Canada vs Qatar preview
World Cup
Qatar
QAT
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Canada defeated Qatar by a final score of 6-0 after leading 3-0 at halftime. The match featured Canada holding 79 percent possession against Qatar's 21 percent. Expected goals stood at 4.57 for Canada and 0.22 for Qatar producing a differential of 4.35. Qatar received two red cards during the contest which occurred after the interval. The outcome proved consistent with the expected goals data and showed minimal deviation from pre-match projections for Canada. Qatar had been identified as the stronger side entering the fixture yet finished with no goals. Canada maintained control across both halves while the red cards limited Qatar's options in the second period.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Canada exceeded pre-match projections by a minimal 2.7 percent margin.
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Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with underlying performance data.
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xG alignment: The 6-0 result aligned directly with the 4.35 expected goals differential.
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Market alignment: Pre-match indicators proved consistent with the observed match outcome.
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xG expectations: Canada produced 4.57 expected goals while Qatar managed 0.22.
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Event impact: The match outcome followed expected goals without notable second-half adjustments beyond red cards.
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Red card distortion: Two red cards for Qatar created distortion in the second half.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Canada
Qatar
Team Power Ranking
i
10
23.33
Canada
Qatar
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Canada
Qatar
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Canada
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Canada
Canada
Qatar
Canada
Qatar
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Canada
Canada
Qatar
Canada
Qatar
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CAN had peak pressure around 74'.
- CAN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-19T00:00:38+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Canada
vs
Switzerland
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Wed, 24 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Vancouver Stadium
Qatar
vs
Bosnia and Herzegovina
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Wed, 24 Jun - 7:00 PM
Venue: Seattle Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary