Catanzaro vs Monza preview
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Sun, 24 May - 6:00 PM
Serie B
Catanzaro
CAT
Monza
MON
KICKOFF :
Sun, 24 May - 6:00 PM
Final ·
Leg 1 of 2
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 28
CONTEXT
Catanzaro hosts Monza at the Stadio Nicola Ceravolo in the Serie B Promotion Play-offs Final first leg. The home side sits fifth in the domestic league table while the visitors occupy third place. Catanzaro carries a narrow power score lead of 61.05 to Monza's 60.29, marking the hosts as the marginally stronger team on paper. Form readings show Monza ahead with 26.44 against Catanzaro's 22.78, suggesting the away side arrives in better recent rhythm. Both clubs have advanced through earlier knockout rounds to contest this decisive pairing. The venue atmosphere figures to energize the hosts, yet Monza's higher league standing adds balance to expectations. Analytical attention centers on how each team structures its approach across open play and structured phases. Limited efficiency and transition metrics leave room for in-match adjustments to shape outcomes.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Catanzaro holds a narrow power score edge of 0.8 points over Monza in this domestic league fixture.
-
Form: Monza arrives with a stronger form score of 26.44 compared to Catanzaro's 22.78.
-
Squad: Detailed squad composition data remains unavailable for both Catanzaro and Monza.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency indicators are not supplied in the pre-match dataset for either side.
-
Transition: Transition metrics show no specific recorded values ahead of the contest.
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Set pieces: Set piece evaluation depends on low-confidence proxy data for Catanzaro and Monza.
-
xVariable: Power scores list Catanzaro at 61.05 and Monza at 60.29 as primary variables.
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Market: Catanzaro 33.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.6% (Δ+0%) | Monza 36.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
A. Aquilani
VS
P. Bianco
1.75
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.89
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Palermo
Rank: 63
L
Palermo
Rank: 64
W
Avellino
Rank: 54
W
Bari 1908
Rank: 50
L
Palermo
Rank: 64
L
Spezia
Rank: 52
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia
Rank: 57
W
Juve Stabia
Rank: 57
D
Empoli
Rank: 55
D
Mantova
Rank: 54
L
Modena
Rank: 56
W
Sampdoria
Rank: 53
W
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Catanzaro
33.32%
Draw
30.61%
Monza
36.07%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.05
60.29
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Catanzaro
Monza
Power Score
61.05
60.29
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
452
296
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Catanzaro
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Monza
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Catanzaro Monza
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Catanzaro
CAT
Home
2
matches
Monza
MON
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:11:20+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
22 M. Pigliacelli
84 T. Cassandro
4 M. Antonini Lui
23 N. Brighenti
27 C. Favasuli
10 J. Petriccione
20 S. Pontisso
30 G. Alesi
14 M. Liberali
9 P. Iemmello
8 F. Pittarello
20 D. Thiam
44 A. Carboni
15 F. Delli Carri
19 S. Birindelli
7 P. Dentello Azzi
21 L. Colombo
32 M. Pessina
24 A. Bakoune
47 D. Carvalho
28 A. Colpani
37 A. Petagna
General Information
Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Final · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Capacity
14650
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Catanzaro
vs
Monza
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 29 May - 6:00 PM
Venue: U-Power Stadium
Monza
vs
Catanzaro
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 29 May - 6:00 PM
Venue: U-Power Stadium
Expected Lineup
Manager ▼
A. Aquilani
Coach
Starting XI ▼
22
Mirko Pigliacelli
Goalkeeper
6.78 14
Mattia Liberali
Midfielder
6.81 27
Costantino Favasuli
Midfielder
6.94 9
Pietro Iemmello
Midfielder
7.11 30
Gabriele Alesi
Midfielder
6.74 8
Filippo Pittarello
Centre Forward
7.02 4
Matias Antonini
Centre Back
6.9 23
Nicolò Brighenti
Left Back
6.81 10
Jacopo Petriccione
Central Midfield
7 20
Simone Pontisso
Central Midfield
7.22 84
Tommaso Cassandro
Right Back
7.02 Substitutes ▼
19
Patrick Nuamah
6.48 21
Marco Pompetti
6.65 28
Rémi Oudin
6.76 1
Christian Marietta
5.8 5
Ervin Bashi
6.86 6
Fellipe Jack
6.64 26
Bruno Verrengia
6.5 32
Fabio Rispoli
6.75 62
Ruggero Frosinini
6.55 77
Marco D'Alessandro
6.77 94
Federico Di Francesco
6.82 98
Davide Buglio
6.62 Manager ▼
P. Bianco
Coach
Starting XI ▼
20
Demba Thiam
Goalkeeper
7 24
Adam Bakoune
Midfielder
6.66 7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Midfielder
7.04 28
Andrea Colpani
Midfielder
7.04 47
Dany Mota
Midfielder
6.86 37
Andrea Petagna
Centre Forward
6.91 15
Filippo Delli Carri
Centre Back
6.88 19
Samuele Birindelli
Right Back
6.93 21
Leonardo Colombo
Central Midfield
6.69 32
Matteo Pessina
Central Midfield
7.11 44
Andrea Carboni
Left Back
6.94 Substitutes ▼
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
7 10
Patrick Cutrone
6.93 25
Agustín Álvarez
6.75 2
Arvid Brorsson
6.6 3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
6.64 6
Valentin Antov
7.09 8
Hernani
7.11 13
Luca Ravanelli
7.03 14
Pedro Obiang
6.92 26
Patrick Ciurria
6.68 27
Samuele Capolupo
6.43 30
Giuseppe Caso
6.75 CONCLUSION
Catanzaro and Monza meet in a tightly matched encounter where small margins could decide progress. The hosts benefit from home support and a slight overall rating advantage, yet Monza counters with superior recent form and a higher league position. Both teams must navigate the absence of detailed efficiency and set-piece insights by adapting quickly once play begins. Structural discipline and effective use of available resources will likely determine control of key areas. With the series only starting, each side has scope to impose its preferred tempo without immediate pressure from prior results. Observers can expect a measured contest focused on minimizing errors while seeking openings through organized build-up and defensive resilience.