Celje vs Ararat-Armenia preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadion Z'dežele Tue, 11 Aug - 6:15 PM
Champions League
KICKOFF : Tue, 11 Aug - 6:15 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Celje welcomes Ararat-Armenia to Stadion Z'dežele for the second leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie in the 2026/2027 season. The Slovenian side carries a modest power advantage of 4.5 points and is regarded as the stronger team on paper. However Ararat-Armenia arrives with the higher form score at 23.33 against Celje's 16.67, suggesting momentum could favour the visitors. Both sides operate with limited underlying data, as efficiency, set-piece and transition metrics remain unavailable. The match represents a key European night for Celje on home soil where they will look to leverage their structural edge. Ararat-Armenia must manage the return fixture carefully after the first leg. This encounter promises a tactical battle shaped by the contrasting profiles of the two clubs.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celje holds a 4.5 point power advantage and is identified as the stronger team.
  • Form: Ararat-Armenia enters with a higher form score of 23.33 compared to Celje's 16.67.
  • Squad: Celje is regarded as the stronger side overall despite limited squad detail.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain unavailable due to limited data access.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence and proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG variables are unavailable as the xG add-on is not enabled.
  • Market: Celje 66.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.2% (Δ+0%) | Ararat-Armenia 12.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Celje V. de Carvalho Campelos
V. de Carvalho Campelos
VS
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ararat-Armenia Rank: D
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Rank: 51 D
Egnatia Rrogozhinë Rank: 49 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.4 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celje Rank: 74 D
Shamrock Rovers Rank: L
Shamrock Rovers Rank: W
Riga Rank: L
Riga Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Celje
66.23%
Draw
21.23%
Away Ararat-Armenia
12.53%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.17
28.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Celje
Ararat-Armenia
Power Score
33.17
28.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Celje Opponent-weighted form score
Ararat-Armenia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Celje Ararat-Armenia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Celje CEL Home
1 matches
Ararat-Armenia ARAR2 Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-04T00:59:29+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Z'dežele
Capacity
13059
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

21
Simon Sluga
Simon Sluga Goalkeeper
23
Žiga Frelih
Žiga Frelih Goalkeeper
1
Žan Luk Leban
Žan Luk Leban Goalkeeper
12
Luka Kolar
Luka Kolar Goalkeeper
33
Leonardo Koutris
Leonardo Koutris Defender
2
Pijus Sirvys
Pijus Sirvys Defender
3
Damjan Vukliševič
Matija Kavčič
Matija Kavčič Defender
15
David Castro Pazos
David Castro Pazos Defender
20
Alpha Richard Dionkou
44
Łukasz Bejger
Łukasz Bejger Defender
14
Nino Vukasović
Nino Vukasović Defender
G. Vodeb
G. Vodeb Defender
Sen Džumhur
Sen Džumhur Defender
8
Mario Kvesić
Mario Kvesić Midfielder
17
Andrej Kotnik
Andrej Kotnik Midfielder
94
Rudi Vancaš Požeg
Rudi Vancaš Požeg Midfielder
4
Darko Hrka
Darko Hrka Midfielder
19
Mark Zabukovnik
Mark Zabukovnik Midfielder
10
Svit Sešlar
Svit Sešlar Midfielder
27
Ivan Ćalušić
Ivan Ćalušić Midfielder
Jošt Pišek
Jošt Pišek Midfielder
13
Papa Mustapha Daniel
22
Jakov Pranjić
Jakov Pranjić Midfielder
Domagoj Vidović
Domagoj Vidović Midfielder
7
Florjan Jevšenak
Florjan Jevšenak Midfielder
99
Matej Poplatnik
Matej Poplatnik Attacker
11
Milot Avdyli
Milot Avdyli Attacker
25
Veton Tusha
Veton Tusha Attacker
91
Yaya Dukuly
Yaya Dukuly Attacker
47
Armandas Kučys
Armandas Kučys Attacker
77
Matic Ivanšek
Matic Ivanšek Attacker
Dejan Suhovrsnik
Dejan Suhovrsnik Attacker
Lukas Ceh
Lukas Ceh Attacker

Squad

1
Arman Nersesyan
Arman Nersesyan Goalkeeper
66
Hayk Khachatryan
Hayk Khachatryan Goalkeeper
13
Kamo Hovhannisyan
47
Alexandros Malis
Alexandros Malis Defender
14
Bruno Martins Pereira
16
Edgar Grigoryan
Edgar Grigoryan Defender
19
Karen Muradyan
Karen Muradyan Midfielder
20
Alwyn Luheni Tera
Alwyn Luheni Tera Midfielder
10
Armen Ambartsumyan
Armen Ambartsumyan Midfielder
17
Maxence Carlier
Maxence Carlier Midfielder
11
Zidane Banjaqui
Zidane Banjaqui Midfielder
6
Michel Ayvazyan
Michel Ayvazyan Midfielder
Davit Petrosyan
Davit Petrosyan Midfielder
90
Paul Ayongo
Paul Ayongo Attacker
25
Alioune Ndour
Alioune Ndour Attacker
7
Zhirayr Shaghoyan
Misak Hakobyan
Misak Hakobyan Attacker
77
Artur Serobyan
Artur Serobyan Attacker
9
Arayik Eloyan
Arayik Eloyan Attacker

CONCLUSION

Celje will aim to use their power edge and home support to progress in this European tie. Ararat-Armenia's stronger recent form offers them a platform to challenge the hosts and seek a positive result on the road. With many advanced metrics unavailable the contest is likely to be decided by organisation and individual quality. Both teams face a high-stakes second leg where small margins could prove decisive. Celje must balance ambition with defensive discipline while Ararat-Armenia will look to exploit any lapses. The outcome will shape their European campaigns for the season ahead.