Brann vs Vålerenga preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion
Round 15 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 28
CONTEXT
Brann hosted Vålerenga in a match that finished 2-3 to the visitors after a halftime score of 0-3. Brann held 71 percent possession and generated 2.49 expected goals against Vålerenga's 1.99 yet the stronger side failed to secure the points. Vålerenga claimed victory despite an away red card that triggered second half adjustments through red card distortion. The outcome proved inconsistent with xG but remained market aligned while efficiency stayed in line with overall patterns. Significant structural deviation favored the away team in a game defined by early dominance shifting under numerical disadvantage. Brann pushed forward relentlessly in the second period but could not overcome the initial deficit created by Vålerenga's clinical start.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Vålerenga produced a significant structural deviation in the match outcome.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team performances throughout.
-
xG alignment: xG alignment revealed Brann at 2.49 compared to Vålerenga at 1.99.
-
Market alignment: Market alignment confirmed the result as consistent with pre-match views.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations did not align with the actual 2-3 scoreline.
-
Event impact: The away red card created a major event impact on proceedings.
-
Red card distortion: Red card distortion affected second half adjustments for Vålerenga.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Kringstad
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
A. Rossland
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Lundberg
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
S. Brudvik
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
1.36
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.31
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde
Rank: 67
W
Start
Rank: 52
W
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 65
L
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 85
L
Aalesund
Rank: 49
L
KFUM
Rank: 58
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund
Rank: 48
W
Tromsø
Rank: 69
L
Kristiansund
Rank: 56
W
Start
Rank: 53
L
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 65
W
HamKam
Rank: 61
L
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.65
62.48
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Vålerenga
Power Score
69.65
62.48
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
272
493
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Brann
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Vålerenga
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Brann Vålerenga
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Brann
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Vålerenga
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Brann
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Vålerenga
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
68.10
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Brann
-3.66
Efficiency Index
vs
Vålerenga
+3.66
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Vålerenga
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Brann
vs
Vålerenga
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Brann
Vålerenga
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
40%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.01
vs
-0.51
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann
Vålerenga
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
26%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.51
vs
+0.01
Brann
Vålerenga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Brann
vs
Vålerenga
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Brann
Vålerenga
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann
0.18
Vålerenga
0.51
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann
Vålerenga
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Brann
0.09
Vålerenga
0.02
Brann
Vålerenga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SKB had peak pressure around 82'.
- VIF started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure
VIF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
SKB reached the top pressure at 82' (100.00).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Brann
SKB
Home
2
matches
Vålerenga
VIF
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
7
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:02:41+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
4-4-2
21 D. De Roeve
3 (C) F. Pallesen Knudsen
23 T. Pedersen
17 J. Soltvedt
16 K. Eriksen
14 U. Mathisen
29 N. Holm
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Alf Olav Rossland
Magnus Lundberg
Sondre Brudvik
Next Match
Brann
vs
Universitatea Cluj
League: Europa Conference League
Kickoff: Thu, 30 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Brann Stadion
Vålerenga
vs
HamKam
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Fri, 31 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Intility Arena
Statistics
Possession
SKB
64%
VIF
36%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
3
4
Big Chances Created
2
3
Shots
3
88
Dangerous attacks
35
71
Possession
29
10
Corners
6
23
Free kicks
10
0
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
1
Match Overview
80
Ball Safe
67
1
Penalties
0
8
Goal Kicks
11
10
Goal Attempts
16
4
Substitutions
5
34
Throwins
12
17
Dribble Attempts
14
8
Successful Dribbles
6
47
Successful Dribbles Percentage
43
Attacking
135
Attacks
77
2
Big Chances Missed
2
4
Counter Attacks
3
Possession
42
Long Passes
65
640
Passes
259
533
Successful Passes
171
83
Successful Passes Percentage
66
11
Key Passes
15
15
Successful Long Passes
21
36
Successful Long Passes Percentage
32
Defensive
9
Saves
5
15
Tackles
20
9
Interceptions
14
61
Duels Won
53
Build-up
31
Total Crosses
13
5
Accurate Crosses
4
Discipline
3
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
24
Lineup
Referee :
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Manager ▼
E. Horneland
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
12
Simen Vidtun Nilsen
Goalkeeper
15
Jonas Torsvik
Defender
32
Markus Haaland
Midfielder
10
Kristall Máni Ingason
Attacker
11
Bård Finne
Attacker
Referee :
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Manager ▼
J. Moesgaard
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
30
Alexander Svensen Ordal
Goalkeeper
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Defender
9
Gabriel Rajkovic
Attacker
19
Promise Ikojo Meliga
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
79'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
78'
8th Substitution
78'
9th Substitution
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
77'
7th Substitution
76'
6th Substitution
71'
67'
5th Substitution
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
65'
62'
4th Substitution
61'
3rd Substitution
57'
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
54'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
49'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1st Substitution
46'
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
41'
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
24'
Header / 1st Goal
19'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Final score detail: Brann 2-3 Vålerenga. Structural assessment: Vålerenga exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
