Celtic vs Dundee preview
2026/2027 Premiership, Scotland
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Celtic defeated Dundee 1-0 in a match that stayed level at 0-0 through halftime. Celtic controlled the game with 66 percent possession and created an expected goals advantage of 2.69 to 0.57. The stronger team maintained pressure throughout and converted their dominance into the sole goal after the break. Dundee remained compact but generated few chances with just 34 percent possession. No red cards occurred for either side, allowing the contest to unfold without disciplinary interruptions. The final score reflected Celtic's overall superiority on the day.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Celtic 1-0 Dundee. Celtic showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's output.
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xG alignment: The outcome proved consistent with the xG differential of 2.12.
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Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match projections for the stronger side.
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xG expectations: Celtic posted xG of 2.69 against Dundee's 0.57.
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Event impact: No notable events disrupted the second-half progression.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion to match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
83.15
63.58
Celtic
Dundee
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Celtic
Dundee
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Celtic
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Celtic
Celtic
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Celtic
Celtic
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- DUD had peak pressure around 83'.
- CEL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-04T00:01:03+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
Celtic
vs
Kilmarnock
League: Premiership
Kickoff: Sun, 9 Aug - 12:30 PM
Venue: Rugby Park
Dundee
vs
Aberdeen
League: Premiership
Kickoff: Sat, 8 Aug - 2:00 PM
Venue: Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼





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Match Commentary