Carrarese vs Cesena preview
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 12
CONTEXT
Carrarese hosts Cesena at Stadio dei Marmi in a Serie B regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Nestled mid-table, Cesena occupies 9th place while Carrarese trails closely in 10th, heightening the stakes for both sides vying for upward mobility. The hosts edge possession of strength with a power score of 53.52 against Cesena's 52.49, yielding a slim 1-point advantage. Form metrics further bolster Carrarese's case, registering 18.39 to the visitors' 13.28, signaling sharper momentum entering this fixture. Absent detailed xG insights, analysis hinges on broader structural edges and recent performances. Cesena's road challenge intensifies against a resilient home unit, where venue familiarity might unlock key breakthroughs. This encounter promises tactical intrigue amid evenly poised rivals.
TL;DR
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Structural: Carrarese possesses a narrow 1-point power advantage over Cesena, rated at 53.52 versus 52.49.
-
Form: Carrarese outperforms Cesena in recent form scores, 18.39 to 13.28.
-
Squad: Cesena holds 9th in the league table, with Carrarese positioned 10th.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this matchup.
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Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of detailed tracking.
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Set pieces: Set piece stats exhibit low confidence, relying on proxy data for both teams.
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xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable analysis.
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Market: Projection split: Carrarese 39.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.9% (Δ+0%) | Cesena 32.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
A. Calabro
VS
A. Cole
1.12
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.96
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone
Rank: 66
L
Pescara
Rank: 48
D
Reggiana
Rank: 45
L
Spezia
Rank: 51
W
Bari 1908
Rank: 49
W
Sampdoria
Rank: 53
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sampdoria
Rank: 52
D
Palermo
Rank: 63
L
Juve Stabia
Rank: 55
L
Südtirol
Rank: 52
D
Catanzaro
Rank: 61
W
Mantova
Rank: 54
L
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Carrarese
39.78%
Draw
27.93%
Cesena
32.29%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.52
52.49
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Carrarese
Cesena
Power Score
53.52
52.49
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
679
708
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Carrarese
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Cesena
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Carrarese Cesena
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Carrarese
CAR
Home
3
matches
Cesena
CES
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-01T12:30:36+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-5-2
Match Formation
3-5-2
1 M. Bleve
37 N. Calabrese
6 F. Oliana
72 S. Zanon
77 G. Parlanti
18 N. Schiavi
70 L. Hasa
7 N. Belloni
9 F. Abiuso
92 E. Torregrossa
1 A. Siano
24 M. Mangraviti
19 G. Zaro
15 A. Ciofi
99 G. Frabotta
32 M. Olivieri
25 D. Bisoli
14 T. Berti
11 R. Ciervo
9 C. Shpendi
7 A. Cerri
General Information
Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio dei Marmi
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mattia Pascarella
Gilberto Laghezza
Andrea Bortolussi
Daniele Perenzoni
Next Match
Carrarese
vs
Virtus Entella
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Chiavari
Cesena
vs
Calcio Padova
League: Serie B
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
Lineup
Referee :
Daniele Perenzoni
Manager ▼
A. Calabro
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Marco Bleve
Goalkeeper
6.83 6
Filippo Oliana
Defender
6.77 37
Nicolò Calabrese
Defender
6.75 7
Niccolò Belloni
Midfielder
6.72 18
Nicolás Schiavi
Midfielder
7.15 70
Luis Hasa
Midfielder
7.05 72
Simone Zanon
Midfielder
7.01 77
Gabriele Parlanti
Midfielder
6.56 9
Fabio Abiuso
Attacker
6.97 92
Ernesto Torregrossa
Attacker
6.6 Substitutes ▼
99
Vincenzo Fiorillo
Goalkeeper
6.93 26
Fabio Andrea Ruggeri
Defender
6.67 
78
Tommaso Guercio
Defender
6.5 8
Filippo Melegoni
Midfielder
6.7 13
Devid Eugene Bouah
Midfielder
6.69 17
Emanuele Zuelli
Midfielder
6.98 25
Dachi Lordkipanidze
Midfielder
6.54 21
Tommaso Rubino
Attacker
6.75 28
Filippo Distefano
Attacker
6.71 32
Mattia Finotto
Attacker
6.67 44
Nikola Sekulov
Attacker
6.69
Referee :
Daniele Perenzoni
Manager ▼
A. Cole
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Alessandro Siano
Goalkeeper
7.38 15
Andrea Ciofi
Defender
6.8 19
Giovanni Zaro
Defender
7.06 24
Massimiliano Mangraviti
Defender
6.78 11
Riccardo Ciervo
Midfielder
6.85 14
Tommaso Berti
Midfielder
7.04 25
Dimitri Bisoli
Midfielder
6.84 32
Marco Olivieri
Midfielder
6.66 99
Gianluca Frabotta
Midfielder
6.91 9
Cristian Shpendi
Attacker
6.71 Substitutes ▼
40
Luca Ferretti
Goalkeeper
23
Vittorio Magni
Defender
6.43 26
Matteo Piacentini
Defender
6.65 27
Tommaso Corazza
Defender
6.76 4
Michele Castagnetti
Midfielder
6.9 6
Tommaso Arrigoni
Midfielder
6.49 8
Gaetano Castrovilli
Midfielder
6.58 10
Simone Bastoni
Midfielder
6.66 18
Matteo Guidi
Midfielder
6.65 70
Matteo Francesconi
Midfielder
6.63 
77
Frederik Tosku
Attacker
CONCLUSION
This Serie B showdown pits closely ranked sides in a contest defined by subtle margins. Carrarese leverages home power and superior form to claim favoritism, though Cesena's table edge demands respect. Without granular efficiency or set-piece breakdowns, structural balance suggests a cagey affair favoring defensive resolve. Hosts' momentum could yield a narrow verdict, yet visitors' resilience keeps outcomes unpredictable. Expect probing attacks testing resolve in Stadio dei Marmi.
