Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar preview
World Cup
Qatar
QAT
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Bosnia and Herzegovina defeated Qatar by a final score of 3-1. The home side led 2-1 at halftime before adding a third goal after the break. Bosnia and Herzegovina controlled 54 percent of possession while Qatar held 46 percent. Despite the victory the home team recorded lower expected goals at 0.65 against Qatar's 0.92. The stronger side prevailed on the day with no red cards issued to either team. The outcome diverged from xG projections yet remained consistent with other pre-match indicators. Minimal structural deviation was observed for the winning side.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Bosnia and Herzegovina showed a minimal deviation of 2.1 percent from pre-match expectations.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
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xG alignment: The match outcome was not consistent with the xG values as Qatar held a higher expected goals total.
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Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations despite the xG differential.
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xG expectations: Qatar posted higher xG at 0.92 compared to Bosnia and Herzegovina's 0.65.
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Event impact: Bosnia and Herzegovina secured a 3-1 victory after leading 2-1 at halftime.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued during the match affecting the outcome.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
Team Power Ranking
i
20.93
14.44
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Bosnia and Herzegovina
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Qatar
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BIH had peak pressure around 30'.
- BIH started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-25T00:00:31+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary