Casa Pia vs Benfica preview
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Casa Pia hosted Benfica in a match that ended with a decisive 0-7 scoreline. Benfica established control early and led 0-2 at halftime. The home side managed 36 percent possession while the visitors held 64 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.26 for Casa Pia and 2.4 for Benfica. A red card issued to the home team further tilted proceedings. Benfica as the stronger side delivered the expected outcome consistent with underlying metrics. The significant deviation observed aligned with the final result. The performance reflected clear dominance from the away side throughout the contest.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: A significant deviation of 100 percent occurred favoring Benfica.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns.
-
xG alignment: The final result proved consistent with the xG differential of -2.14.
-
Market alignment: The outcome aligned with available market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Benfica exceeded xG expectations with 2.4 against 0.26.
-
Event impact: The 0-7 score reflected the cumulative impact of sustained pressure.
-
Red card distortion: The home red card introduced clear distortion in the second half.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
63.88
87.98
Casa Pia
Benfica
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Casa Pia
Benfica
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Casa Pia
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Benfica
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Benfica
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SLB had peak pressure around 56'.
- SLB started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-18T00:03:14+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
Casa Pia
vs
Gil Vicente
League: Liga Portugal
Kickoff: Mon, 24 Aug - 7:15 PM
Venue: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Benfica
vs
AGF
League: Europa League
Kickoff: Thu, 20 Aug - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
















































Match Commentary