Celtic vs Dundee preview

Scotland flag 2026/2027 Premiership, Scotland
Celtic Park Today - 6:30 PM
Premiership
Celtic CEL
1 0
Dundee DUD
Full Time Today 6:30 PM
Round 1 1st Phase
Benjamin Nygren - 52'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Celtic faced Dundee in a tightly contested encounter that ended with a narrow 1-0 win for the home side after a scoreless first half. The teams were level at 0-0 at the interval. Celtic controlled the majority of possession at 65 percent while Dundee held 35 percent. Expected goals heavily favored the hosts at 2.69 to 0.57 for the visitors creating a differential of 2.12. The stronger team Celtic secured the three points in line with their overall dominance. No red cards were issued during the match. The outcome reflected the underlying performance metrics despite the low scoring nature of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Celtic 1-0 Dundee. Celtic showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for the match.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome aligned with the expected goals differential of 2.12.
  • Market alignment: The result was aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Celtic generated 2.69 expected goals compared to Dundee's 0.57.
  • Event impact: The single goal proved decisive in securing the victory for Celtic.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. McDermid
M. McDermid
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Rae
C. Rae
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Potter
D. Potter
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Wilson
L. Wilson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Celtic M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
VS
Dundee S. Pressley
S. Pressley
2.43
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hearts Rank: 75 W
Motherwell Rank: 72 W
Rangers Rank: 79 W
Hibernian Rank: 71 W
Falkirk Rank: 66 W
St. Mirren Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aberdeen Rank: 63 W
Kilmarnock Rank: 65 L
Livingston Rank: 56 W
St. Mirren Rank: 63 W
Dundee United Rank: 66 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 65 D
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.06
63.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celtic
Dundee
Power Score
83.06
63.84
League Position
7
8
Global Rank
59
499

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score
Dundee — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celtic Dundee

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Celtic

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dundee

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Celtic
vs
Dundee
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Celtic Dundee
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
4%
75%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.11 vs -0.43
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Celtic Dundee
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
75%
4%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.43 vs -0.11
Celtic
Dundee
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Celtic
vs
Dundee
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Celtic Dundee
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Celtic 0.00
Dundee 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Celtic Dundee
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Celtic 0.00
Dundee 0.00
Celtic
Dundee
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DUD had peak pressure around 83'.
  • CEL started the game with stronger pressure.
CEL Pressure DUD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DUD reached the top pressure at 83' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celtic CEL Home
6 matches
Dundee DUD Away
Match Record
4
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
4
Goals
14
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
14
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T18:00:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
V. Sinisalo
Finland
1 V. Sinisalo
A. Johnston
Canada
2 A. Johnston
C. Carter-Vickers
United States
20 C. Carter-Vickers
A. Trusty
United States
6 A. Trusty
K. Tierney
Substitution
Scotland
63 K. Tierney
C. McGregor
Scotland
42 C. McGregor
B. Nygren
Substitution
Sweden
8 B. Nygren
A. Engels
Belgium
27 A. Engels
K. Høgh
Denmark
9 K. Høgh
C. Durán Marquez
Substitution
Colombia
11 C. Durán Marquez
H. Yang
Substitution
South Korea
13 H. Yang
O. Goodman
Canada
1 O. Goodman
D. Wright
Substitution
England
7 D. Wright
O. Bevan
Wales
5 O. Bevan
R. Astley
Wales
4 R. Astley
I. Odutayo
England
3 I. Odutayo
E. Hamilton
Scotland
48 E. Hamilton
R. Finnigan
England
8 R. Finnigan
C. Reilly
Substitution
Scotland
18 C. Reilly
J. Westley
England
19 J. Westley
J. Bevan
Substitution
Scotland
27 J. Bevan
S. Murray
Substitution
Scotland
15 S. Murray

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 03, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Premiership, Scotland · Round 1 · 1st Phase
Stadium
Celtic Park
Capacity
60411
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matthew McDermid
Chris Rae
Dougie Potter
Lloyd Wilson

Statistics

Possession
CEL
64%
DUD
36%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 5
86 Dangerous attacks 37
65 Possession 35
9 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 11
4 Substitutions 4
13 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 0
20 Successful Headers 12
1 Assists 0
11 Dribble Attempts 10
7 Successful Dribbles 3
64 Successful Dribbles Percentage 30

Attacking

135 Attacks 89
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

40 Long Passes 53
653 Passes 341
563 Successful Passes 249
86 Successful Passes Percentage 73
14 Key Passes 9
12 Successful Long Passes 11
30 Successful Long Passes Percentage 21

Defensive

3 Saves 3
14 Tackles 11
9 Interceptions 14
48 Duels Won 37

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 14
3 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Matthew McDermid

