvador Sánchez Ponce
Salvador Sánchez Ponce Attacker
23
Anuar Mohamed Tuhami
7
Alejandro Camacho
22
Kialy Abdoul Kone
21
Kenneth Obinna Mamah
29
Omar Sadik
Omar Sadik Attacker

Squad

1
Jorge Carrillo Balea
13
Caio Albado Barone
Caio Albado Barone Goalkeeper
25
Marcos González Maestu
18
Joel López Salguero
14
Jan Oliveras Codina
21
Alexis Olmedo Vila
4
Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye
Anthony Khayat
Anthony Khayat Defender
3
Enrique Ribes Recaj
Enrique Ribes Recaj Defender
5
Hugo Garcia Hoz
Hugo Garcia Hoz Midfielder
17
Hugo Cuenca
Hugo Cuenca Midfielder
16
Adrià Capdevila Puigmal
15
Aldrine Kibet
Aldrine Kibet Midfielder
9
Alvaro Marin Sesma
11
Ángel Arcos Cadilla
Vladimir Henrique Silva
Vladimir Henrique Silva Attacker
19
Ángel Dávila
Ángel Dávila Attacker

CONCLUSION

Ceuta enters this La Liga 2 clash with superior underlying power metrics that suggest greater squad depth despite their lower league standing. Celta Fortuna brings better table position and some form indicators but faces a notable deficit in overall strength ratings. Limited efficiency and transition information leaves room for on-field adjustments to decide key moments. Set piece reliance appears minimal given the sparse data available. The home side's power edge could prove decisive in open play while the visitors may look to exploit their positional familiarity. Expect a measured contest where Ceuta seeks to leverage its rating advantage and Celta Fortuna aims to maintain its standing through disciplined organization.