Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
KINCHO Stadium Today - 10:00 AM
Club Friendlies 1
Cerezo Osaka CER
Borussia Dortmund BVB
KICKOFF : Today - 10:00 AM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cerezo Osaka hosts Borussia Dortmund at KINCHO Stadium in a Regular Season fixture from Club Friendlies 1 during the 2026 campaign. The power score for the home team stands at 58.22 compared to 90.58 for the away side, resulting in a 32.4 point advantage for the visitors who emerge as the stronger team in this matchup. Form scores indicate 0 for Cerezo Osaka and 25 for Borussia Dortmund, highlighting differences in recent performances. The competition type being league suggests a standard format without knockout implications. Venue details point to a home environment for the Japanese side against the German visitors. Analytical perspectives center on how these elements shape the upcoming encounter between the two clubs.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Borussia Dortmund holds a 32.4 point power advantage over Cerezo Osaka.
  • Form: Cerezo Osaka records a form score of 0 against Borussia Dortmund's 25.
  • Squad: The squads line up with Cerezo Osaka at home versus Borussia Dortmund away.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not detailed in the available information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on proxy data with low confidence levels.
  • xVariable: The xVariable highlights the power score differential as a key factor.
  • Market: Cerezo Osaka 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Borussia Dortmund 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
VS
Borussia Dortmund N. Kovač
N. Kovač
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rank: 69 L
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen Rank: 31 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cerezo Osaka
0%
Draw
0%
Away Borussia Dortmund
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.22
90.58
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cerezo Osaka
Borussia Dortmund
Power Score
58.22
90.58
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
611
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Cerezo Osaka Opponent-weighted form score
Borussia Dortmund Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cerezo Osaka Borussia Dortmund

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cerezo Osaka CER Home
1 matches
Borussia Dortmund BVB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:04:16+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
KINCHO Stadium
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

21
Jin-Hyeon Kim
Jin-Hyeon Kim Goalkeeper
23
Kosuke Nakamura
Kosuke Nakamura Goalkeeper
1
Koki Fukui
Koki Fukui Goalkeeper
46
Ken Isibor
Ken Isibor Goalkeeper
27
Dion Cools
Dion Cools Defender
6
Kyohei Noborizato
Kyohei Noborizato Defender
44
Shinnosuke Hatanaka
Shinnosuke Hatanaka Defender
4
Rikito Inoue
Rikito Inoue Defender
2
Takumi Nakamura
Takumi Nakamura Defender
16
Hayato Okuda
Hayato Okuda Defender
66
Ayumu Ohata
Ayumu Ohata Defender
3
Hayato Tanaka
Hayato Tanaka Defender
Chimezie Kai Ezemuokwe
Chimezie Kai Ezemuokwe Defender
97
Travis Takahashi
Travis Takahashi Defender
8
Shinji Kagawa
Shinji Kagawa Midfielder
77
Lucas Fernandes
Lucas Fernandes Midfielder
35
Kyohei Yoshino
Kyohei Yoshino Midfielder
5
Hinata Kida
Hinata Kida Midfielder
19
Shion Homma
Shion Homma Midfielder
7
Satoki Uejo
Satoki Uejo Midfielder
10
Shunta Tanaka
Shunta Tanaka Midfielder
18
Nelson Ishiwatari
Nelson Ishiwatari Midfielder
34
Rui Osako
Rui Osako Midfielder
14
Yumeki Yokoyama
Yumeki Yokoyama Midfielder
13
Motohiko Nakajima
Motohiko Nakajima Attacker
9
Soromon Sakuragawa
Soromon Sakuragawa Attacker
11
Thiago Eduardo de Andrade
Thiago Eduardo de Andrade Attacker
48
Masaya Shibayama
Masaya Shibayama Attacker
17
Reiya Sakata
Reiya Sakata Attacker

Squad

30
Patrick Drewes
Patrick Drewes Goalkeeper
1
Gregor Kobel
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper
33
Alexander Meyer
Alexander Meyer Goalkeeper
32
Diant Ramaj
Diant Ramaj Goalkeeper
31
Silas Ostrzinski
Silas Ostrzinski Goalkeeper
23
Emre Can
Emre Can Defender
3
Waldemar Anton
Waldemar Anton Defender
5
Ramy Bensebaini
Ramy Bensebaini Defender
26
Julian Ryerson
Julian Ryerson Defender
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
Nico Schlotterbeck Defender
2
Yan Bueno Couto
Yan Bueno Couto Defender
24
Daniel Svensson
Daniel Svensson Defender
39
Filippo Calixte Mane
Filippo Calixte Mane Defender
42
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar Defender
22
Kouakou Henry-Joane Aaron Aimerick Gadou
Kouakou Henry-Joane Aaron Aimerick Gadou Defender
49
Luca Reggiani
Luca Reggiani Defender
20
Marcel Sabitzer
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha
Felix Kalu Nmecha Midfielder
17
Carney Chukwuemeka
Carney Chukwuemeka Midfielder
7
Jobe Bellingham
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder
48
Mussa Kaba
Mussa Kaba Midfielder
28
Justin Armando Lerma Soliz
Justin Armando Lerma Soliz Midfielder
9
Serhou Guirassy
Serhou Guirassy Attacker
27
Karim Adeyemi
Karim Adeyemi Attacker
21
Fábio Daniel Soares Silva
Fábio Daniel Soares Silva Attacker
14
Maximilian Beier
Maximilian Beier Attacker
40
Samuele Inacio
Samuele Inacio Attacker
41
Mathis Albert
Mathis Albert Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Borussia Dortmund holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Borussia Dortmund a 32.4-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.