Brazil vs Haiti preview
World Cup
Haiti
HAI
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Brazil defeated Haiti 3-0 with all goals arriving in the opening period to establish a 3-0 halftime advantage that remained unchanged. The home side controlled 57 percent of possession while limiting the visitors to 43 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.26 for Brazil against 0.25 for Haiti, producing a differential of 1.01 that proved consistent with the final outcome. Although Haiti was identified as the stronger team beforehand, Brazil delivered the decisive result. A moderate structural deviation of 13.4 percent was recorded for the winners. No red cards were shown to either side and second-half adjustments proved unnecessary as the scoreline stayed intact throughout the remainder of the contest.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Brazil recorded a moderate 13.4 percent deviation from pre-match projections.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance levels.
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xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the 1.01 expected goals differential.
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Market alignment: The outcome aligned with market projections after the moderate deviation.
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xG expectations: Brazil posted 1.26 expected goals while Haiti managed only 0.25.
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Event impact: Three first-half goals created the 3-0 halftime score that held until full time.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter the flow or personnel on the field.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Brazil
Haiti
Movement
Changes since opening
Brazil
Haiti
Team Power Ranking
i
31.85
33.33
Brazil
Haiti
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Brazil
Haiti
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Brazil
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Brazil
Brazil
Haiti
Brazil
Haiti
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Brazil
Brazil
Haiti
Brazil
Haiti
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HAI had peak pressure around 73'.
- BRA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-21T00:00:20+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Brazil
vs
Scotland
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Wed, 24 Jun - 10:00 PM
Venue: Miami Stadium
Haiti
vs
Morocco
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Wed, 24 Jun - 10:00 PM
Venue: Atlanta Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary