Borussia Mönchengladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
Stadion im Borussia-Park Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG
TSG Hoffenheim TSG
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 1:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Borussia Mönchengladbach welcome TSG Hoffenheim to Stadion im Borussia-Park for a Bundesliga regular season fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit 13th in the table, trailing the 5th-placed visitors who arrive with a clear power advantage of 8.6 points—Hoffenheim's rating at 85 dwarfs Gladbach's 76.39. Both sides enter with identical form scores of zero, reflecting scant recent data at this early stage. League positions underscore Hoffenheim's stronger standing, likely bolstered by superior squad quality. Advanced metrics like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable due to missing xG data, shifting focus to structural edges and transitional play. Hoffenheim's higher ranking hints at better organization and depth, while Gladbach must rally at home to bridge the gap. Projections lean decisively towards the away side, setting up a test of resilience for the Foals against Hoffenheim's momentum.

TL;DR

  • Structural: TSG Hoffenheim possess a power score of 85 against Borussia Mönchengladbach's 76.39, conferring an 8.6-point advantage.
  • Form: Both teams register a form score of 0 entering this Bundesliga encounter.
  • Squad: Borussia Mönchengladbach occupy 13th place while TSG Hoffenheim sit 5th in the league standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to absent xG statistics.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for both attacking and defensive phases.
  • Market: Borussia Mönchengladbach 23% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.6% (Δ+0%) | TSG Hoffenheim 56.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Borussia Mönchengladbach E. Polanski
E. Polanski
VS
TSG Hoffenheim C. Ilzer
C. Ilzer
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.83
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Augsburg Rank: 78 L
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 W
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: 74 D
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 80 D
RB Leipzig Rank: 87 L
Heidenheim Rank: 74 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Werder Bremen Rank: 76 W
VfB Stuttgart Rank: 85 D
Hamburger SV Rank: 75 W
Borussia Dortmund Rank: 90 W
FC Augsburg Rank: 79 D
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 80 L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 12 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Borussia Mönchengladbach
22.99%
Draw
20.58%
Away TSG Hoffenheim
56.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
76.39
85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Borussia Mönchengladbach
TSG Hoffenheim
Power Score
76.39
85
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
96
38

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach Opponent-weighted form score
TSG Hoffenheim Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Borussia Mönchengladbach TSG Hoffenheim

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Borussia Mönchengladbach BMG Home
0 matches
TSG Hoffenheim TSG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:35:21+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
M. Nicolas
33 M. Nicolas
P. Sander
16 P. Sander
N. Elvedi
30 N. Elvedi
K. Diks
4 K. Diks
Y. Engelhardt
6 Y. Engelhardt
J. Scally
29 J. Scally
R. Reitz
27 R. Reitz
K. Stöger
7 K. Stöger
L. Ullrich
26 L. Ullrich
F. Honorat
9 F. Honorat
S. Machino
18 S. Machino
O. Baumann
1 O. Baumann
B. Fernandes da Silva Junior
13 B. Fernandes da Silva Junior
A. Hajdari
21 A. Hajdari
O. Kabak
5 O. Kabak
V. Coufal
34 V. Coufal
W. Burger
18 W. Burger
L. Avdullahu
7 L. Avdullahu
B. Touré
29 B. Touré
A. Kramarić
27 A. Kramarić
T. Lemperle
19 T. Lemperle
F. Asllani
11 F. Asllani

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion im Borussia-Park
Capacity
54057
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

33
Moritz Nicolas
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper
7.14
26
Lukas Ullrich
Lukas Ullrich Midfielder
6.53
29
Joe Scally
Joe Scally Midfielder
6.67
9
Franck Honorat
Franck Honorat Attacker
6.86
18
Shuto Machino
Shuto Machino Attacker
6.68
4
Kevin Diks
Kevin Diks Left Back
6.91
6
Yannik Engelhardt
Yannik Engelhardt Defensive Midfield
6.79
7
Kevin Stöger
Kevin Stöger Central Midfield
6.78
16
Philipp Sander
Philipp Sander Right Back
6.92
27
Rocco Reitz
Rocco Reitz Central Midfield
6.96
30
Nico Elvedi
Nico Elvedi Centre Back
6.96

Starting XI

1
Oliver Baumann
Oliver Baumann Goalkeeper
6.78
11
Fisnik Asllani
Fisnik Asllani Centre Forward
7.02
29
Bazoumana Touré
Bazoumana Touré Left Wing
6.97
34
Vladimír Coufal
Vladimír Coufal Right Back
7.11
5
Ozan Kabak
Ozan Kabak Right Back
6.99
7
Leon Avdullahu
Leon Avdullahu Defensive Midfield
6.92
13
Bernardo
Bernardo Left Back
6.85
18
Wouter Burger
Wouter Burger Defensive Midfield
7.14
19
Tim Lemperle
Tim Lemperle Right Wing
6.89
21
Albian Hajdari
Albian Hajdari Left Back
6.97
27
Andrej Kramaric
Andrej Kramaric Attacking Midfield
7.2

CONCLUSION

Hoffenheim's superior power rating and loftier league position position them as favorites in this Borussia-Park showdown. Gladbach's home advantage offers hope, but without form or advanced stats to lean on, the visitors' structural edge should prevail. Expect Hoffenheim to dominate possession and capitalize on transitions, exposing any Gladbach frailties. The 13th-placed hosts need a gritty display to upset the 5th-placed challengers, yet projections align with Hoffenheim's quality shining through for a deserved away result.