Celtic VS AC Milan

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World

Celtic Park Sat, 25 Jul - 2:00 PM

Club Friendlies 1

Celtic CEL

2 – 2

AC Milan MIL

Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 2:00 PM

Regular Season

Camilo Durán - 11'

James Forrest - 28'

Francesco Camarda - 47' (P), 52'

CONTEXT

The encounter between Celtic and AC Milan concluded with a 2-2 draw after a dramatic second half turnaround. Celtic established a two goal advantage by the interval with the halftime score standing at 2-0. Despite AC Milan being the stronger side on paper they trailed significantly at the break. The visitors controlled more of the ball with 55 percent possession while Celtic managed 45 percent. Both teams avoided any dismissals throughout the ninety minutes. The final result came after AC Milan netted twice following the restart to level the scores. This outcome featured a notable structural deviation associated with the away team. The match demonstrated how early leads can be overturned through persistent pressure and tactical changes in the latter stages. Overall the game showcased balanced attacking efforts from both participants leading to an even final tally.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Final score: Celtic 2-2 AC Milan. AC Milan showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed patterns for both teams.
xG alignment: No xG data was available to determine alignment with the match outcome.
Market alignment: The final result was aligned with the market.
xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing metrics.
Event impact: AC Milan scored twice in the second half to erase a two goal deficit.
Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion to proceedings.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

N. Walsh

Referee • 25 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 30.4

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 4

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0.36

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0.36

League Avg 0

M. O'Neill

R. Amorim

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 2 - 7

Team Power Ranking

82.3

85.05

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Celtic

AC Milan

Power Score

82.3

85.05

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score

AC Milan — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celtic AC Milan

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Celtic

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

AC Milan

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Celtic ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy AC Milan

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

19.44

21.73

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

21.73

19.44

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Celtic -0.02 Efficiency Index

AC Milan +0.02 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Celtic

AC Milan

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Celtic ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy AC Milan

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Celtic AC Milan

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Celtic AC Milan

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Celtic

AC Milan

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Celtic

AC Milan

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Celtic AC Milan

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Celtic AC Milan

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Celtic

AC Milan

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

MIL had peak pressure around 53'.
MIL started the game with stronger pressure.

CEL Pressure MIL Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: MIL reached the top pressure at 53' (75.89).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 10 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celtic CEL Home

10 matches

AC Milan MIL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-12

Goal Difference

+12

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:01:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

General Information

Date & Time

Jul 25, 2026, 02:00 PM

Competition

2026 Club Friendlies 1, World · Regular Season

Stadium

Celtic Park

Capacity

60411

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

N. Walsh

Statistics

Possession

CEL

46%

MIL

54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2

4 Big Chances Created 2

3 Shots 3

35 Dangerous attacks 39

45 Possession 55

3 Corners 3

14 Free kicks 8

1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1

5 Goal Kicks 4

18 Substitutions 24

14 Throwins 21

9 Dribble Attempts 17

6 Successful Dribbles 7

67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 41

Attacking

61 Attacks 82

2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

59 Long Passes 56

471 Passes 588

410 Successful Passes 524

87 Successful Passes Percentage 89

3 Key Passes 7

38 Successful Long Passes 30

64 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54

Defensive

2 Saves 2

18 Tackles 15

5 Interceptions 8

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 11

1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : N. Walsh

Manager ▼

M. O'Neill Coach

Starting XI ▼

Viljami Sinisalo Goalkeeper

6.29

Cameron Carter-Vickers Defender

6.1

Liam Scales

Defender62'

6.92

Dane Murray Defender

6.48

Colby Donovan Defender

6.54

Adam Montgomery

Defender89'

Kieran Tierney Defender

6.28

Anthony Ralston

Defender63'

6.63

Luke McCowan Midfielder

6.53

Sean Mcardle

Midfielder46'

6.34

Arne Engels Midfielder

6.64

Thomas Hatton

Midfielder76'

6.64

Callum McGregor (C) Midfielder

6.71

Paulo Bernardo

Midfielder75'

6.45

Camilo Durán Attacker

8.03

Reo Hatate

Midfielder75'

6.73

Sebastian Tounekti Attacker

6.43

Callum Osmand

Attacker63'

6.38

James Forrest Attacker

7.27

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain

Midfielder46'

5.93

Substitutes ▼

Ross Doohan Goalkeeper

Marcus Gill Goalkeeper

F. Turley Midfielder

Michel-Ange Balikwisha Attacker

Referee : N. Walsh

Manager ▼

R. Amorim Coach

Starting XI ▼

Lorenzo Torriani Goalkeeper

6.26

Fikayo Tomori Defender

6.29

Mario Gila

Defender46'

6.54

Strahinja Pavlović Defender

5.64

Filippo Terracciano

Midfielder46'

6.85

Matteo Gabbia (C) Defender

6.43

David Odogu

Defender46'

6.72

Samuele Ricci Midfielder

Youssouf Fofana

Midfielder46'

6.48

Zachary Athekame Midfielder

6.31

Samuel Chukwueze

Attacker46'

7.82

Christian Comotto Midfielder

6.61

Aurelien Guernier

Attacker46'

6.36

Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder

6.2

Emanuele Borsani

Attacker60'

6.56

Ruben Loftus-Cheek Attacker

6.69

Silvano Vos

Midfielder60'

6.2

Lorenzo Ossola Attacker

6.25

Yunus Musah

Midfielder46'

6.63

Andrej Kostic Attacker

6.32

Francesco Camarda

Attacker46'

8.57

Substitutes ▼

Matteo Pittarella Goalkeeper

Léo Paul Bouyer Goalkeeper

Events

2ND-HALF

Adam Montgomery →

21st Substitution

89'

Thomas Hatton →

20th Substitution

76'

Alphadjo Cissè →

19th Substitution

Paulo Bernardo →

17th Substitution

75'

Reo Hatate →

18th Substitution

75'

68'

Valeri Vladimirov →

16th Substitution

Callum Osmand →

14th Substitution

63'

Anthony Ralston →

15th Substitution

63'

Liam Scales →

13th Substitution

62'

60'

Emanuele Borsani →

11th Substitution

60'

Silvano Vos →

12th Substitution

52'

Francesco Camarda

Header / 3rd Goal

Kieran Tierney

Foul / 1st Yellowcard

50'

47'

Francesco Camarda

Right foot shot / 1st Penalty

Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain →

2nd Substitution

46'

Sean Mcardle →

7th Substitution

46'

Francesco Camarda →

1st Substitution

46'

Samuel Chukwueze →

3rd Substitution

46'

Youssouf Fofana →

4th Substitution

46'

Mario Gila →

5th Substitution

46'

Aurelien Guernier →

6th Substitution

46'

Yunus Musah →

8th Substitution

46'

David Odogu →

9th Substitution

46'

Filippo Terracciano →

10th Substitution

1ST-HALF

James Forrest

Right foot shot / 2nd Goal

28'

Camilo Durán

Left foot shot / 1st Goal

11'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Celtic 2-2 AC Milan. Structural assessment: AC Milan exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Celtic

AC Milan

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Possession

Defensive

Build-up

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Events

CONCLUSION

Celtic vs AC Milan preview

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Celtic

AC Milan

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Possession

Defensive

Build-up

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Events

CONCLUSION