Botafogo vs Vitória preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Nilton Santos
Serie A
BotafogoBOT
0 – 0
VitóriaVTO
Full Time
Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The encounter between Botafogo and Vitória finished in a goalless draw after ninety minutes of play. Botafogo maintained 57 percent possession and registered 1.29 expected goals against Vitória who held 43 percent possession and 0.37 expected goals. The halftime score stood at 0-0 with no goals scored in either half. Neither side received red cards which kept both teams at full strength for the duration. Although Botafogo were considered the stronger team they could not break down the opposition defense to score. The final result of 0-0 did not reflect the expected goal superiority of the home side. Vitória showed defensive organization to earn a point on the road. The match demonstrated how possession and chance creation do not always translate directly into goals. Overall the game was a tactical battle with limited clear cut opportunities converted.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Botafogo displayed a significant structural deviation from their expected performance.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: xG figures showed Botafogo at 1.29 and Vitória at 0.37 indicating misalignment with the 0-0 score.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations despite the xG differential.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations favored Botafogo but were not met in the final result.
  • Event impact: No major events like red cards impacted the flow of the match.
  • Red card distortion: The lack of red cards meant no distortion occurred in team structures.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Pinheiro
J. Pinheiro
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Mastella Moreira
M. Mastella Moreira
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Kappes Diel
T. Kappes Diel
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior
R. Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Botafogo F. da Silva Maia Carvalho
F. da Silva Maia Carvalho
VS
Vitória J. Ribeiro Ventura
J. Ribeiro Ventura
1.39
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.39
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santos Rank: 63 W
Bahia Rank: 62 L
São Paulo Rank: 63 D
Corinthians Rank: 67 W
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 64 D
Remo Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 W
Santos Rank: 63 L
Internacional Rank: 63 W
Bragantino Rank: 64 L
Fluminense Rank: 68 D
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 4 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.57
62.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Botafogo
Vitória
Power Score
67.57
62.17
League Position
10
12
Global Rank
310
466

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Botafogo — Opponent-weighted form score
Vitória — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Botafogo Vitória

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Botafogo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vitória

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Botafogo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vitória
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.33
10.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.54
38.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Botafogo +2.29 Efficiency Index
vs
Vitória -2.29 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Botafogo
Vitória
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Botafogo
vs
Vitória
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Botafogo Vitória
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
21%
30%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.27 vs -0.11
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Botafogo Vitória
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
30%
21%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.11 vs -0.27
Botafogo
Vitória
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Botafogo
vs
Vitória
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Botafogo Vitória
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Botafogo 0.33
Vitória 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Botafogo Vitória
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Botafogo 0.00
Vitória 0.00
Botafogo
Vitória
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOT had peak pressure around 62'.
  • BOT started the game with stronger pressure.
BOT Pressure VTO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOT reached the top pressure at 62' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Botafogo BOT Home
4 matches
Vitória VTO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
4
Draws
4
0
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:09:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Nilton Santos
Capacity
46831
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro
Maira Mastella Moreira
Tiago Augusto Kappes Diel
Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior

Statistics

Possession
BOT
57%
VTO
43%

Top Statistics

3 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 2
63 Dangerous attacks 25
57 Possession 43
9 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Goal Kicks 11
6 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 23
1 Hit Woodwork 0
15 Successful Headers 12
26 Dribble Attempts 12
17 Successful Dribbles 5
65 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42

Attacking

111 Attacks 83
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

42 Long Passes 55
367 Passes 296
299 Successful Passes 227
81 Successful Passes Percentage 77
17 Key Passes 4
23 Successful Long Passes 27
55 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49

