Bravo vs Skendija 79 preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Štadion ŽŠD Thu, 23 Jul - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
BravoBRAV
2 1
Skendija 79SHK
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 6:45 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Rok Kopatin - 19'
Goal
|
Goal
Endrit Krasniqi - 11' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Bravo 2–1 Skendija 79. The result saw Bravo take the points. Bravo showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 39%–61%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Bravo 2-1 Skendija 79. Bravo showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Hyytiä
J. Hyytiä
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
V. Leppänen
V. Leppänen
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Mantere
J. Mantere
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Antamo
D. Antamo
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bravo A. Arnol
A. Arnol
VS
Skendija 79 E. Memushi
E. Memushi
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Europa FC Rank: W
Europa FC Rank: W
Samsunspor Rank: 75 L
Samsunspor Rank: 75 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bravo
95.18%
Draw
4.18%
Away Skendija 79
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bravo
+6.43%
Draw
-5.23%
Skendija 79
-1.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
29.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bravo
Skendija 79
Power Score
50
29.26
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bravo — Opponent-weighted form score
Skendija 79 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bravo Skendija 79

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bravo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Skendija 79

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bravo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Skendija 79
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.21
29.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.67
28.21
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bravo -0.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Skendija 79 +0.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bravo
Skendija 79
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bravo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Skendija 79
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bravo Skendija 79
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bravo Skendija 79
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bravo
Skendija 79
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bravo
vs
Skendija 79
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bravo Skendija 79
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bravo 0.23
Skendija 79 0.17
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bravo Skendija 79
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bravo 0.01
Skendija 79 0.05
Bravo
Skendija 79
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SHK had peak pressure around 13'.
  • SHK started the game with stronger pressure.
BRAV Pressure SHK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SHK reached the top pressure at 13' (48.16).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Štadion ŽŠD
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Joni Hyytiä
Veli-Matti Leppänen
Juuso Mantere
Dennis Antamo

Statistics

Possession
BRAV
42%
SHK
58%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
6 Shots 8
40 Dangerous attacks 82
39 Possession 61
1 Corners 6
12 Free kicks 19
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

108 Ball Safe 99
0 Penalties 1
5 Goal Attempts 10
3 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 28
2 Injuries 0

Attacking

101 Attacks 154

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
18 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Joni Hyytiä

Starting XI ▼

77
Matjaz Rozman
Matjaz Rozman Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Jakob Brunnhofer
Jakob Brunnhofer Defender
6.26
5
Ibrahim Halilou
Ibrahim Halilou Defender
6.26
21
Lan Stravs
Lan Stravs
Midfielder52'
6.5
24
Gasper Jovan
Gasper Jovan Defender
6.37
68
Marwann Nzuzi
Marwann Nzuzi Defender
6.26
7
Divine Omoregie
Divine Omoregie Midfielder
6.37
8
Sandi Nuhanovic
Sandi Nuhanovic (C) Midfielder
6.37
10
Jakoslav Stankovic
Jakoslav Stankovic Midfielder
6.57
11
Okpo Mazié
Okpo Mazié
Midfielder66'
6.45
17
James Arinze
James Arinze Midfielder
6.37
99
Marko Simonic
Marko Simonic Midfielder
6.33
35
Rok Kopatin
Rok Kopatin Attacker
6.82
18
Aldin Jakupović
Aldin Jakupović
Attacker66'
6.5
Referee : Joni Hyytiä

Starting XI ▼

25
Astrit Amzai
Astrit Amzai Goalkeeper
5.88
2
Aleksander Trumci
Aleksander Trumci Defender
6.05
15
Imran Fetai
Imran Fetai Defender
6.05
23
Bojan Dimoski
Bojan Dimoski Defender
6.05
5
Drilon Islami
Drilon Islami Midfielder
6.27
8
Rafa
Rafa Midfielder
6.23
99
Marko Gjorgjievski
Marko Gjorgjievski
Attacker85'
6.5
10
Endrit Krasniqi
Endrit Krasniqi Midfielder
6.27
11
Almir Kryeziu
Almir Kryeziu Midfielder
6.27
49
Sebastjan Spahiu
Sebastjan Spahiu
Midfielder69'
6.5
17
Arbin Zejnullai
Arbin Zejnullai (C) Midfielder
6.23
9
Fahd Ndzengue
Fahd Ndzengue Attacker
6.43
7
Besart Ibraimi
Besart Ibraimi
Attacker85'
6.5
19
Vane Krstevski
Vane Krstevski Attacker
6.43
29
Fabrice Tamba
Fabrice Tamba
Attacker61'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Arbin Zejnullai
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Okpo Mazié
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
85'
Event
Marko Gjorgjievski → Rafa
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Besart Ibraimi  → Fahd Ndzengue
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Florent Ramadani → Endrit Krasniqi
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Sebastjan Spahiu → Almir Kryeziu
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Rafa
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Aldin Jakupović → Rok Kopatin
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Okpo Mazié → Jakoslav Stankovic
4th Substitution
66'
61'
Event
Fabrice Tamba → Vane Krstevski
2nd Substitution
Event
Jakoslav Stankovic
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
56'
Event
Lan Stravs → Ibrahim Halilou
1st Substitution
52'
1ST-HALF
Event
Marko Simonic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
35'
Event
Rok Kopatin
Field Goal / 1st Goal
19'
13'
Event
Endrit Krasniqi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
11'
Event
Endrit Krasniqi
Penalty / 1st Penalty

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Marko Gjorgjievski comes on for Rafael Freitas.
69
Update Update
Sebastjan Spahiu is on, and Almir Kryeziu is off.
69
Update Update
Sebastjan Spahiu is on, and Almir Kryeziu is off.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafael Freitas receives a yellow card.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
66
Update Update
On Okpo Mazie comes off for Jakoslav Stankovic.
61
Update Update
Fabrice Tamba is on, and Vane Krstevski is off.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
52
Update Update
On Lan Stravs, off Ibrahim Halilou.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marko Simonic receives a yellow card.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rok Kopatin scores, bringing the score to 1-1.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Endrit Krasniqi receives a yellow card.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! The score is now 0-1.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Joni Hyytia.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Bravo 2-1 Skendija 79. Structural assessment: Bravo exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.