Brommapojkarna vs GAIS preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Grimsta IP Mon, 6 Jul - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
1 – 1
GAIS GAIS
Full Time Mon, 6 Jul 5:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season
Oliver Berg - 20'
Goal
|
Goal
Henry Sletsjøe - 37'

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested encounter, Brommapojkarna and GAIS played out a 1-1 draw. The first half saw each team score once, resulting in an even scoreline at the break. GAIS controlled more of the ball with 55 percent possession against Brommapojkarna's 45 percent. However, the expected goals favored the visitors substantially at 2.79 to 1.54. This mismatch underscored GAIS's dominance in chance creation, yet they could not convert it into a victory. The stronger team on paper failed to secure the win, leading to a result inconsistent with xG metrics. With no dismissals on either side, the match proceeded without numerical imbalances. The significant deviation noted for GAIS highlighted their inability to capitalize on superior underlying numbers.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: GAIS exhibited a significant structural deviation in their performance against Brommapojkarna.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals did not align with the actual result in this 1-1 draw.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: GAIS generated 2.79 xG while Brommapojkarna managed 1.54 in the match.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 halftime score influenced the second half proceedings evenly.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion occurred in team compositions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Wolf
V. Wolf
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Spahić
A. Spahić
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Nyberg
R. Nyberg
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Forsberg
O. Forsberg
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
VS
GAIS F. Holmberg
F. Holmberg
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 47 D
Djurgården Rank: 66 W
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
Elfsborg Rank: 58 L
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Västerås SK Rank: 52 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
Sirius Rank: 67 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 W
Degerfors Rank: 47 D
Västerås SK Rank: 52 W
Örgryte Rank: 42 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brommapojkarna
0%
Draw
0%
Away GAIS
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.24
62.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brommapojkarna
GAIS
Power Score
52.24
62.4
League Position
11
4
Global Rank
754
453

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
GAIS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brommapojkarna GAIS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

GAIS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brommapojkarna ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy GAIS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.78
47.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
47.91
25.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brommapojkarna -2.28 Efficiency Index
vs
GAIS +2.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brommapojkarna
GAIS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brommapojkarna
vs
GAIS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brommapojkarna GAIS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
11%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.04 vs -0.32
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna GAIS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
11%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.32 vs -0.04
Brommapojkarna
GAIS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brommapojkarna
vs
GAIS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brommapojkarna GAIS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brommapojkarna 0.31
GAIS 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna GAIS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brommapojkarna 0.01
GAIS 0.03
Brommapojkarna
GAIS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GAIS had peak pressure around 89'.
  • GAIS started the game with stronger pressure.
Brommapojkarna Pressure GAIS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GAIS reached the top pressure at 89' (93.57).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Home
4 matches
GAIS GAIS Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
7
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:51:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
R. Örqvist
Substitution
Sweden
11 R. Örqvist
O. Cotton
4 O. Cotton
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
A. Wahlund
Substitution
Sweden
32 A. Wahlund
S. Strand
Sweden
16 (C) S. Strand
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
O. Berg
Norway
10 O. Berg
S. Oppong
Substitution
33 S. Oppong
E. Hedström
Substitution
Sweden
18 E. Hedström
M. Krasniqi
Sweden
1 M. Krasniqi
M. de Brienne
Substitution
Canada
2 M. de Brienne
O. Ågren
Sweden
4 (C) O. Ågren
A. Cardaklija
Sweden
22 A. Cardaklija
R. Frej
Substitution
Sweden
12 R. Frej
R. Þorkelsson
Iceland
17 R. Þorkelsson
J. Åberg
Substitution
Sweden
7 J. Åberg
H. Sletsjøe
Sweden
10 H. Sletsjøe
R. Niklasson Johansson
Sweden
11 R. Niklasson Johansson
S. Ekong
Substitution
Sweden
21 S. Ekong
M. Andersson
Substitution
Sweden
16 M. Andersson

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 06, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Grimsta IP
Capacity
7343
Attendance
1347
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Victor Wolf
Almira Spahić
Robert Nyberg
Oscar Forsberg

Statistics

Possession
Brommapojkarna
44%
GAIS
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 4
4 Shots 9
32 Dangerous attacks 87
45 Possession 55
3 Corners 8
8 Free kicks 5
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

82 Ball Safe 60
6 Goal Attempts 14
4 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 22
0 Hit Woodwork 2
1 Injuries 0
2 Dribble Attempts 4
2 Successful Dribbles 4
18 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57

