Brann vs Start preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion Sun, 12 Jul - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Brann SKB
2 1
Start Start
Full Time Sun, 12 Jul 3:00 PM
Round 13 Regular Season
Noah Holm - 68'
Kristian Eriksen - 90'
Goal
|
Goal
H. Lorentzen - 53'

CONTEXT

Brann defeated Start 2-1 in a match that remained level at 0-0 after the first half. Brann controlled 65 percent of possession and generated an expected goals total of 2.19 against Start's 1.22. The stronger side secured the win with the outcome consistent with underlying metrics. No red cards were shown to either team. A significant structural deviation was recorded for Brann yet the result stayed aligned with performance indicators. Efficiency metrics remained in line with established patterns throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brann recorded a significant deviation from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Home xG of 2.19 and away xG of 1.22 aligned with the 2-1 result.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Brann exceeded Start in expected goals by 0.97 as anticipated.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or major events altered the flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Støfringshaug
M. Støfringshaug
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Rossland
A. Rossland
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Nymoen
L. Nymoen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. van Herk
F. van Herk
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brann E. Horneland
E. Horneland
VS
Start A. Karadas
A. Karadas
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.58
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
Aalesund Rank: 48 L
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 L
Vålerenga Rank: 60 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
Viking Rank: 79 L
Tromsø Rank: 70 D
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brann
0%
Draw
0%
Away Start
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.82
45.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Start
Power Score
68.82
45.74
League Position
8
16
Global Rank
263
773

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Start — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Start

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Start

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brann ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Start
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.54
53.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
53.43
28.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brann -2.54 Efficiency Index
vs
Start +2.54 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Start
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann
vs
Start
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brann Start
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
39%
15%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.85 vs -0.18
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann Start
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
15%
39%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.18 vs -0.85
Brann
Start
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brann
vs
Start
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brann Start
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann 0.21
Start 0.50
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann Start
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brann 0.03
Start 0.03
Brann
Start
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SKB had peak pressure around 75'.
  • SKB started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure Start Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 75' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home
0 matches
Start Start Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T10:54:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
M. Dyngeland
Norway
1 M. Dyngeland
M. Hellan
Substitution
Norway
2 M. Hellan
F. Pallesen Knudsen
Norway
3 (C) F. Pallesen Knudsen
V. Winger Dragsnes
Norway
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
J. Soltvedt
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
F. Horn Myhre
Norway
8 F. Horn Myhre
T. Pedersen
Substitution
Norway
23 T. Pedersen
N. Jensen Wassberg
Substitution
Norway
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
K. Ingason
Substitution
Iceland
10 K. Ingason
K. Eriksen
Norway
16 K. Eriksen
B. Finne
Substitution
Norway
11 B. Finne
J. Larsen
Denmark
1 J. Larsen
T. Strannegard
Sweden
16 T. Strannegard
O. Jebali
Tunisia
5 O. Jebali
J. Norheim
Norway
6 (C) J. Norheim
E. Reitan
Substitution
Norway
29 E. Reitan
O. Toure
Substitution
Norway
27 O. Toure
S. Mvoue
Substitution
Cameroon
10 S. Mvoue
E. Segberg
Norway
23 E. Segberg
M. Ugland
Substitution
Norway
18 M. Ugland
H. Lorentzen
Substitution
Norway
20 H. Lorentzen
J. Cornelius
17 J. Cornelius

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 12, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Attendance
15414
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mathias Støfringshaug
Alf Olav Rossland
Line Cathrine Nymoen
Freek van Herk

Statistics

Possession
SKB
61%
Start
39%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 9
71 Dangerous attacks 34
65 Possession 35
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

90 Ball Safe 75
12 Goal Kicks 10
8 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
22 Throwins 21
2 Assists 1
4 Successful Dribbles 4
17 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

139 Attacks 81
1 Counter Attacks 0

Possession

592 Passes 332
489 Successful Passes 218
83 Successful Passes Percentage 66
11 Key Passes 9

Defensive

2 Saves 1
20 Tackles 31
6 Interceptions 9
52 Duels Won 74

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Mathias Støfringshaug

Starting XI ▼

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
6.78
2
Martin Hellan
Martin Hellan Defender
6.28
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm
Attacker46'
7.58
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
6.67
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
7.58
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Defender
6.41
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
7.23
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Midfielder
6.47
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve
Defender62'
6.63
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
6.86
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Midfielder78'
6.53
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Attacker
6.63
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen
Midfielder62'
6.31
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne Attacker
6.51
9
Niklas Castro
Niklas Castro
Attacker62'
8.4
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Attacker
7.1
Referee : Mathias Støfringshaug

Starting XI ▼

1
J. Pryts
J. Pryts Goalkeeper
6.43
5
O. Jebali
O. Jebali Defender
6.76
6
John Norheim
John Norheim (C) Defender
6.98
16
T. Strannegård
T. Strannegård Defender
7.56
27
Ousmane Diallo Toure
Ousmane Diallo Toure Defender
6.81
2
F. Pålerud
F. Pålerud
Defender69'
6.03
29
Erlend Dahl Reitan
Erlend Dahl Reitan Defender
6.4
13
S. Griesbeck
S. Griesbeck
Midfielder87'
10
S. Mvoué
S. Mvoué Midfielder
6.67
14
Markus Soomets
Markus Soomets
Midfielder48'
6.41
18
M. Ugland
M. Ugland Midfielder
7.01
12
D. Dasjajev
D. Dasjajev
Defender87'
23
Erlend Segberg
Erlend Segberg Midfielder
6.72
17
J. Cornelius
J. Cornelius Attacker
6.96
20
H. Lorentzen
H. Lorentzen Attacker
7.22
11
E. Schulze
E. Schulze
Midfielder69'
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Niklas Castro
2nd Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Kristian Eriksen
Header / 3rd Goal
90'
87'
Event
D. Dasjajev → M. Ugland
9th Substitution
87'
Event
S. Griesbeck → Erlend Dahl Reitan
10th Substitution
Event
Jacob Lungi Sørensen → Niklas Jensen Wassberg
8th Substitution
78'
69'
Event
F. Pålerud → Ousmane Diallo Toure
6th Substitution
69'
Event
E. Schulze → H. Lorentzen
7th Substitution
Event
Noah Holm
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
68'
Event
Niklas Castro → Bård Finne
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Ulrik Mathisen → K. Ingason
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Denzel De Roeve → Thore Pedersen
5th Substitution
62'
55'
Event
Erlend Dahl Reitan
1st Yellowcard
53'
Event
H. Lorentzen
Header / 1st Goal
48'
Event
Markus Soomets → S. Mvoué
2nd Substitution
Event
Noah Holm → Martin Hellan
1st Substitution
46'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brann 2-1 Start. Structural assessment: Brann exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.