Brommapojkarna vs Malmö FF preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Grimsta IP Sun, 2 Aug - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
BrommapojkarnaBP
1 2
Malmö FFMAL
Full Time Sun, 2 Aug 12:00 PM
Round 15 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Brommapojkarna faced Malmö FF and the contest ended 1-2 to the visitors after a goalless first half. The sides were level at the interval with neither team able to break the deadlock before the break. Malmö FF dominated possession with 63 percent while Brommapojkarna held 37 percent. Expected goals figures read 1.23 for the home side and 2.06 for the away side producing a differential of minus 0.83. The stronger team Malmö FF claimed the three points in line with the underlying numbers. No red cards occurred during the match leaving both teams at full strength. The result proved consistent with the expected goals data and showed no major disruptions from external factors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Brommapojkarna 1-2 Malmö FF. Malmö FF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment confirmed the final outcome matched the expected goals.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was maintained as the result followed pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations positioned Malmö FF ahead with 2.06 versus 1.23.
  • Event impact: Event impact stayed limited with no incidents altering the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion did not occur as no dismissals took place.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Johnson
O. Johnson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Klitte-Lundgren
M. Klitte-Lundgren
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Leek
P. Leek
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Ladebäck
A. Ladebäck
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
VS
Malmö FF G. Helstrup
G. Helstrup
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 70 D
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 L
Sirius Rank: 67 L
GAIS Rank: 63 D
Degerfors Rank: 49 D
Djurgården Rank: 69 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: 58 L
Kalmar Rank: 52 D
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 W
Degerfors Rank: 49 W
Halmstad Rank: 49 W
Västerås SK Rank: 56 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.59
66.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brommapojkarna
Malmö FF
Power Score
54.59
66.07
League Position
12
5
Global Rank
781
422

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brommapojkarna Malmö FF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Malmö FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malmö FF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.70
32.78
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.78
32.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brommapojkarna -0.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Malmö FF +0.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
Malmö FF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brommapojkarna
vs
Malmö FF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brommapojkarna Malmö FF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
13%
43%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.17 vs -0.89
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Malmö FF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
43%
13%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.89 vs -0.17
Brommapojkarna
Malmö FF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brommapojkarna
vs
Malmö FF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brommapojkarna Malmö FF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brommapojkarna 0.50
Malmö FF 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Malmö FF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brommapojkarna 0.04
Malmö FF 0.05
Brommapojkarna
Malmö FF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MAL had peak pressure around 88'.
  • BP started the game with stronger pressure.
BP Pressure MAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MAL reached the top pressure at 88' (93.99).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brommapojkarna BP Home
4 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
7
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T00:01:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium
Grimsta IP
Capacity
7343
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oscar Johnson
Marcus Klitte-Lundgren
Pär Leek
Adam Ladebäck

Statistics

Possession
BP
40%
MAL
60%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 5
22 Dangerous attacks 53
37 Possession 63
4 Corners 3
21 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

66 Ball Safe 72
0 Penalties 1
6 Goal Kicks 6
8 Goal Attempts 15
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 26
1 Assists 2
0 Injuries 1
14 Dribble Attempts 12
2 Successful Dribbles 3
14 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

48 Attacks 115
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

53 Long Passes 28
361 Passes 620
301 Successful Passes 549
83 Successful Passes Percentage 89
4 Key Passes 13
23 Successful Long Passes 12
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

6 Saves 3
17 Tackles 21
13 Interceptions 7
45 Duels Won 36

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 7
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 21

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
8.07
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
7.04
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
6.63
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand (C) Defender
6.6
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
6.72
7
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Obilor Denzel Okeke Midfielder
6.7
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever
Attacker71'
7.25
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Midfielder
6.57
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund
Midfielder84'
6.3
24
Mohamed Wael Derbali
Mohamed Wael Derbali Midfielder
5.92
5
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Midfielder59'
6.57
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
6.77
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
6.25
12
Bidemi Amole
Bidemi Amole
Attacker84'
6.42
34
David Isso
David Isso Attacker
6.77
17
Anton Kurochkin
Anton Kurochkin
Midfielder71'
7.19
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

1
Robin Olsen
Robin Olsen (C) Goalkeeper
6.7
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus Defender
6.85
9
Diego García
Diego García
Attacker84'
7.1
5
Andrej Djuric
Andrej Djuric Defender
7.08
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Defender
6.99
2
Johan Karlsson
Johan Karlsson
Defender73'
6.44
23
N. Åstrand John
N. Åstrand John Defender
6.39
25
Busanello
Busanello
Defender32'
6.66
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Midfielder
7.01
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Midfielder
8.24
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
6.98
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh
Midfielder73'
6.46
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
7.25
45
Anton Sebastian Höög
Anton Sebastian Höög Midfielder
7.74
39
Isaac Assibu
Isaac Assibu
Attacker73'
6.5
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
6.32

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+3'
Event
Sead Haksabanovic
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Diego García
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Bidemi Amole → Sion Oppong
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Lukas Björklund → Oliver Berg
9th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Diego García → Bleon Kurtulus
10th Substitution
82'
Event
Busanello
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Kamilcan Sever
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
77'
73'
Event
Isaac Assibu → Anton Sebastian Höög
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Johan Karlsson → Jens Stryger Larsen
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Theodor Lundbergh → Adrian Skogmar
7th Substitution
Event
Anton Kurochkin → David Isso
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Kamilcan Sever → Obilor Denzel Okeke
4th Substitution
71'
63'
Event
Andrej Djuric
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Serge-Junior Ngouali → Mohamed Wael Derbali
2nd Substitution
59'
58'
Event
Jens Stryger Larsen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
51'
Event
Sead Haksabanovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
47'
Event
Bleon Kurtulus
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Mohamed Wael Derbali
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
33'
32'
Event
Busanello → N. Åstrand John
1st Substitution
9'
Event
Erik Botheim
Goalkeeper save

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Serge Junior Ngouali.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-2.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-2.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Serge Junior Ngouali receives a yellow card.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Diego Garcia Campos scores with a right-footed shot.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
84
Update Update
On Diego Garcia Campos, off Bleon Kurtulus.
84
Update Update
Lukas Bjorklund is on, and Oliver Berg is off.
84
Substitution Substitution
Bidemi Amole is substituted off for Sion Oppong.
82
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Dal Toe Busanello attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
82
Attempt Attempt
Erik Botheim takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Kamilcan Sever takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kamilcan Sever scores, making it 1-1.
76
Attempt Attempt
Kenan Busuladzic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Isaac Assibu comes on for Anton Hoog.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Isaac Assibu comes on for Anton Hoog.
73
Update Update
Theodor Lundbergh replaces Adrian Skogmar.
69
Update Update
On comes Johan Karlsson, off goes Jens Stryger Larsen.
69
Attempt Attempt
Obilor Denzel Okeke takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Anton Hoog takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
59
Update Update
Serge Junior Ngouali is on, and Mohamed Wael Derbali is off.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jens Stryger Larsen.
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Wael Derbali with his right foot is blocked.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Troelsen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Skogmar takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Erik Botheim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sead Haksabanovic takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
48
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Berg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Djuric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Djuric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Djuric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Djuric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sion Oppong takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Erik Botheim attempts a header, but it is saved.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mohamed Wael Derbali.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
30
Update Update
Gabriel Dal Toe Busanello comes on for Noah Astrand.
27
Attempt Attempt
Jens Stryger Larsen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Skogmar takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Djuric takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Erik Botheim takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
1
Attempt Attempt
Obilor Denzel Okeke takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Oscar Johnson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brommapojkarna 1-2 Malmö FF. Structural assessment: Malmö FF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.