Cagliari vs Arezzo preview

Italy flag 2026/2027 Coppa Italia, Italy
Sardegna Arena
Coppa Italia
CagliariCAG
1 0
ArezzoARE
Full Time
1st Round
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Cagliari defeated Arezzo 1-0 in a tightly contested encounter where the home team struck early and held on for the win. The halftime score was also 1-0, indicating that the decisive moment came before the break. Although Arezzo controlled more of the ball with 57% possession, Cagliari's efficiency in front of goal proved superior, generating an expected goals tally of 2.09 to the visitors' 0.82. This performance underscored the home side's status as the stronger team, and the outcome was consistent with the underlying metrics. No disciplinary issues arose as both teams finished with eleven players on the pitch. The significant structural deviation observed highlighted Cagliari's ability to outperform expectations in key areas. Overall, the match demonstrated how clinical finishing can overcome possession disadvantages in determining the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Cagliari recorded a significant deviation as the stronger team in the 1-0 win.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: The result aligned with xG figures of 2.09 for Cagliari and 0.82 for Arezzo.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Cagliari met xG expectations by converting opportunities into the sole goal.
  • Event impact: No key events disrupted the match flow beyond the early goal.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion affected team structures.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Calzavara
A. Calzavara
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Fontemurato
D. Fontemurato
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Zezza
A. Zezza
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Di Marco
D. Di Marco
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
VS
Arezzo C. Bucchi
C. Bucchi
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Union Brescia Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.42
59.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cagliari
Arezzo
Power Score
74.42
59.06
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
162
366

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Cagliari — Opponent-weighted form score
Arezzo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cagliari Arezzo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Cagliari

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Arezzo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Cagliari ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Arezzo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.00
35.53
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.53
40.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Cagliari +0.43 Efficiency Index
vs
Arezzo -0.43 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Cagliari
Arezzo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Cagliari
vs
Arezzo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Cagliari Arezzo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
38%
21%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.21 vs -0.17
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Cagliari Arezzo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
21%
38%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.17 vs +0.21
Cagliari
Arezzo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Cagliari
vs
Arezzo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Cagliari Arezzo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Cagliari 0.34
Arezzo 0.40
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Cagliari Arezzo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Cagliari 0.00
Arezzo 0.02
Cagliari
Arezzo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CAG had peak pressure around 21'.
  • CAG started the game with stronger pressure.
CAG Pressure ARE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CAG reached the top pressure at 21' (53.13).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Coppa Italia, Italy · 1st Round
Stadium
Sardegna Arena
Capacity
16416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andrea Calzavara
Domenico Fontemurato
Andrea Zezza
Davide Di Marco

Statistics

Possession
CAG
46%
ARE
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 10
44 Dangerous attacks 45
43 Possession 57
3 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

73 Ball Safe 74
2 Penalties 0
7 Goal Kicks 5
8 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 16
2 Hit Woodwork 0
0 Injuries 1
24 Dribble Attempts 20
10 Successful Dribbles 12
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

Attacking

76 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

34 Long Passes 34
327 Passes 431
279 Successful Passes 364
85 Successful Passes Percentage 84
11 Key Passes 13
22 Successful Long Passes 18
65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

3 Saves 2
17 Tackles 25
13 Interceptions 10
47 Duels Won 63

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 16
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Andrea Calzavara

Starting XI ▼

1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
7.4
2
Zé Pedro
Zé Pedro Defender
6.66
14
Alessandro Deiola
Alessandro Deiola (C) Defender
8.15
22
Raphael Kofler
Raphael Kofler
Defender54'
6.74
15
Juan Rodríguez
Juan Rodríguez Defender
7.14
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Defender
7.47
4
Alessandro Romano
Alessandro Romano Midfielder
7
6
Harry Winks
Harry Winks Midfielder
6.73
16
Matteo Prati
Matteo Prati
Midfielder81'
6.59
8
Michel Adopo
Michel Adopo Midfielder
6.52
10
Jacopo Fazzini
Jacopo Fazzini Midfielder
6.74
17
Mattia Felici
Mattia Felici
Attacker67'
6.52
19
Yael Trepy
Yael Trepy Midfielder
6.19
70
Daniel Maldini
Daniel Maldini
Attacker54'
6.73
31
Paul Mendy
Paul Mendy Attacker
6.48
29
Gennaro Borrelli
Gennaro Borrelli
Attacker46'
6.67
Referee : Andrea Calzavara

