Burnley vs Middlesbrough preview

England flag 2026/2027 Championship, England
Turf Moor
Championship
KICKOFF :
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Burnley welcome Middlesbrough to Turf Moor for a Championship regular season encounter in the 2026/2027 campaign. The home side currently sit in 18th position while the visitors occupy 11th place in the domestic standings. Power ratings indicate a clear edge for the away team with a score of 77.05 against Burnley's 50.89, resulting in a 26.2 point advantage. Form scores further highlight the disparity, with Middlesbrough registering 11.11 and Burnley at just 1.89. This matchup pits a struggling Burnley side against a more potent Middlesbrough outfit looking to capitalize on their superior metrics. The contest promises an intriguing battle as both teams navigate the challenges of the league stage. Data on efficiency and set pieces remains limited, adding an element of unpredictability to the proceedings.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Middlesbrough hold a significant power advantage of 26.2 points over Burnley.
  • Form: Middlesbrough enter with a superior form score of 11.11 compared to Burnley's 1.89.
  • Squad: Middlesbrough are the stronger side based on overall metrics.
  • Efficiency: Data on efficiency remains unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play details are not specified in available information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics show low confidence with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: League positions place Burnley 18th and Middlesbrough 11th domestically.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
0.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.22
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norwich City Rank: 75 D
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 73 L
West Ham United Rank: 84 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 74 D
Blackburn Rovers Rank: 73 L
Lincoln City Rank: 80 W
Hull City Rank: 79 L
Southampton Rank: 80 L
Southampton Rank: 80 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.89
77.05
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Power Score
50.89
77.05
League Position
18
11
Global Rank
117
105

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Burnley Opponent-weighted form score
Middlesbrough Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burnley Middlesbrough

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burnley BUR Home
2 matches
Middlesbrough MID Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-27T01:14:34+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Championship, England · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Turf Moor
Capacity
22546
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Paul Hodskinson
Connor Brown

Squad

Referee : Matt Donohue

Squad

13
Ben Amos
Ben Amos Goalkeeper
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper
1
Max Weiß
Max Weiß Goalkeeper
2
Kyle Andrew Walker
14
Connor Roberts
Connor Roberts Defender
Anel Ahmedhodzic
Anel Ahmedhodzic Defender
4
Joe Worrall
Joe Worrall Defender
20
Shurandy Sambo
Shurandy Sambo Defender
6
Bashir Humphreys
Bashir Humphreys Defender
22
Oliver Sonne
Oliver Sonne Defender
3
Max Alleyne
Max Alleyne Defender
23
Lucas Pires Silva
29
Josh Laurent
Josh Laurent Midfielder
21
Aaron Ramsey
Aaron Ramsey Midfielder
28
Hannibal Mejbri
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder
8
Ugo Raghouber
Ugo Raghouber Midfielder
35
Ashley Barnes
Ashley Barnes Attacker
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen
10
Marcus Edwards
Marcus Edwards Attacker
19
Zian Flemming
Zian Flemming Attacker
27
Armando Broja
Armando Broja Attacker
11
Mohamed Zeki Amdouni
17
Andreas Hountondji
34
Jaydon Amauri Banel
30
Lluc Castell Solé
12
Dastan Satpaev
Dastan Satpaev Attacker
Referee : Matt Donohue

Squad

33
Jon McLaughlin
Jon McLaughlin Goalkeeper
31
Solomon Brynn
Solomon Brynn Goalkeeper
1
Radek Vítek
Radek Vítek Goalkeeper
Sam Byram
Sam Byram Defender
12
Luke Ayling
Luke Ayling Defender
2
Callum Brittain
Callum Brittain Defender
5
Alfie Jones
Alfie Jones Defender
29
Adilson Malanda
Adilson Malanda Defender
Ashley Phillips
Ashley Phillips Defender
8
Riley McGree
Riley McGree Midfielder
10
Aidan Morris
Aidan Morris Midfielder
14
Myles Peart-Harris
Myles Peart-Harris Midfielder
6
Sebastian Berhalter
Sebastian Berhalter Midfielder
42
Abdoulaye Raslan Kanté
11
Morgan Whittaker
Morgan Whittaker Attacker
22
Kyle Joseph
Kyle Joseph Attacker
7
Will Lankshear
Will Lankshear Attacker
17
Maximilian Arfsten

CONCLUSION

Middlesbrough appear well positioned to challenge for a positive result given their advantages in key areas. Burnley will need to rely on home support and defensive organization to counter the threat. The absence of detailed set piece and efficiency data leaves room for surprises on the day. Overall, the fixture highlights the competitive nature of the Championship where form and power differentials play crucial roles. Fans can expect a tactical encounter focused on midfield control and quick transitions. Both sides have areas to improve but Middlesbrough's current standing suggests they hold the upper hand entering this game.