Celta de Vigo vs Elche preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Balaídos
La Liga
Celta de VigoCEL
ElcheELC
KICKOFF :
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Celta de Vigo hosts Elche at Estadio de Balaídos in a La Liga regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 6th in the standings, Celta holds a clear structural edge with a power score of 78.7 against Elche's 62.59, translating to a 16.1-point advantage that underscores their superior overall quality. However, Elche arrives with stronger recent momentum, boasting a form score of 27.61 compared to Celta's 9.39, suggesting potential for an upset if they capitalize on counter-attacks. Both sides lack detailed efficiency and set-piece metrics, with data proxies indicating low confidence in those areas. Celta's home strength and higher league placement provide a solid foundation, but Elche's form could test their defensive transitions. Squad depth favors the hosts, setting the stage for a tactical battle where execution in open play will prove decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celta de Vigo leads structurally with a 16.1 power point advantage and 6th place versus Elche's 14th.
  • Form: Elche enters with superior form at 27.61 compared to Celta de Vigo's 9.39.
  • Squad: Celta de Vigo's squad power score of 78.7 outrates Elche's 62.59 significantly.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable; Elche's form may aid counter-attacks.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Celta de Vigo 53.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.8% (Δ+0%) | Elche 21.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celta de Vigo C. Giráldez González
C. Giráldez González
VS
Elche E. Sarabia Armesto
E. Sarabia Armesto
1.41
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.09
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Villarreal Rank: 82 L
FC Barcelona Rank: 95 L
Real Oviedo Rank: 70 L
Valencia Rank: 77 W
Deportivo Alavés Rank: 76 L
Real Betis Rank: 81 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 W
Atlético Madrid Rank: 89 W
Valencia Rank: 77 W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 77 L
Mallorca Rank: 76 W
Real Madrid Rank: 92 L
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 6 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celta de Vigo
53.6%
Draw
24.75%
Away Elche
21.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
78.7
62.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celta de Vigo
Elche
Power Score
78.7
62.59
League Position
6
14
Global Rank
66
114

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Celta de Vigo — Opponent-weighted form score
Elche — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celta de Vigo Elche

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celta de Vigo CEL Home
21 matches
Elche ELC Away
Match Record
8
Wins
7
6
Draws
6
7
Losses
8
Goals
25
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
25
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:03:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Balaídos
Capacity
25000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
6.87
21
Mihailo Ristic
Mihailo Ristic Defender
6.7
29
Yoel Lago
Yoel Lago Defender
6.55
32
Javi Rodríguez
Javi Rodríguez Defender
6.69
3
Óscar Mingueza
Óscar Mingueza Midfielder
6.91
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Midfielder
6.79
6
Ilaix Moriba
Ilaix Moriba Midfielder
6.79
22
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo Midfielder
7.01
7
Borja Iglesias
Borja Iglesias Attacker
6.91
18
Pablo Durán
Pablo Durán Attacker
6.65
23
Hugo Álvarez
Hugo Álvarez Attacker
6.74

Starting XI ▼

1
Matías Dituro
Matías Dituro Goalkeeper
7.15
3
Adrià Pedrosa
Adrià Pedrosa Defender
6.8
6
Pedro Bigas
Pedro Bigas Defender
6.85
22
David Affengruber
David Affengruber Defender
6.91
39
Héctor Fort
Héctor Fort Defender
6.68
42
Buba Sangaré
Buba Sangaré Defender
6.49
8
Marc Aguado
Marc Aguado Midfielder
6.81
12
Gonzalo Villar
Gonzalo Villar Midfielder
6.74
14
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas Midfielder
7.08
9
André Silva
André Silva Attacker
6.88
20
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez Attacker
6.88

CONCLUSION

Celta de Vigo's power and positional superiority make them the team to beat at home, where they can leverage their 16.1-point edge to control possession and create chances. Elche's impressive form score hints at resilience, particularly in transitions, but facing a higher-ranked side away presents challenges. Without reliable set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to squad execution and adaptability. Expect Celta to edge a competitive encounter through structural dominance, though Elche's momentum demands respect from the hosts' backline.