Defensive

1 Saves 6
17 Tackles 19
8 Interceptions 8
70 Duels Won 57

Build-up

34 Total Crosses 9
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

16 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

17
Warleson
Warleson Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Vitinho
Vitinho Defender
7.47
4
Mateo Ponte
Mateo Ponte
Defender79'
13
Alex Telles
Alex Telles (C) Defender
7.22
21
Marçal
Marçal Defender
7.44
34
Gabriel Justino
Gabriel Justino Defender
6.93
6
Cristian Medina
Cristian Medina Midfielder
6.84
10
Álvaro Montoro
Álvaro Montoro Midfielder
7.44
11
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins Midfielder
7.12
8
Danilo
Danilo
Midfielder66'
6.61
75
Huguinho
Huguinho Midfielder
7.22
23
Santiago Rodríguez
Santiago Rodríguez
Midfielder79'
77
Lucas Villalba
Lucas Villalba Midfielder
7.15
—
Lucas Villalba
66'
19
Arthur Cabral
Arthur Cabral Attacker
7.11
37
Kadir Barría
Kadir Barría
Attacker79'
Referee : Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo Goalkeeper
8
13
Ramon
Ramon Defender
6.5
25
Cacá
Cacá Defender
6.95
36
Luan Cândido
Luan Cândido Defender
6.99
83
Jamerson
Jamerson Defender
6.67
6
Emmanuel Martínez
Emmanuel Martínez Midfielder
6.49
95
Caíque Gonçalves
Caíque Gonçalves
Midfielder46'
6.96
10
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho Midfielder
6.33
12
Diego Tarzia
Diego Tarzia
Defender66'
6.49
33
Erick
Erick Midfielder
7.11
98
Mateusinho
Mateusinho
Defender87'
44
Baralhas
Baralhas (C) Midfielder
6.48
88
Zé Vitor
Zé Vitor Midfielder
7.1
8
Tomás Pochettino
Tomás Pochettino
Midfielder78'
91
Renê
Renê Attacker
6.46
79
Renato Kayzer
Renato Kayzer
Attacker46'
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Mateo Ponte
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+1'
87'
Event
Mateusinho → Erick
10th Substitution
Event
Kadir Barría → Arthur Cabral
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Mateo Ponte → Vitinho
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Santiago Rodríguez → Huguinho
9th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Tomás Pochettino → Zé Vitor
6th Substitution
Event
Danilo → Matheus Martins
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
→ Lucas Villalba
4th Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Diego Tarzia → Matheuzinho
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Caíque Gonçalves → Emmanuel Martínez
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Renato Kayzer → Renê
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Emmanuel Martínez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Mateo Ponte.
87
Update Update
Matheus Silva Duarte, also known as Matheusinho, comes on for Erick de Arruda Serafim.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos de Menezes Júnior Head Shot Missed
79
Update Update
Mateo Ponte comes on for Victor Alexander da Silva. Vitinho also enters the match.
79
Update Update
Santiago Rodriguez replaces Huguinho.
79
Update Update
On comes José Kadir, off goes Arthur Mendonca Cabral.
78
Update Update
Tomas Pochettino is on, and Ze Vitor is off.
77
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Emanuel Jales do Nascimento attempts a header but misses the shot.
76
Attempt Attempt
Alex Nicolao Telles takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
75
Attempt Attempt
Arthur Mendonca Cabral takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Nicolas Medina takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Update Update
Lucas Emanuel Jales do Nascimento replaces Matheus Martins.
66
Update Update
Lucas Emanuel Jales do Nascimento comes on for Matheus Martins.
66
Update Update
Danilo Dos Santos De Oliveira comes on for Lucas Villalba.
66
Attempt Attempt
Victor Alexander da Silva takes a shot with his left foot, but it misses the target.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Arthur Mendonca Cabral's header is saved.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Justino attempts a header but misses the shot.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Huguinho takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Huguinho takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Huguinho takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Montoro takes a shot with his right foot, but it hits the post.
46
Attempt Attempt
Huguinho takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Caique de Jesus Goncalves is on, and Leandro Emmanuel Martinez is off.
46
Update Update
Renato Kayser De Souza comes on for Rene Sousa.
45
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Villalba takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
41
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Martins takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Huguinho takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Leandro Emmanuel Martinez receives a yellow card.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Matheus Martins takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Matheusinho takes a left-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Nicolas Medina takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Botafogo 0-0 Vitória. Structural assessment: Botafogo exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.