Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion
Fri, 29 May - 5:00 PM
Round 11 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Brann hosted Sarpsborg 08 in a match that concluded with a 1-2 scoreline. The halftime score stood at 1-2 with Sarpsborg 08 leading throughout. Brann controlled 69 percent of possession while Sarpsborg 08 held 31 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. The stronger team Brann failed to secure the win as Sarpsborg 08 claimed victory. Pre-match indicators showed a significant deviation of 77.3 percent favoring Sarpsborg 08 as the deviation team. Market alignment was recorded as false with the efficiency shift noted as in line with. Second half adjustments remained minimal and no knockout tie applied. The outcome reflected Sarpsborg 08 capitalizing on their opportunities despite lower possession figures.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Sarpsborg 08 recorded a significant 77.3 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the final performance metrics.
-
xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment with expected goals.
-
Market alignment: The result showed market alignment as false for the stronger team.
-
xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable throughout the match analysis.
-
Event impact: The 1-2 scoreline at halftime carried through without further structural changes.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards for both teams produced no disciplinary distortion in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Røvig Sletner
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
A. Rossland
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Tennøy
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
K. Mamhassan
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
F. Alexandersson
VS
E. Sel
1.33
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 82
L
Aalesund
Rank: 43
L
KFUM
Rank: 56
W
Fredrikstad
Rank: 61
W
Tromsø
Rank: 68
W
Rosenborg
Rank: 61
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde
Rank: 66
W
Vålerenga
Rank: 59
L
Fredrikstad
Rank: 61
W
Lillestrøm
Rank: 56
L
KFUM
Rank: 58
L
Tromsø
Rank: 68
L
11
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 6 - 7
7
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Brann
54.93%
Draw
22.36%
Sarpsborg 08
22.7%
Movement
Changes since opening
Brann
+54.74%
Draw
+17.27%
Sarpsborg 08
-72.02%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.2
60.54
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Power Score
67.2
60.54
League Position
11
8
Global Rank
271
468
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Brann
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Sarpsborg 08
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Brann Sarpsborg 08
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Brann
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Sarpsborg 08
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Brann
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Sarpsborg 08
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.58
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Brann
-1.55
Efficiency Index
vs
Sarpsborg 08
+1.55
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Brann
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Sarpsborg 08
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Brann
vs
Sarpsborg 08
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann
0.10
Sarpsborg 08
0.30
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Brann
0.06
Sarpsborg 08
0.01
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- SA08 had peak pressure around 42'.
- SKB started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure
SA08 Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
SA08 reached the top pressure at 42' (75.63).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Brann
SKB
Home
24
matches
Sarpsborg 08
SA08
Away
Match Record
11
Wins
7
6
Draws
6
7
Losses
11
Goals
36
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
36
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-30T00:01:29+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-3-3
Match Formation
4-4-2
1 M. Ndiaye
21 A. Hiim
2 M. Koch
4 B. Utvik
12 C. Niyukuri
33 A. Hansen
22 V. Halvorsen
10 (C) S. Sørli
17 N. Williams
General Information
Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Attendance
15420
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stian Røvig Sletner
Alf Olav Rossland
Jan Morten Tennøy
Karwan Mamhassan
Next Match
Brann
vs
Start
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Jul - 3:00 PM
Venue: Brann Stadion
Sarpsborg 08
vs
Viking
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Jul - 5:15 PM
Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion
Statistics
Possession
SKB
64%
SA08
36%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
2
1
Big Chances Created
2
5
Shots
6
98
Dangerous attacks
33
69
Possession
31
8
Corners
5
8
Free kicks
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
5
Substitutions
5
1
Assists
2
30
Dribble Attempts
22
40
Successful Dribbles Percentage
45
34
Throwins
29
12
Successful Dribbles
10
93
Ball Safe
79
5
Goal Attempts
6
4
Goal Kicks
5
0
Injuries
2
Attacking
0
Big Chances Missed
1
145
Attacks
93
1
Counter Attacks
6
Possession
487
Successful Passes
163
63
Long Passes
65
54
Successful Long Passes Percentage
29
34
Successful Long Passes
19
589
Passes
259
83
Successful Passes Percentage
63
6
Key Passes
8
Defensive
18
Tackles
29
52
Duels Won
59
10
Interceptions
14
2
Saves
3
Build-up
5
Accurate Crosses
4
29
Total Crosses
17
Discipline
2
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
8
Lineup
Referee :
Stian Røvig Sletner
Manager ▼
F. Alexandersson
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
36
Håkon Melås Hellesøy
Goalkeeper
6
Cheikh Mbacke
Defender
26
Rabbi Matondo
Midfielder
40
Jesper Nerhus Eikrem
Midfielder
Referee :
Stian Røvig Sletner
Manager ▼
E. Sel
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
90+3'
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
88'
9th Substitution
88'
10th Substitution
8th Substitution
85'
80'
7th Substitution
76'
6th Substitution
5th Substitution
72'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
63'
4th Substitution
60'
3rd Substitution
60'
2nd Substitution
59'
58'
2nd Yellowcard
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
46'
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Var
45+1'
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
41'
Header / 2nd Goal
Header / 1st Goal
29'
CONCLUSION
Brann maintained dominant possession at 69 percent yet could not overcome the early deficit established by halftime. Sarpsborg 08 defended their lead effectively to finish as 1-2 winners on the road. The absence of xG metrics limited deeper efficiency comparisons while the significant deviation highlighted an outcome inconsistent with initial team strength assessments. No disciplinary events occurred to alter match dynamics and efficiency remained aligned with recorded patterns. This result underscores how possession advantages do not always translate into points when early concessions occur. Sarpsborg 08 executed a compact defensive approach that neutralized Brann's territorial control after the opening period.
