Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion Fri, 29 May - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Brann SKB
1 2
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Full Time Fri, 29 May 5:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season
Rasmus Holten - 29'
Goal
|
Goal
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen - 41'
Sondre Sörli - 45+1'

CONTEXT

Brann hosted Sarpsborg 08 in a match that concluded with a 1-2 scoreline. The halftime score stood at 1-2 with Sarpsborg 08 leading throughout. Brann controlled 69 percent of possession while Sarpsborg 08 held 31 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. The stronger team Brann failed to secure the win as Sarpsborg 08 claimed victory. Pre-match indicators showed a significant deviation of 77.3 percent favoring Sarpsborg 08 as the deviation team. Market alignment was recorded as false with the efficiency shift noted as in line with. Second half adjustments remained minimal and no knockout tie applied. The outcome reflected Sarpsborg 08 capitalizing on their opportunities despite lower possession figures.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sarpsborg 08 recorded a significant 77.3 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the final performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment with expected goals.
  • Market alignment: The result showed market alignment as false for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable throughout the match analysis.
  • Event impact: The 1-2 scoreline at halftime carried through without further structural changes.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards for both teams produced no disciplinary distortion in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Røvig Sletner
S. Røvig Sletner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Rossland
A. Rossland
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Tennøy
J. Tennøy
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Mamhassan
K. Mamhassan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brann F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
VS
Sarpsborg 08 E. Sel
E. Sel
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 82 L
Aalesund Rank: 43 L
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 W
Rosenborg Rank: 60 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 66 W
Vålerenga Rank: 59 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
Lillestrøm Rank: 56 L
KFUM Rank: 57 L
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 6 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brann
54.93%
Draw
22.36%
Away Sarpsborg 08
22.7%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brann
+54.74%
Draw
+17.27%
Sarpsborg 08
-72.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.1
59.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Power Score
68.1
59.51
League Position
8
9
Global Rank
253
501

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Sarpsborg 08

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sarpsborg 08

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sarpsborg 08
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brann Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brann
vs
Sarpsborg 08
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brann Sarpsborg 08
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann 0.00
Sarpsborg 08 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann Sarpsborg 08
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brann 0.00
Sarpsborg 08 0.00
Brann
Sarpsborg 08
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Sarpsborg 08 had peak pressure around 42'.
  • SKB started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure Sarpsborg 08 Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Sarpsborg 08 reached the top pressure at 42' (75.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home
24 matches
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Away
Match Record
11
Wins
7
6
Draws
6
7
Losses
11
Goals
36
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
36
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-29T16:30:58+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
S. Nilsen
Norway
12 S. Nilsen
F. Pallesen Knudsen
Norway
3 (C) F. Pallesen Knudsen
J. Soltvedt
Substitution
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
V. Winger Dragsnes
Norway
20 V. Winger Dragsnes
R. Holten
Substitution
Norway
43 R. Holten
K. Eriksen
Substitution
Norway
16 K. Eriksen
U. Mathisen
Substitution
Norway
14 U. Mathisen
N. Jensen Wassberg
Norway
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
F. Horn Myhre
Norway
8 F. Horn Myhre
J. Thorsteinsson
Substitution
Iceland
7 J. Thorsteinsson
K. Ingason
Iceland
10 K. Ingason
M. Ndiaye
Senegal
1 M. Ndiaye
A. Hiim
Norway
21 A. Hiim
M. Koch
Netherlands
2 M. Koch
B. Utvik
Norway
4 B. Utvik
C. Niyukuri
Substitution
Norway
12 C. Niyukuri
N. Williams
Substitution
Sweden
17 N. Williams
S. Christiansen
Norway
8 S. Christiansen
V. Halvorsen
Substitution
Norway
22 V. Halvorsen
S. Sørli
Substitution
Norway
10 S. Sørli
A. Hansen
Denmark
33 A. Hansen
D. Seland Karlsbakk
Substitution
Norway
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk

General Information

Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stian Røvig Sletner
Alf Olav Rossland
Jan Morten Tennøy
Karwan Mamhassan

Statistics

Possession
SKB
64%
Sarpsborg 08
36%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 6
98 Dangerous attacks 33
69 Possession 31
8 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 6
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 2
29 Dribble Attempts 22
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45
33 Throwins 29
12 Successful Dribbles 10
69 Ball Safe 58
3 Goal Attempts 4
4 Goal Kicks 5
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
145 Attacks 93
1 Counter Attacks 6

Possession

482 Successful Passes 163
33 Successful Long Passes 19
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
62 Long Passes 64
586 Passes 260
82 Successful Passes Percentage 63
6 Key Passes 8

Defensive

18 Tackles 28
52 Duels Won 59
10 Interceptions 14
1 Saves 3

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 4
29 Total Crosses 17

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
6 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

12
S. Nilsen
S. Nilsen Goalkeeper
6.98
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
6.84
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
6.93
15
Jonas Torsvik
Jonas Torsvik
Defender72'
6.3
20
V. Dragsnes
V. Dragsnes Defender
6.76
43
Rasmus Holten
Rasmus Holten Defender
6.87
2
Martin Hellan
Martin Hellan
Defender85'
5.7
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
6.9
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Midfielder
6.85
11
Bård Finne
Bård Finne
Attacker60'
6.99
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Midfielder
6.66
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm
Attacker59'
7.31
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
6.47
7
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson Attacker
7.1
32
Markus Haaland
Markus Haaland
Midfielder60'
6.48
10
K. Ingason
K. Ingason Attacker
7.07
Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

1
Mamour Ndiaye
Mamour Ndiaye Goalkeeper
7.05
2
Menno Koch
Menno Koch Defender
6.65
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Bjørn Inge Utvik Defender
6.96
12
Claus Niyukuri
Claus Niyukuri Defender
6.69
5
Magnar Odegaard
Magnar Odegaard
Defender76'
6.39
21
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim Defender
6.77
8
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen Midfielder
6.95
10
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli Midfielder
6.8
81
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
Midfielder80'
6.4
17
Noa Williams
Noa Williams Midfielder
6.62
3
Nikolai Skuseth
Nikolai Skuseth
Defender88'
6.57
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Midfielder
6.83
32
Eirik Wichne
Eirik Wichne
Defender46'
6.42
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk Attacker
6.58
18
Bop Guèye
Bop Guèye
Midfielder88'
6.5
33
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Attacker
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Magnar Odegaard
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Bop Guèye → Daniel Karlsbakk
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Nikolai Skuseth → Noa Williams
10th Substitution
Event
Martin Hellan → Rasmus Holten
8th Substitution
85'
80'
Event
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn → Sondre Sörli
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Magnar Odegaard → Claus Niyukuri
6th Substitution
Event
Jonas Torsvik → Joachim Soltvedt
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Markus Haaland → Jón Dagur Thorsteinsson
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Bård Finne → Ulrik Mathisen
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Noah Holm → Kristian Eriksen
2nd Substitution
59'
58'
Event
Sander Christiansen
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Joachim Soltvedt
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
57'
46'
Event
Eirik Wichne → Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Var
45+1'
Event
Sondre Sörli
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
41'
Event
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Rasmus Holten
Header / 1st Goal
29'

CONCLUSION

Brann maintained dominant possession at 69 percent yet could not overcome the early deficit established by halftime. Sarpsborg 08 defended their lead effectively to finish as 1-2 winners on the road. The absence of xG metrics limited deeper efficiency comparisons while the significant deviation highlighted an outcome inconsistent with initial team strength assessments. No disciplinary events occurred to alter match dynamics and efficiency remained aligned with recorded patterns. This result underscores how possession advantages do not always translate into points when early concessions occur. Sarpsborg 08 executed a compact defensive approach that neutralized Brann's territorial control after the opening period.