Burgos vs Córdoba preview

Spain flag 2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
La Liga 2
BurgosBUR
3 2
CórdobaCÓR
Full Time
Round 1 Regular Season
Álex Forés - 24'
Goal
|
Goal
Yussi Diarra - 11'
Eder García - 45+5'

CONTEXT

The match between Burgos and Córdoba resulted in a 3-2 victory for the home team after an even 2-2 score at halftime. Burgos recorded 41 percent possession compared to Córdoba's 59 percent. No red cards were issued to either side during the contest. The stronger team prevailed in a game that featured a significant deviation level for Burgos. Absence of expected goals data restricted certain statistical evaluations yet the outcome reflected second half adjustments by the winner. Both sides displayed resilience across the full ninety minutes in a competitive encounter. The final score highlighted Burgos capitalizing on opportunities while maintaining defensive structure despite lower ball control.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Burgos exhibited a significant structural deviation from expected patterns in achieving the 3-2 win.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the team's overall output during the match.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to the absence of expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The final result showed market alignment with the stronger team prevailing.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not applicable given the null values for both teams' metrics.
  • Event impact: Key events in the second half impacted the outcome leading to the 3-2 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent as neither team received any red cards.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Miranda Bolaño
D. Miranda Bolaño
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
?. González Narváez
?. González Narváez
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Blázquez Sánchez
R. Blázquez Sánchez
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Morona Del Campo
L. Morona Del Campo
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Burgos S. Francisco Ramos
S. Francisco Ramos
VS
Córdoba I. Ania Cadavieco
I. Ania Cadavieco
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Andorra Rank: 68 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 60 W
Granada Rank: 65 W
Almería Rank: 73 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 62 D
Deportivo A Coruña Rank: 73 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Huesca Rank: 60 D
SD Eibar Rank: 70 L
Albacete Rank: 69 L
Granada Rank: 65 W
Castellón Rank: 71 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 68 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.08
65.73
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Burgos
Córdoba
Power Score
72.08
65.73
League Position
4
17
Global Rank
209
375

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Burgos — Opponent-weighted form score
Córdoba — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Burgos Córdoba

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Burgos

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Córdoba

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Burgos ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Córdoba
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.88
39.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.15
34.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Burgos -0.45 Efficiency Index
vs
Córdoba +0.45 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Burgos
Córdoba
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Burgos ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Córdoba
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Burgos Córdoba
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Burgos Córdoba
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Burgos
Córdoba
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Burgos
vs
Córdoba
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Burgos Córdoba
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Burgos 0.50
Córdoba 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Burgos Córdoba
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Burgos 0.03
Córdoba 0.12
Burgos
Córdoba
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CÓR had peak pressure around 85'.
  • CÓR started the game with stronger pressure.
BUR Pressure CÓR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: CÓR reached the top pressure at 85' (95.92).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Burgos BUR Home
4 matches
Córdoba CÓR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
9
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-17T00:09:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
Capacity
12194
Attendance
9742
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
D. Miranda Bolaño
Álvaro González Narváez
Rodrigo Blázquez Sánchez
Luis Enrique Morona Del Campo

Statistics

Possession
BUR
43%
CÓR
57%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 8
26 Dangerous attacks 62
41 Possession 59
1 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 86
18 Goal Kicks 11
14 Goal Attempts 18
5 Substitutions 5
28 Throwins 22
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 2
16 Dribble Attempts 16
6 Successful Dribbles 5
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31

Attacking

78 Attacks 125
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

59 Long Passes 49
297 Passes 411
218 Successful Passes 331
73 Successful Passes Percentage 81
10 Key Passes 16
24 Successful Long Passes 25
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

6 Saves 2
17 Tackles 20
12 Interceptions 10
45 Duels Won 52

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 31
4 Accurate Crosses 10

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : D. Miranda Bolaño

Starting XI ▼

13
Ander Cantero
Ander Cantero Goalkeeper
7.62
3
Ignasi Vilarrasa
Ignasi Vilarrasa Defender
6.52
6
Sergio González
Sergio González Defender
7.04
8
Grego Sierra
Grego Sierra Defender
6.26
23
Alberto Dadie
Alberto Dadie Defender
6.86
10
Kévin Appin
Kévin Appin Midfielder
6.22
4
Pablo Galdames
Pablo Galdames
Midfielder77'
6.68
14
David González
David González Midfielder
7.44
16
Curro Sánchez
Curro Sánchez (C) Midfielder
7.35
7
Mateo Mejía
Mateo Mejía
Attacker90+4'
19
Javi Llabrés
Javi Llabrés Midfielder
7.26
11
Víctor Mollejo
Víctor Mollejo
Attacker67'
6.81
20
José Gragera
José Gragera Midfielder
6.89
5
Marcelo Expósito
Marcelo Expósito
Midfielder77'
6.53
9
Álex Forés
Álex Forés Attacker
6.96
24
Santiago Lencina
Santiago Lencina
Midfielder77'
7.07
Referee : D. Miranda Bolaño

Starting XI ▼

1
Iker Álvarez
Iker Álvarez Goalkeeper
6.28
3
Dani Tasende
Dani Tasende Defender
6.46
5
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez Defender
6.98
4
Álex Martín
Álex Martín
Defender84'
6.22
16
Rubén Alves
Rubén Alves Defender
6.36
27
Egoitz Muñoz
Egoitz Muñoz Defender
7.07
21
Carlos Albarrán
Carlos Albarrán
Defender84'
6.14
8
Isma Ruiz
Isma Ruiz (C) Midfielder
6.94
22
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Midfielder
7.54
28
Eder García
Eder García Midfielder
7.7
14
Adnane Ghailan
Adnane Ghailan
Attacker77'
6.59
15
Victor Sánchez
Victor Sánchez Attacker
6.27
9
Diego Percan
Diego Percan
Attacker74'
6.7
18
Enol Rodríguez
Enol Rodríguez Attacker
6.24
10
Kevin Medina
Kevin Medina
Attacker74'
6.43
23
Cristian Carracedo
Cristian Carracedo Attacker
8.4

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mateo Mejía → Curro Sánchez
10th Substitution
90+4'
Event
David González
Header / 5th Goal
90'
Event
David González
Goal awarded
90'
84'
Event
Carlos Albarrán → Egoitz Muñoz
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Álex Martín → Juan Gutiérrez
9th Substitution
Event
Marcelo Expósito → José Gragera
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Pablo Galdames → Kévin Appin
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Santiago Lencina → Álex Forés
7th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Adnane Ghailan → Eder García
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Eder García
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Kevin Medina → Enol Rodríguez
2nd Substitution
74'
Event
Diego Percan → Victor Sánchez
3rd Substitution
Event
Víctor Mollejo → Javi Llabrés
1st Substitution
67'
1ST-HALF
45+5'
Event
Eder García
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Javi Llabrés
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
37'
35'
Event
Yussi Diarra
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Kévin Appin
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
29'
Event
Álex Forés
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
24'
22'
Event
Rubén Alves
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'
Event
Yussi Diarra
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
On Mateo Mejia，Off Francisco Jose Sanchez Rodriguez, Curro
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR Decision - Goal awarded - David Gonzalez Ballesteros
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - David Gonzalez Ballesteros 3-2，Assist：Victor Mollejo Carpintero
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - 大卫·Sergio Gonzalez Head Shot Goal
90
Update Update
Offside
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 3-2
83
Update Update
Offside
82
Update Update
Offside
80
Corner Corner
Corner
79
Update Update
Offside
77
Corner Corner
Corner
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Mollejo Carpintero Left Footed Shot Missed
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Percan Head Shot Missed
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Mollejo Carpintero Left Footed Shot Missed
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Mollejo Carpintero Left Footed Shot Missed
74
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Percan Head Shot Missed
74
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Mollejo Carpintero Left Footed Shot Missed
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Percan Head Shot Missed
67
Corner Corner
Corner
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssouf Diarra Right Footed Shot Saved
66
Update Update
On Victor Mollejo Carpintero，Off Javi Llabres
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Enol Rodriguez Heres Left Footed Shot Missed
60
Update Update
On Victor Mollejo Carpintero，Off Javi Llabres
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Enol Rodriguez Heres Right Footed Shot Blocked
55
Corner Corner
Corner
54
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eder Garcia Right Footed Shot Missed
52
Corner Corner
Corner
49
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssouf Diarra Right Footed Shot Blocked
47
Attempt Attempt
Shot - 大卫·Sergio Gonzalez Left Footed Shot Missed
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Eder Garcia 2-2
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Eder Garcia 2-2
44
Corner Corner
Corner
41
Corner Corner
Corner
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sergio Gonzalez Head Shot Missed
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Youssouf Diarra
29
Corner Corner
Corner
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-1
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Youssouf Diarra
22
Corner Corner
Corner
17
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alberto Dadie Right Footed Shot Saved
17
Corner Corner
Corner
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alberto Dadie Right Footed Shot Saved
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Youssouf Diarra Left Footed Shot Goal
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Youssouf Diarra Left Footed Shot Goal
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Eder Garcia Right Footed Shot Missed
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cristian Carracedo Right Footed Shot Saved
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Sanchez Left Footed Shot Missed
1
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Sanchez Left Footed Shot Saved

CONCLUSION

In conclusion the 3-2 result underscores the unpredictable nature of the fixture where possession advantages did not translate directly into success for Córdoba. Burgos demonstrated efficiency in converting chances despite lower ball control. The even halftime score set the stage for a decisive second period that favored the home side. With no disciplinary issues affecting play the focus remained on tactical execution and individual contributions. This victory aligns with the designation of Burgos as the stronger team and concludes a match characterized by competitive balance and notable performance deviations. Overall the game provided insights into how teams can overcome statistical imbalances through effective play in key moments.