Starting XI ▼

14
Alessandro Nunziante
Alessandro Nunziante Goalkeeper
6.5
5
Julián Illanes
Julián Illanes Defender
6.84
6
Alessandro Renzi
Alessandro Renzi Defender
6.29
13
Matteo Gilli
Matteo Gilli Defender
6.71
4
Mauro Coppolaro
Mauro Coppolaro
Defender52'
7.06
37
Samuele Righetti
Samuele Righetti Defender
6.6
32
Andrea Cagnano
Andrea Cagnano
Defender60'
6.81
16
Mattia Sala
Mattia Sala Midfielder
7.33
8
Eklu Shaka Mawuli
Eklu Shaka Mawuli
Midfielder74'
6.95
17
Artur Ioniță
Artur Ioniță (C) Midfielder
6.98
24
Luca Chierico
Luca Chierico Midfielder
6.61
78
Gennaro Iaccarino
Gennaro Iaccarino
Midfielder60'
6.81
11
Muhamed Varela Djamanca
Muhamed Varela Djamanca Attacker
6.56
21
Camillo Tavernelli
Camillo Tavernelli Attacker
6.9
30
Alessandro Arena
Alessandro Arena Attacker
6.92
29
Gianmarco Cipriani
Gianmarco Cipriani
Attacker74'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Daniel Maldini
4th Yellowcard
90+8'
Event
Matteo Prati
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
Event
Matteo Prati → Harry Winks
10th Substitution
81'
74'
Event
Gianmarco Cipriani → Alessandro Arena
8th Substitution
74'
Event
Eklu Shaka Mawuli → Mattia Sala
9th Substitution
Event
Mattia Felici → Jacopo Fazzini
7th Substitution
67'
66'
Event
Gennaro Iaccarino
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
Event
Mattia Sala
Penalty disallowed
60'
Event
Andrea Cagnano → Samuele Righetti
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Gennaro Iaccarino → Luca Chierico
6th Substitution
Event
Raphael Kofler → Alessandro Deiola 
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Daniel Maldini → Yael Trepy
4th Substitution
54'
52'
Event
Mauro Coppolaro → Matteo Gilli
2nd Substitution
Event
Gennaro Borrelli → Paul Mendy
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Alessandro Deiola 
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
23'
Event
Alessandro Deiola 
Review
21'
16'
Event
Samuele Righetti
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Cagnano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Julian Illanes Minucci's header is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Andrea Cagnano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Camillo Tavernelli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gennaro Borrelli takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gennaro Borrelli takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
89
Attempt Attempt
Mattia Felici's right-footed shot is saved.
86
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Maldini takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
85
Attempt Attempt
Gianmarco Cipriani attempts a header but misses the shot.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matteo Prati receives a yellow card.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Attempt Attempt
Shaka Mawuli Eklu takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
77
Update Update
Matteo Prati replaces Harry Winks.
75
Attempt Attempt
Shaka Mawuli Eklu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
Gianmarco Cipriani comes on for Alessandro Arena.
74
Update Update
Shaka Mawuli Eklu replaces Mattia Sala.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
66
Attempt Attempt
Artur Ionita attempts a header but misses the shot.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
Gennaro Iaccarino is on, and Luca Chierico is off.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Andrea Cagnano comes on for Samuele Righetti.
60
Attempt Attempt
Alessandro Arena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Alessandro Romano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Update Update
On comes Daniel Maldini, off goes Yael Trepy.
57
Update Update
Raphael Kofler is on, and Alessandro Deiola is off.
54
Attempt Attempt
Right-footed shot missed.
54
Update Update
Mauro Coppolaro is on, and Matteo Gilli is off.
53
Attempt Attempt
Gennaro Borrelli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Yael Trepy takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
Update Update
On Gennaro Borrelli, off Paul Mendy.
47
Attempt Attempt
Left-footed shot missed.
46
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 1-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Luca Chierico takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Yael Trepy takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Samuele Righetti takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Artur Ionita takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Paul Mendy takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
35
Attempt Attempt
Alessandro Arena takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Luca Chierico takes a right-footed shot but misses.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Alessandro Deiola scores, making it 1-0.
25
Update Update
VAR decision pending.
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Alessandro Deiola takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
23
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Samuele Righetti.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Muhamed Varela Djamanca takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Attempt Attempt
Ndary Adopo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Cagliari's 1-0 success over Arezzo highlighted effective use of limited possession to secure three points. The home side's early strike set the tone and allowed them to manage the game despite Arezzo's greater ball control. With expected goals favoring Cagliari substantially the result reflected the quality of chances created rather than territorial dominance. Both teams avoided any red card incidents preserving full squads for the duration. This outcome reinforces Cagliari's edge as the stronger side in the fixture. The performance offers a template for converting defensive resilience into narrow victories when opportunities arise at crucial moments.