Botafogo vs Vitória preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Nilton Santos Today - 10:30 PM
Serie A
Botafogo BOT
Vitória VTO
Postponed Today 10:30 PM
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Botafogo host Vitória in Serie A (Regular Season) at Estádio Nilton Santos. Domestically, Botafogo sit 9th in the table while Vitória are 10th. Power ranking favours Botafogo by 5.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Botafogo hold a +5.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Vitória are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Botafogo show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Botafogo have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Botafogo carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Botafogo hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Botafogo 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Vitória 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Botafogo F. da Silva Maia Carvalho
F. da Silva Maia Carvalho
VS
Vitória J. Ribeiro Ventura
J. Ribeiro Ventura
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.39
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santos Rank: 63 W
Bahia Rank: 62 L
São Paulo Rank: 63 D
Corinthians Rank: 66 W
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 63 D
Remo Rank: 57 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 W
Santos Rank: 62 L
Internacional Rank: 63 W
Bragantino Rank: 64 L
Fluminense Rank: 68 D
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 4 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Botafogo
0%
Draw
0%
Away Vitória
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.28
61.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Botafogo
Vitória
Power Score
67.28
61.85
League Position
9
10
Global Rank
312
467

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Botafogo — Opponent-weighted form score
Vitória — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Botafogo Vitória

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Botafogo BOT Home
4 matches
Vitória VTO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
4
Draws
4
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-22T00:13:20+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Baiersdorf Linck
24 L. Baiersdorf Linck
V. da Silva
2 V. da Silva
E. Justino
34 E. Justino
F. Marçal de Oliveira
21 F. Marçal de Oliveira
A. Telles
13 A. Telles
L. Villalba Jaume
77 L. Villalba Jaume
C. Medina
6 C. Medina
V. de Melo Moura
75 V. de Melo Moura
M. Martins Silva dos Santos
11 M. Martins Silva dos Santos
K. Almeida Toledo
59 K. Almeida Toledo
79
79
L. Assis Arcanjo
1 L. Assis Arcanjo
R. Ramos Lima
13 R. Ramos Lima
L. Candido de Almeida
36 L. Candido de Almeida
C. de Menezes Júnior
25 C. de Menezes Júnior
J. Santos de Jesus
83 J. Santos de Jesus
L. Martínez
6 L. Martínez
G. Baralhas dos Santos
44 G. Baralhas dos Santos
D. Tarzia
12 D. Tarzia
T. Pochettino
8 T. Pochettino
E. de Arruda Serafim
33 E. de Arruda Serafim
C. de Sousa Ferreira
91 C. de Sousa Ferreira

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 10:30 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
Capacity
46831
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro
Maira Mastella Moreira
Tiago Augusto Kappes Diel
Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior

Expected Lineup

Referee : Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

24
Léo Linck
Léo Linck Goalkeeper
77
Lucas Villalba
Lucas Villalba Midfielder
11
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins Midfielder
59
Kauan Toledo
Kauan Toledo Attacker
79
Lucas Emanuel Attacker
34
Gabriel Justino
Gabriel Justino Right Back
2
Vitinho
Vitinho Right Back
21
Marçal
Marçal Left Back
13
Alex Telles
Alex Telles Left Back
6
Cristian Medina
Cristian Medina Central Midfield
75
Huguinho
Huguinho Central Midfield
Referee : Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo Goalkeeper
91
Renê
Renê Centre Forward
13
Ramon
Ramon Left Back
36
Luan Cândido
Luan Cândido Left Back
44
Baralhas
Baralhas Defensive Midfield
6
Emmanuel Martínez
Emmanuel Martínez Defensive Midfield
8
Tomás Pochettino
Tomás Pochettino Attacking Midfield
25
Cacá
Cacá Right Back
33
Erick
Erick Right Wing
83
Jamerson
Jamerson Right Back
12
Diego Tarzia
Diego Tarzia Left Wing

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Botafogo holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Botafogo a 5.4-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.