Cerezo Osaka vs Borussia Dortmund preview

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World
KINCHO Stadium Wed, 29 Jul - 10:00 AM
Club Friendlies 1
Cerezo OsakaCER
1 0
Borussia DortmundBVB
Full Time Wed, 29 Jul 10:00 AM
Regular Season
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Cerezo Osaka defeated Borussia Dortmund 1-0 at home in a match where the halftime score was also 1-0. The home side struck early and maintained their lead through organized defending despite Borussia Dortmund holding 56 percent possession against Cerezo Osaka's 44 percent. Borussia Dortmund entered as the stronger team yet could not convert territorial control into goals. No red cards were shown to players from either side during the full ninety minutes. The contest featured limited clear scoring opportunities after the opening goal with both teams prioritizing structure over risk. Cerezo Osaka's defensive resilience proved decisive in securing the narrow victory against higher-profile opposition.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Cerezo Osaka achieved a significant structural deviation as the winner.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was market aligned.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not specified in the available data.
  • Event impact: The 1-0 scoreline represented the primary event impact.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred with zero dismissals recorded.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Masuya Ueda
Masuya Ueda
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Ando
K. Ando
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Wakamiya
K. Wakamiya
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Kamimura
A. Kamimura
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Cerezo Osaka P. Machín Díez
P. Machín Díez
VS
Borussia Dortmund N. Kovač
N. Kovač
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rank: 69 L
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen Rank: 31 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.65
89.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cerezo Osaka
Borussia Dortmund
Power Score
59.65
89.68
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
572
17

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cerezo Osaka — Opponent-weighted form score
Borussia Dortmund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cerezo Osaka Borussia Dortmund

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cerezo Osaka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Borussia Dortmund

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cerezo Osaka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Borussia Dortmund
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.93
14.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
14.55
31.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cerezo Osaka +0.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Borussia Dortmund -0.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cerezo Osaka
Borussia Dortmund
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cerezo Osaka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Borussia Dortmund
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cerezo Osaka Borussia Dortmund
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cerezo Osaka Borussia Dortmund
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cerezo Osaka
Borussia Dortmund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cerezo Osaka
vs
Borussia Dortmund
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cerezo Osaka Borussia Dortmund
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cerezo Osaka 0.29
Borussia Dortmund 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cerezo Osaka Borussia Dortmund
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cerezo Osaka 0.00
Borussia Dortmund 0.02
Cerezo Osaka
Borussia Dortmund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CER had peak pressure around 10'.
  • CER started the game with stronger pressure.
CER Pressure BVB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CER reached the top pressure at 10' (74.72).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cerezo Osaka CER Home
1 matches
Borussia Dortmund BVB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:00:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition
2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season
Stadium
KINCHO Stadium
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Masuya Ueda
Kohei Ando
Kenji Wakamiya
Atsushi Kamimura

Statistics

Possession
CER
46%
BVB
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 2
2 Shots 4
41 Dangerous attacks 23
44 Possession 56
5 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 4
9 Substitutions 10
20 Throwins 24
12 Dribble Attempts 6
4 Successful Dribbles 4
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67

Attacking

77 Attacks 103
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

41 Long Passes 33
433 Passes 552
372 Successful Passes 475
86 Successful Passes Percentage 86
6 Key Passes 3
23 Successful Long Passes 14
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

0 Saves 3
12 Tackles 14
15 Interceptions 7

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 7
3 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
8 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Masuya Ueda

Starting XI ▼

23
Kosuke Nakamura
Kosuke Nakamura Goalkeeper
6.5
31
Koto Abe
Koto Abe
Goalkeeper46'
6.47
4
Rikito Inoue
Rikito Inoue Defender
7.15
6
K. Noborizato
K. Noborizato
Defender77'
7
27
Dion Cools
Dion Cools Defender
6.62
97
Travis Takahashi
Travis Takahashi
Defender65'
6.37
44
S. Hatanaka
S. Hatanaka Defender
6.74
2
T. Nakamura
T. Nakamura Midfielder
7.39
16
H. Okuda
H. Okuda
Defender85'
6.67
10
S. Tanaka
S. Tanaka Midfielder
6.75
22
N. Takahashi
N. Takahashi Midfielder
6.83
66
Ayumu Ohata
Ayumu Ohata
Defender85'
6.39
28
Kosei Okazawa
Kosei Okazawa Midfielder
6.65
26
Eiji Kubo
Eiji Kubo
Midfielder85'
6.6
8
S. Kagawa
S. Kagawa (C) Attacker
6.78
7
S. Uejo
S. Uejo
Midfielder65'
6.81
9
Solomon Sakuragawa
Solomon Sakuragawa Attacker
7.34
5
H. Kida
H. Kida
Midfielder78'
6.37
14
Yumeki Yokoyama
Yumeki Yokoyama Attacker
6.56
41
Yota Komi
Yota Komi
Attacker77'
6.41
Referee : Masuya Ueda

Starting XI ▼

33
Alexander Meyer
Alexander Meyer Goalkeeper
6.48
22
Joane Gadou
Joane Gadou Defender
7.06
39
Filippo Mane
Filippo Mane Defender
7.1
53
Jan-Luca Riedl
Jan-Luca Riedl
Defender35'
6.8
49
Luca Reggiani
Luca Reggiani Defender
6.47
57
Marwan-Omir Mirza
Marwan-Omir Mirza
Attacker60'
6.77
2
Yan Couto
Yan Couto Midfielder
6.34
52
Roméo Ritter
Roméo Ritter
Defender60'
6.37
7
Jobe Bellingham
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder
6.62
44
Enzo dos Santos
Enzo dos Santos
Midfielder60'
6.54
28
Justin Lerma
Justin Lerma Midfielder
6.25
51
Arne Wessels
Arne Wessels
Attacker60'
6.49
42
Almugera Kabar
Almugera Kabar Midfielder
6.63
41
Mathis Albert
Mathis Albert
Attacker60'
6.56
9
Serhou Guirassy
Serhou Guirassy (C) Attacker
6.34
21
Fábio Silva
Fábio Silva
Attacker60'
6.21
40
Samuele Inácio
Samuele Inácio Attacker
6.44
46
Ayman Azhil
Ayman Azhil
Midfielder60'
6.39
43
Takato Yamamoto
Takato Yamamoto Attacker
6.55
54
Miguel Adje
Miguel Adje
Defender60'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Roméo Ritter
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Eiji Kubo → Kosei Okazawa
17th Substitution
85'
Event
Ayumu Ohata → N. Takahashi
18th Substitution
85'
Event
H. Okuda → T. Nakamura
19th Substitution
85'
Event
H. Kida → Solomon Sakuragawa
16th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Tom Faust → Jan-Luca Riedl
15th Substitution
Event
Yota Komi → Yumeki Yokoyama
13th Substitution
77'
Event
K. Noborizato → Rikito Inoue
14th Substitution
77'
Event
Travis Takahashi → Dion Cools
11th Substitution
65'
Event
S. Uejo → S. Kagawa
12th Substitution
65'
60'
Event
Miguel Adje → Takato Yamamoto
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Mathis Albert → Almugera Kabar
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Ayman Azhil → Samuele Inácio
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Enzo dos Santos → Jobe Bellingham
6th Substitution
60'
Event
Marwan-Omir Mirza → Luca Reggiani
7th Substitution
60'
Event
Roméo Ritter → Yan Couto
8th Substitution
60'
Event
Fábio Silva → Serhou Guirassy
9th Substitution
60'
Event
Arne Wessels → Justin Lerma
10th Substitution
Event
Koto Abe → Kosuke Nakamura
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Jan-Luca Riedl → Filippo Mane
1st Substitution
Event
Solomon Sakuragawa
Header / 1st Goal
8'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Corner Corner
Corner
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
86
Corner Corner
Corner
79
Corner Corner
Corner
69
Corner Corner
Corner
48
Corner Corner
Corner
8
Corner Corner
Corner
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
5
Corner Corner
Corner
4
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off!

CONCLUSION

Cerezo Osaka claimed a notable 1-0 victory over Borussia Dortmund through an early goal and sustained defensive focus. Despite lower possession the home side restricted the visitors effectively and avoided any major errors. The match remained tightly contested with few high quality chances created after the first half breakthrough. Borussia Dortmund's inability to unlock the defense highlighted the challenges of breaking down compact units. Both teams completed the game without disciplinary incidents allowing uninterrupted play. This result illustrates how early scoring and tactical discipline can deliver success against possession dominant sides. The low event nature of the second half preserved the narrow margin until the final whistle.