Starting XI ▼

1
Viljami Sinisalo
Viljami Sinisalo Goalkeeper
6.61
2
Alistair Johnston
Alistair Johnston Defender
7.06
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty Defender
7.02
20
Cameron Carter-Vickers
Cameron Carter-Vickers Defender
7.16
63
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Defender
7.22
51
Colby Donovan
Colby Donovan
Defender83'
6.77
8
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren Midfielder
7.37
14
Luke McCowan
Luke McCowan
Midfielder83'
6.75
27
Arne Engels
Arne Engels Midfielder
6.93
42
Callum McGregor
Callum McGregor Midfielder
7.09
9
Kasper Høgh
Kasper Høgh Attacker
7.28
11
Camilo Durán
Camilo Durán Attacker
8.03
49
James Forrest
James Forrest
Attacker78'
6.71
13
Hyun-jun Yang
Hyun-jun Yang Attacker
6.97
23
Sebastian Tounekti
Sebastian Tounekti
Attacker78'
6.86
Referee : Matthew McDermid

Starting XI ▼

1
Owen Goodman
Owen Goodman Goalkeeper
6.22
3
I. Odutayo
I. Odutayo Defender
6.79
4
Ryan Astley
Ryan Astley Defender
6.89
5
Owen Bevan
Owen Bevan Defender
7
Drey Wright
Drey Wright Midfielder
6.77
2
Brad Halliday
Brad Halliday
Defender80'
6.75
8
Ryan Finnigan
Ryan Finnigan Midfielder
7.09
18
Charlie Reilly
Charlie Reilly Midfielder
6.63
10
Finlay Robertson
Finlay Robertson
Midfielder60'
6.72
48
Ethan Hamilton
Ethan Hamilton Midfielder
6.79
15
Simon Murray
Simon Murray Attacker
6.64
—
Simon Murray
60'
19
Joe Westley
Joe Westley Attacker
6.69
27
Joe Bevan
Joe Bevan Attacker
6.31
14
Alan Forrest
Alan Forrest
Attacker80'
6.58

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Arne Engels
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+1'
90'
Event
Ashley Hay
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Colby Donovan → Kieran Tierney
7th Substitution
83'
Event
Luke McCowan → Benjamin Nygren
8th Substitution
83'
80'
Event
Alan Forrest → Joe Bevan
5th Substitution
80'
Event
Brad Halliday → Drey Wright
6th Substitution
Event
James Forrest → Camilo Durán
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Sebastian Tounekti → Hyun-jun Yang
4th Substitution
78'
60'
Event
Ashley Hay → Simon Murray
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Finlay Robertson → Charlie Reilly
2nd Substitution
Event
Benjamin Nygren
Header / 1st Goal
52'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Arne Engels receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ashley Hay receives a yellow card.
89
Attempt Attempt
Ethan Hamilton takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Tounekti takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
James Forrest takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Callum McGregor takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
84
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Waarst Hogh takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Update Update
Colby Donovan replaces Kieran Tierney.
83
Substitution Substitution
Luke McCowan is substituted for Benjamin Nygren.
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ashley Hay Head Shot Saved
80
Update Update
Brad Halliday comes on for Drey Wright.
80
Update Update
Brad Halliday replaces Drey Wright.
79
Update Update
Alan Forrest replaces Joe Bevan.
79
Update Update
Offside.
78
Update Update
Offside.
78
Update Update
On comes James Forrest, and Camilo Duran goes off.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Attempt Attempt
Callum McGregor takes a left-footed shot but misses.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Attempt Attempt
Kieran Tierney's right-footed shot is saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Yang Hyun-Jun takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
60
Update Update
Finlay Robertson replaces Charlie Reilly.
60
Update Update
On Ashley Hay, off Simon Murray.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Owen Bevan takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Benjamin Nygren scores with a header.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Benjamin Nygren scores to make it 1-0.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Attempt Attempt
Kieran Tierney's left-footed shot is saved.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Attempt Attempt
Owen Bevan takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Owen Bevan's left-footed shot is blocked.
31
Attempt Attempt
Yang Hyun-Jun takes a right-footed shot, but it misses.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Owen Bevan takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Owen Bevan takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Joe Bevan takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Waarst Hogh takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ethan Hamilton takes a left-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Cameron Carter-Vickers takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Nygren takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Finnigan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Charlie Reilly takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Attempt Attempt
Joe Westley takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Joe Westley takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Nygren takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Attempt Attempt
Kasper Waarst Hogh takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Yang Hyun-Jun takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has started!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Celtic 1-0 Dundee. Structural assessment: Celtic exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.