Brommapojkarna vs Sirius preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Grimsta IP Sun, 12 Jul - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
1 2
Sirius SIR
Full Time Sun, 12 Jul 2:30 PM
Round 12 Regular Season
Andreas Troelsen - 47'
Goal
|
Goal
Isak Bjerkebo - 18'
Robbie Ure - 40'

CONTEXT

Brommapojkarna hosted Sirius in a match that concluded with a 1-2 scoreline. The home side controlled 56 percent of possession yet registered only 0.54 expected goals while the visitors produced 0.95 expected goals from 44 percent possession. Sirius led 0-2 at halftime and maintained the advantage through the second period despite Brommapojkarna adding a late goal. No red cards occurred and the stronger team Sirius claimed the win. The xG differential stood at -0.41 and the result proved consistent with those underlying numbers. Sirius recorded an efficiency rating of 1.107 against Brommapojkarna's -1.107. The significant deviation favored the away side throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sirius recorded a significant deviation from baseline expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the away side's metrics.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the xG differential of -0.41.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Brommapojkarna generated 0.54 xG below visitor totals.
  • Event impact: The 0-2 halftime score shaped second-half adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no measurable distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Sundell
R. Sundell
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Hallin
M. Hallin
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Anderjon
S. Anderjon
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Holmegren
J. Holmegren
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
VS
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
1.45
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.64
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
GAIS Rank: 60 D
Degerfors Rank: 47 D
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
Elfsborg Rank: 58 L
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 68 D
AIK Rank: 60 W
GAIS Rank: 62 W
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brommapojkarna
0%
Draw
0%
Away Sirius
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.24
67.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brommapojkarna
Sirius
Power Score
52.24
67.44
League Position
11
1
Global Rank
754
301

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brommapojkarna Sirius

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sirius

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sirius
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.13
33.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.86
23.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brommapojkarna -1.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Sirius +1.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
Sirius
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brommapojkarna
vs
Sirius
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brommapojkarna Sirius
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
44%
14%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.24 vs -0.14
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Sirius
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
14%
44%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.14 vs -0.24
Brommapojkarna
Sirius
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brommapojkarna
vs
Sirius
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brommapojkarna Sirius
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brommapojkarna 0.17
Sirius 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Sirius
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brommapojkarna 0.05
Sirius 0.02
Brommapojkarna
Sirius
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIR had peak pressure around 41'.
  • SIR started the game with stronger pressure.
Brommapojkarna Pressure SIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIR reached the top pressure at 41' (89.91).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Home
4 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
8
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
8
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T10:53:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
R. Örqvist
Sweden
11 R. Örqvist
O. Cotton
4 O. Cotton
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
S. Strand
Sweden
16 (C) S. Strand
M. Derbali
Substitution
Tunisia
24 M. Derbali
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
O. Berg
Norway
10 O. Berg
S. Oppong
33 S. Oppong
L. Björklund
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
D. Celic
Sweden
34 D. Celic
O. Krusnell
Sweden
22 O. Krusnell
S. Sandberg
Sweden
15 S. Sandberg
M. Soumah
Guinea
2 M. Soumah
H. Castegren
Sweden
5 (C) H. Castegren
M. Lindberg
Denmark
6 M. Lindberg
M. Heier
Substitution
Sweden
10 M. Heier
I. Bjerkebo
Sweden
11 I. Bjerkebo
V. Svensson
Substitution
Denmark
24 V. Svensson
O. Adindu
Substitution
25 O. Adindu
R. Ure
Scotland
9 R. Ure

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 12, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 12 · Regular Season
Stadium
Grimsta IP
Capacity
7343
Attendance
2057
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Richard Sundell
Mikael Hallin
Simon Anderjon
Jasin Holmegren

Statistics

Possession
Brommapojkarna
56%
SIR
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 4
59 Dangerous attacks 38
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 7
17 Free kicks 7
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

84 Ball Safe 70
7 Goal Kicks 5
5 Goal Attempts 8
1 Substitutions 3
17 Throwins 19
1 Assists 1
11 Dribble Attempts 2
11 Successful Dribbles 2
69 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

Attacking

123 Attacks 109

Possession

24 Long Passes 20
658 Passes 522
591 Successful Passes 455
90 Successful Passes Percentage 87
7 Key Passes 7

Defensive

3 Saves 3
11 Tackles 13
8 Interceptions 14
51 Duels Won 28

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
6.88
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
8.01
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton Defender
5.87
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
7.21
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist Defender
6.77
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
7.44
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Midfielder
7.04
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand (C) Midfielder
7.12
24
Mohamed Wael Derbali
Mohamed Wael Derbali Midfielder
6.68
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund
Defender64'
7
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
7.03
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Attacker
7.18
Referee : Richard Sundell

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Defender
6.72
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren (C) Defender
6.88
15
Simon Sandberg
Simon Sandberg Defender
6.98
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Defender
7.91
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Midfielder
7.48
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Midfielder
6.69
8
Matthias Nartey
Matthias Nartey
Midfielder80'
6.27
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Midfielder
7.05
24
Victor Svensson
Victor Svensson Midfielder
6.33
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén
Midfielder60'
6.47
25
Odera Samuel Adindu
Odera Samuel Adindu Midfielder
6.67
14
Jesper Uneken
Jesper Uneken
Attacker84'
6.32
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Attacker
7.68

Events

2ND-HALF
84'
Event
Jesper Uneken → Odera Samuel Adindu
4th Substitution
80'
Event
Matthias Nartey → Melker Heier
3rd Substitution
73'
Event
Melker Heier
1st Yellowcard
Event
Kaare Barslund → Mohamed Wael Derbali
2nd Substitution
64'
60'
Event
Charlie Nildén → Victor Svensson
1st Substitution
Event
Andreas Troelsen
Header / 3rd Goal
47'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Robbie Ure
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
18'
Event
Isak Bjerkebo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-2.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Jesper Uneken comes on for Odera Samuel Adindu.
79
Update Update
Matthias Nartey comes on for Melker Heier.
77
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Castegren takes a right-footed shot but misses.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Attempt Attempt
Kaare Barslund takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
64
Update Update
On comes Kaare Barslund, off goes Mohamed Wael Derbali.
62
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
61
Update Update
On comes Charlie Nilden, off goes Victor Svensson.
59
Attempt Attempt
Odera Samuel Adindu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Henrik Castegren attempts a header but misses the shot.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Lindberg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Attempt Attempt
Melker Heier takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Andreas Troelsen takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Robbie Ure takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Robbie Ure scores, making it 0-2.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Robbie Ure's right-footed shot is blocked.
27
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Wael Derbali with a header, but it misses the target.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Isak Bjerkebo with his right foot results in a goal.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Isak Bjerkebo scores, making it 0-1.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Robbie Ure takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Robbie Ure takes a left-footed shot but misses.
3
Attempt Attempt
Victor Svensson takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Richard Sundell.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brommapojkarna 1-2 Sirius. Structural assessment: Sirius exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.