Cercle Brugge vs Dender preview
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Jan Breydelstadion
Fri, 24 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 4 ·
Relegation Round
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 12
CONTEXT
Cercle Brugge claimed a 2-1 home win against Dender, leading 1-0 at halftime and extending their advantage in the second half before conceding once. The hosts dominated possession with 52% to Dender's 48%, maintaining control throughout without any red cards disrupting play. As the identified stronger team, Cercle Brugge's performance showed minimal structural deviation of 5.3%, aligning closely with pre-match market assessments that favored them heavily. Efficiency remained in line with expectations, though xG data was unavailable to quantify chance quality further. No second-half adjustments or knockout elements influenced the outcome, resulting in a straightforward victory that matched the home side's superior standing. The final score reflected balanced play with a narrow margin.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 5.3% favoring Cercle Brugge.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with pre-match expectations.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
-
Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed true with home win matching expectations.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without data.
-
Event impact: No notable events altered the match dynamics.
-
Red card distortion: Red card distortion absent as no dismissals occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Van Driessche
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
J. Vitse
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
T. Vanpoucke
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
J. Vermeire
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
18.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
3.17
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.32
L. Friis
VS
A. Abdul Raouf
1.23
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.86
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dender
Rank:
W
La Louvière
Rank:
W
Zulte-Waregem
Rank:
D
Anderlecht
Rank:
W
La Louvière
Rank:
L
Sint-Truiden
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cercle Brugge
Rank:
L
Zulte-Waregem
Rank:
L
La Louvière
Rank:
W
Gent
Rank:
L
Union Saint-Gilloise
Rank:
L
Sporting Charleroi
Rank:
D
4
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 2
2
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Cercle Brugge
94.72%
Draw
5.09%
Dender
0.19%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.35
14.57
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Power Score
22.35
14.57
League Position
15
16
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Cercle Brugge
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Dender
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Cercle Brugge Dender
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Cercle Brugge
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Dender
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Cercle Brugge
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Dender
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.46
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.06
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Cercle Brugge
-1.01
Efficiency Index
vs
Dender
+1.01
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cercle Brugge
Dender
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Cercle Brugge
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Dender
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Cercle Brugge
Dender
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Cercle Brugge
vs
Dender
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Cercle Brugge
0.14
Dender
0.19
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Cercle Brugge
0.01
Dender
0.03
Cercle Brugge
Dender
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- DEN had peak pressure around 57'.
- DEN started the game with stronger pressure.
CBR Pressure
DEN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
DEN reached the top pressure at 57' (63.54).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Cercle Brugge
CBR
Home
9
matches
Dender
DEN
Away
Match Record
4
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
4
Goals
13
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
13
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:02:14+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-5-2
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
5 E. Kakou
24 G. Kondo
12 V. Konaté
L. Agyekum
#673'
19 M. Diaby
P. Gerkens
#1846'
28 H. Van der Bruggen
37 E. Diop
10 O. Diakité
30 G. Dietsch
7 B. Goncalves
#4446'
6 B. De Kerf
5 L. Marijnissen
70 J. Sambu Mansoni
24 M. Viltard
18 N. Rodes
K. Koton
#1573'
11 R. Oratmangoen
M. Berte
#9062'
23 D. Acquah
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
#6772'
27 A. Jahanbakhsh
9 D. Toshevski
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 4 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Jan Breydelstadion
Capacity
29975
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bram Van Driessche
Jasper Vitse
Tom Vanpoucke
J. Vermeire
Next Match
Cercle Brugge
vs
Zulte-Waregem
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Fri, 1 May - 6:45 PM
Venue: Jan Breydelstadion
Dender
vs
La Louvière
League: Pro League
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 5:15 PM
Venue: Van Roystadion
Statistics
Possession
CBR
52%
DEN
48%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
1
1
Big Chances Created
0
2
Shots
5
64
Dangerous attacks
67
52
Possession
48
7
Corners
6
9
Free kicks
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
7
Successful Dribbles
6
47
Successful Dribbles Percentage
23
15
Dribble Attempts
26
21
Throwins
31
8
Goal Kicks
4
2
Assists
0
5
Substitutions
5
0
Hit Woodwork
1
7
Goal Attempts
8
84
Ball Safe
85
1
Injuries
0
Attacking
85
Attacks
70
Possession
446
Passes
399
80
Successful Passes Percentage
75
359
Successful Passes
298
46
Long Passes
76
50
Successful Long Passes Percentage
43
23
Successful Long Passes
33
8
Key Passes
7
Defensive
70
Duels Won
45
32
Tackles
18
10
Interceptions
11
2
Saves
3
Build-up
15
Total Crosses
20
3
Accurate Crosses
4
Discipline
2
Offsides
6
9
Fouls
9
Lineup
Referee :
Bram Van Driessche
Manager ▼
L. Friis
Coach
Starting XI ▼
6Lawrence Agyekum
6.76Midfielder73'
28
Hannes Van Der Bruggen
Midfielder
6.81 18Pieter Gerkens
6.88Midfielder46'
37
Edan Diop
Midfielder
6.99 Substitutes ▼
Referee :
Bram Van Driessche
Manager ▼
A. Abdul Raouf
Coach
Starting XI ▼
30
Guillaume Dietsch
Goalkeeper
6.8 5
Luc Marijnissen
Defender
6.74
6
Bo De Kerf
Defender
6.52 7
Bryan Goncalves
Defender
6.88 70
Marsoni Sambu
Defender
6.62 11
Ragnar Oratmangoen
Midfielder
6.65 15Krzysztof Koton
6.57Midfielder73'
18
Nathan Rôdes
Midfielder
6.59 23
Desmond Acquah
Midfielder
6.47 90Mohamed Berte
6.6Attacker62'
24
Malcolm Viltard
Midfielder
27
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Midfielder
6.69
67Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui
6.36Defender72'
9
David Toševski
Attacker
6.69 Substitutes ▼
1
Louis Fortin
Goalkeeper
46
Victor Elnora Lembi N'Zelo
Defender
6.93 60
Oumar Balde
Midfielder
19
Jordan Kadiri
Attacker
6.64
Events
2ND-HALF
84'
Malcolm Viltard
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
10th Substitution
81'
7th Substitution
73'
Lawrence Agyekum → Ibrahima Diaby
8th Substitution
73'
73'
Krzysztof Koton → Ragnar Oratmangoen
9th Substitution
72'
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui → Alireza Jahanbakhsh
6th Substitution
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
69'
5th Substitution
62'
62'
4th Substitution
62'
Mohamed Berte → Desmond Acquah
3rd Substitution
54'
Luc Marijnissen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Pieter Gerkens → Hannes Van Der Bruggen
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
29'
18'
Alireza Jahanbakhsh
1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Cercle Brugge's 2-1 triumph over Dender underscored their edge as the stronger team, with 52% possession and a halftime lead translating into three points. The minimal 5.3% deviation and market alignment highlight a result true to form, unmarred by red cards or major disruptions. Absent xG metrics limit deeper efficiency insights, but the scoreline captured the home side's control and Dender's resilience in response. This outcome bolsters Cercle Brugge's standing without surprises.
