Casa Pia vs Rio Ave preview

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Pina Manique Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Liga Portugal
Casa Pia CPAC
Rio Ave RAFC
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 12:00 AM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Casa Pia host Rio Ave in Liga Portugal (Regular Season) at Estádio Pina Manique. Domestically, Casa Pia sit 16th in the table while Rio Ave are 13th. Power ranking favours Rio Ave by 1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Rio Ave enjoys a 1-point power advantage (63.95 vs 62.94) and superior league standing (13th vs Casa Pia's 16th).
  • Form: Rio Ave leads with a perfect form score of 10, surpassing Casa Pia's 9.06.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates or injuries reported for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxy usage.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Casa Pia 56.6% (Δ+0.5%) | Draw 24.1% (Δ+-0%) | Rio Ave 19.3% (Δ-0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Casa Pia Á. Pacheco
Á. Pacheco
VS
Rio Ave S. Silaidopoulos
S. Silaidopoulos
0.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 72 W
Tondela Rank: 60 L
Gil Vicente Rank: 69 L
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Santa Clara Rank: 64 D
Alverca Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting CP Rank: 88 L
Gil Vicente Rank: 70 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 L
AVS Rank: 60 D
Santa Clara Rank: 68 W
Alverca Rank: 67 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Casa Pia
56.62%
Draw
24.11%
Away Rio Ave
19.27%

Movement

Changes since opening
Casa Pia
+0.47%
Draw
-0.01%
Rio Ave
-0.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.94
63.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Power Score
62.94
63.95
League Position
16
13
Global Rank
407
370

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Casa Pia — Opponent-weighted form score
Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Casa Pia Rio Ave

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Casa Pia CPAC Home
7 matches
Rio Ave RAFC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
8
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T01:04:03+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 17, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique
Capacity
7000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

33
Ricardo Jorge Cecilia Batista
Ricardo Jorge Cecilia Batista Goalkeeper
—
Rodrigo Moura Nascimento
Rodrigo Moura Nascimento Goalkeeper
1
Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías
Patrick Gilmar Sequeira Mejías Goalkeeper
95
Ivan Mandić
Ivan Mandić Goalkeeper
6
José Miguel da Rocha Fonte
José Miguel da Rocha Fonte Defender
18
André Geraldes de Barros
André Geraldes de Barros Defender
5
Abdu Conté
Abdu Conté Defender
72
Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea
Gaizka Larrazabal Goikoetxea Defender
4
João Pedro Goulart Silva
João Pedro Goulart Silva Defender
27
Kaique Rocha Lima
Kaique Rocha Lima Defender
43
David Sousa Albino
David Sousa Albino Defender
75
Pedro Silva Rosas
Pedro Silva Rosas Defender
3
Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira
Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Defender
42
Sebastián Pérez Cardona
Sebastián Pérez Cardona Midfielder
80
Lawrence Ofori
Lawrence Ofori Midfielder
8
Rafael Brito
Rafael Brito Midfielder
24
Iyad Mohamed
Iyad Mohamed Midfielder
19
Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado
Kevin Estiven Prieto Machado Midfielder
29
Jérémy Livolant
Jérémy Livolant Attacker
90
Cassiano Dias Moreira
Cassiano Dias Moreira Attacker
—
Francisco Pedro Tiago Silva
Francisco Pedro Tiago Silva Attacker
7
Kelian Nsona Wa Saka
Kelian Nsona Wa Saka Attacker
99
Claudio Mendes Vicente
Claudio Mendes Vicente Attacker
10
Dailon Rocha Livramento do Rosario
Dailon Rocha Livramento do Rosario Attacker
21
Tiago Fontoura Fonseca Morais
Tiago Fontoura Fonseca Morais Attacker
11
João Miguel Vieira Freitas Silva Marques
João Miguel Vieira Freitas Silva Marques Attacker
17
Xander Severina
Xander Severina Attacker
13
Oluwakorede David Osundina
Oluwakorede David Osundina Attacker

Squad ▼

22
Kevin José Chamorro Rodríguez
Kevin José Chamorro Rodríguez Goalkeeper
1
Cezary Miszta
Cezary Miszta Goalkeeper
99
Ennio van der Gouw
Ennio van der Gouw Goalkeeper
32
Jakub Brabec
Jakub Brabec Defender
17
Marios Vrousai
Marios Vrousai Defender
77
Omar Richards
Omar Richards Defender
6
Nelson Abby
Nelson Abby Defender
5
Andreas-Richardos Ntoi
Andreas-Richardos Ntoi Defender
20
João Tomé Esteves Baptista
João Tomé Esteves Baptista Defender
63
Julien Lomboto Lompombi
Julien Lomboto Lompombi Defender
24
Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta
Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta Defender
23
Francisco Petrasso
Francisco Petrasso Defender
39
Gustavo Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
Gustavo Teixeira Lopes da Conceição Defender
21
João Pedro Salazar da Graça
João Pedro Salazar da Graça Midfielder
80
Ole Pohlmann
Ole Pohlmann Midfielder
54
Georgios Liavas
Georgios Liavas Midfielder
10
Brandon Aguilera Zamora
Brandon Aguilera Zamora Midfielder
44
Tamás Nikitscher
Tamás Nikitscher Midfielder
8
Ryan Guilherme da Silva Pae
Ryan Guilherme da Silva Pae Midfielder
19
Antonis Papakanellos
Antonis Papakanellos Midfielder
18
Dario Špikić
Dario Špikić Attacker
28
Marc Gual Huguet
Marc Gual Huguet Attacker
9
Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro
Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro Attacker
7
Diogo Bezerra de Oliveira
Diogo Bezerra de Oliveira Attacker
14
Karem Zoabi
Karem Zoabi Attacker
11
Jalen Aleix Miller Blesa
Jalen Aleix Miller Blesa Attacker
27
Tobías Medina
Tobías Medina Attacker
25
Rafael Genuino Lobato
Rafael Genuino Lobato Attacker
—
Amine Rehmi
Amine Rehmi Attacker

CONCLUSION

Casa Pia must harness home advantage at Estádio Pina Manique to offset Rio Ave's slim power and form edges in this Liga Portugal showdown. The hosts' 16th-place peril demands defensive grit, while Rio Ave's 13th-position comfort allows counterattacking freedom. Absent set-piece and efficiency insights, battles in open play and transitions will define outcomes. Projections lean towards Casa Pia's narrow favoritism, yet Rio Ave's momentum hints at resilience. Expect a cagey affair where fine margins and execution separate the sides, potentially yielding a hard-fought home win or stalemate.