Brann vs Rosenborg preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion
Eliteserien
BrannSKB
3 2
RosenborgRBK
Full Time
Round 16 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Amin Chiakha - 62' (P)
Iver Fossum - 67'

CONTEXT

Brann defeated Rosenborg 3-2 in a match that saw the home side lead 1-0 at halftime. Brann recorded 52 percent possession compared to Rosenborg's 48 percent. Expected goals stood at 1 for Brann and 2.25 for Rosenborg, producing a differential of minus 1.25. The outcome proved inconsistent with the expected goals distribution. A significant structural deviation occurred for Brann. Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed patterns. No red cards were issued to either side. The result aligned with pre-match market indicators despite the underlying performance metrics.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Brann recorded a significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics stayed in line with the observed match patterns.
  • xG alignment: The final result proved inconsistent with the expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Rosenborg posted 2.25 expected goals against Brann's total of 1.
  • Event impact: Brann secured a 3-2 victory after leading 1-0 at halftime.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Hansen
T. Hansen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Haglund
K. Haglund
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Nebben
D. Nebben
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Hauge
S. Hauge
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brann E. Horneland
E. Horneland
VS
Rosenborg F. Alexandersson
F. Alexandersson
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: 61 L
Molde Rank: 67 W
Start Rank: 52 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 66 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 86 L
Aalesund Rank: 50 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 W
Start Rank: 52 W
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 86 D
KFUM Rank: 61 L
Aalesund Rank: 50 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 2 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.42
66.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Rosenborg
Power Score
72.42
66.84
League Position
6
10
Global Rank
235
394

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Rosenborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Rosenborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rosenborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brann ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rosenborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.92
38.33
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.33
26.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brann -1.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Rosenborg +1.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brann
Rosenborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann
vs
Rosenborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brann Rosenborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
27%
65%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.27 vs -0.46
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann Rosenborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
65%
27%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.46 vs -0.27
Brann
Rosenborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brann
vs
Rosenborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brann Rosenborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann 0.30
Rosenborg 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann Rosenborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brann 0.02
Rosenborg 0.08
Brann
Rosenborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RBK had peak pressure around 14'.
  • RBK started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure RBK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RBK reached the top pressure at 14' (94.18).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home
5 matches
Rosenborg RBK Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
3
Goals
9
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
9
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T00:04:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 16 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Attendance
17402
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tore Hansen
Kim Haglund
Dag Roger Nebben
Steinar Hauge

Statistics

Possession
SKB
50%
RBK
50%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 5
4 Shots 4
40 Dangerous attacks 88
52 Possession 48
5 Corners 12
9 Free kicks 9
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

78 Ball Safe 52
0 Penalties 1
11 Goal Kicks 7
8 Goal Attempts 9
3 Substitutions 5
28 Throwins 33
18 Dribble Attempts 17
6 Successful Dribbles 6
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35

Attacking

69 Attacks 130
0 Big Chances Missed 3
4 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

63 Long Passes 48
434 Passes 393
333 Successful Passes 286
77 Successful Passes Percentage 73
10 Key Passes 12
24 Successful Long Passes 23
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 48

Defensive

4 Saves 2
27 Tackles 24
10 Interceptions 15
56 Duels Won 57

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 27
6 Accurate Crosses 10

Discipline

10 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Tore Hansen

Starting XI ▼

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
6.8
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
7.28
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
6.97
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Defender
6.53
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
6.37
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
7.21
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen Midfielder
7.89
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
6.63
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen
Midfielder69'
7.78
9
Niklas Castro
Niklas Castro Attacker
7.31
22
Sævar Atli Magnússon
Sævar Atli Magnússon
Attacker90+5'
19
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson Attacker
6.17
10
Kristall Máni Ingason
Kristall Máni Ingason
Attacker69'
7.57
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
6.54
Referee : Tore Hansen

Starting XI ▼

1
Leopold Wahlstedt
Leopold Wahlstedt Goalkeeper
6.03
4
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide Defender
6.8
19
Adrian Pereira
Adrian Pereira Defender
6.37
5
Håkon Volden
Håkon Volden
Defender85'
6.34
21
Tomas Nemcik
Tomas Nemcik Defender
6.23
22
Jonas Svensson
Jonas Svensson (C) Defender
8
16
Aslak Witry
Aslak Witry
Defender68'
6.15
8
Iver Fossum
Iver Fossum Midfielder
7.76
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Midfielder73'
6.45
10
Ole Selnæs
Ole Selnæs Midfielder
7.77
15
Jonas Mortensen
Jonas Mortensen
Defender85'
6.04
17
Mads Bomholt
Mads Bomholt Midfielder
6.91
18
Amin Chiakha
Amin Chiakha Attacker
6.91
29
David Duris
David Duris Attacker
6.21
14
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
Jesper Reitan-Sunde
Attacker68'
6.37
35
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Emil Konradsen Ceide Attacker
6.82

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sævar Atli Magnússon  → Niklas Castro
8th Substitution
90+5'
Event
Kristian Eriksen
Header / 4th Goal
90+2'
85'
Event
Jonas Mortensen → Ole Selnæs
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Håkon Volden → Adrian Pereira
7th Substitution
Event
Niklas Castro
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
78'
78'
Event
Adrian Pereira
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Kristall Máni Ingason
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
75'
73'
Event
Johan Johanessen Bakke → Iver Fossum
5th Substitution
Event
Kristian Eriksen → Niklas Jensen Wassberg
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Kristall Máni Ingason → Eggert Aron Gudmundsson 
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Thore Pedersen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
68'
Event
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
68'
68'
Event
Jesper Reitan-Sunde → David Duris
1st Substitution
68'
Event
Aslak Witry → Jonas Svensson
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Iver Fossum
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
62'
Event
Amin Chiakha
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
61'
Event
Jonas Svensson
Penalty awarded
59'
Event
Amin Chiakha
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Niklas Castro
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
14'
2'
Event
Emil Konradsen Ceide
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brann 3-2 Rosenborg. Structural assessment: Brann exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.