Attacking

79 Attacks 122

Possession

18 Long Passes 23
505 Passes 602
436 Successful Passes 536
86 Successful Passes Percentage 89
9 Key Passes 20

Defensive

5 Saves 1
4 Tackles 6
10 Interceptions 12
31 Duels Won 39

Build-up

4 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
5 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
7.49
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6.9
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton Defender
6.89
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
6.72
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist Defender
6.97
22
Rasmus Bergvall
Rasmus Bergvall
Defender85'
6.45
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
7.03
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Midfielder
7.56
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand (C) Midfielder
7.12
32
Atle Wahlund
Atle Wahlund Midfielder
6.36
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund
Midfielder63'
6.47
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
6.27
7
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Midfielder85'
6.74
18
Elton Hedström
Elton Hedström Attacker
6.57
5
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Midfielder75'
6.62
Referee : Victor Wolf

Starting XI ▼

1
Mergim Krasniqi
Mergim Krasniqi Goalkeeper
6.56
2
Matteo de Brienne
Matteo de Brienne Defender
6.97
5
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Robin Wendin Thomasson
Defender63'
6.65
4
Oskar Ågren
Oskar Ågren (C) Defender
6.91
12
Robin Frej
Robin Frej Defender
7.06
6
August Wängberg
August Wängberg
Defender63'
6.46
22
Anes Cardaklija
Anes Cardaklija Defender
7.5
7
Joackim Åberg
Joackim Åberg Midfielder
7.64
25
Jonas Lindberg
Jonas Lindberg
Midfielder84'
6.64
10
Henry Sletsjøe
Henry Sletsjøe Midfielder
7.64
17
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson
Róbert Frosti Thorkelsson Midfielder
7.36
11
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson
Rasmus Patrik Niklasson Johansson Attacker
6.89
16
M. Andersson
M. Andersson Attacker
6.85
32
Oscar Pettersson
Oscar Pettersson
Attacker75'
6.75
21
S. Ekong
S. Ekong Attacker
6.54
28
Lucas Hedlund
Lucas Hedlund
Attacker74'
6.76

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Obilor Denzel Okeke → Sion Oppong
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Rasmus Bergvall → Rasmus Örqvist
9th Substitution
85'
84'
Event
Jonas Lindberg → Joackim Åberg
7th Substitution
Event
Serge-Junior Ngouali → Elton Hedström
6th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Oscar Pettersson → M. Andersson
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Lucas Hedlund → S. Ekong
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Oskar Ågren
1st Yellowcard
74'
Event
S. Ekong
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Lukas Björklund → Atle Wahlund
1st Substitution
63'
63'
Event
Robin Wendin Thomasson → Matteo de Brienne
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
August Wängberg → Robin Frej
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Henry Sletsjøe
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Oliver Berg
Header / 1st Goal
20'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Oskar Agren receives a yellow card.
90
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Bjorklund takes a header shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Berg takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Berg takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Attempt Attempt
Simon Strand takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
87
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson attempts a header but misses the shot.
86
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Hedlund takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
85
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Hedlund's header is saved.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oliver Berg comes on for Rasmus Orqvist.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Denzel Okeke comes on for Sion Oppong.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oliver Berg comes on for Rasmus Orqvist.
80
Substitution Substitution
Obilor Denzel Okeke is substituted off for Sion Oppong.
78
Update Update
On Jonas Lindberg, off Oliver Berg.
77
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
75
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Simon Strand took a left-footed shot, but it missed the target.
74
Update Update
Serge Junior Ngouali is on, and Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom is off.
71
Substitution Substitution
Lucas Hedlund is substituted for Shalom Ekong.
69
Update Update
On Oscar Pettersson, off Max Andersson.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Shalom Ekong.
67
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Attempt Attempt
Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oliver Berg comes on for Robin Sixten Frej.
60
Update Update
Robin Wendin Thomasson is on, and Matteo de Brienne is off.
57
Update Update
On Lukas Bjorklund, off Atle Wahlund.
56
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
56
Attempt Attempt
Anes Cardaklija attempts a header but misses the shot.
56
Attempt Attempt
Anes Cardaklija attempts a header but misses the shot.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Robin Sixten Frej takes a shot, but it is saved.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Henry Sletsjoe with his right foot results in a goal.
36
Attempt Attempt
Robert Frosti Thorkelsson takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Henry Sletsjoe scores, making it 1-1.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Attempt Attempt
Mads Kristian Hansen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Oliver Berg with a header results in a goal.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oliver Berg scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Mads Kristian Hansen.
13
Attempt Attempt
Shalom Ekong takes a header shot but misses.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Attempt Attempt
Shalom Ekong takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Rasmus Johansson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Victor Wolf.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brommapojkarna 1-1 GAIS. Structural assessment: GAIS exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.