Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Gradski Stadion, Foca Tue, 7 Jul - 6:30 PM
Champions League
Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka
1 1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
Full Time Tue, 7 Jul 6:30 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Luka Juricic - 9' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Armstrong Oko-Flex - 55'

CONTEXT

The encounter between Borac Banja Luka and Levski Sofia in the opening leg of their two-legged knockout fixture ended in a 1-1 stalemate. Borac Banja Luka established an early advantage by scoring in the first half to lead 1-0 at the interval. Levski Sofia mounted a comeback after the break to secure the equalizer and share the points. Possession statistics revealed Borac Banja Luka with 43 percent of the ball compared to Levski Sofia's 57 percent. Neither team received any red cards during the contest. Pre-match indications pointed to Borac Banja Luka as the stronger side, but the draw represented a significant structural deviation from those expectations. The outcome proved inconsistent with market projections as well. Efficiency metrics remained in line with anticipated levels throughout the game. This result leaves the aggregate score level heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A significant deviation occurred for Borac Banja Luka from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with projections for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to assess alignment with the scoreline.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw did not align with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals information was provided for performance evaluation.
  • Event impact: The second half equalizer by Levski Sofia shaped the final 1-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to influence the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Türkmen
M. Türkmen
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Duran
B. Duran
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Birinci
B. Birinci
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Yılmaz
M. Yılmaz
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Borac Banja Luka V. Marinović
V. Marinović
VS
Levski Sofia J. Velázquez Santiago
J. Velázquez Santiago
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Borac Banja Luka
29.62%
Draw
29.79%
Away Levski Sofia
40.59%

Movement

Changes since opening
Borac Banja Luka
+23.58%
Draw
-58.13%
Levski Sofia
+34.55%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.63
62.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
Power Score
64.63
62.09
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
385
465

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Borac Banja Luka Opponent-weighted form score
Levski Sofia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Borac Banja Luka Levski Sofia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Borac Banja Luka

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Levski Sofia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Borac Banja Luka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Levski Sofia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.58
35.79
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.79
20.58
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Borac Banja Luka Efficiency Index
vs
Levski Sofia Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Borac Banja Luka ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Levski Sofia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Borac Banja Luka Levski Sofia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Borac Banja Luka Levski Sofia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Borac Banja Luka
vs
Levski Sofia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Borac Banja Luka Levski Sofia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Borac Banja Luka Levski Sofia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Borac Banja Luka
Levski Sofia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Levski Sofia had peak pressure around 79'.
  • Borac Banja Luka started the game with stronger pressure.
Borac Banja Luka Pressure Levski Sofia Pressure
Pressure Index: Levski Sofia reached the top pressure at 79' (70.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka Home
0 matches
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:52:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
N. Ćetković
Bosnia and Herzegovina
21 N. Ćetković
V. Rogan
Serbia
19 V. Rogan
A. Pascual Urbón
Spain
3 A. Pascual Urbón
S. Saničanin
Bosnia and Herzegovina
6 (C) S. Saničanin
S. Herrera Cardona
Colombia
16 S. Herrera Cardona
S. Ogrinec
Slovenia
98 S. Ogrinec
M. Deket
Substitution
89 M. Deket
M. Jojić
Serbia
18 M. Jojić
D. Hrelja
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
11 D. Hrelja
L. Juričić
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
7 L. Juričić
S. Savić
Substitution
Austria
77 S. Savić
S. Velislavov Vutsov
Bulgaria
92 S. Velislavov Vutsov
M. Araújo dos Santos
Brazil
3 M. Araújo dos Santos
N. Serafimov
Substitution
Macedonia
31 N. Serafimov
K. Traychev Dimitrov
Bulgaria
50 (C) K. Traychev Dimitrov
W. Kamdem
France
71 W. Kamdem
A. Bouras
Algeria
47 A. Bouras
G. Trdin
Slovenia
18 G. Trdin
S. Lobo Araújo
Substitution
Portugal
35 S. Lobo Araújo
F. Mota de Castro
Substitution
Brazil
17 F. Mota de Castro
R. Nascimento Satorno
Substitution
Brazil
7 R. Nascimento Satorno
D. Kusso
Substitution
27 D. Kusso

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 07, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Gradski Stadion, Foca
Capacity
10030
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Türkmen
Bersan Duran
Bahtiyar Birinci
Mehmet Ali Yılmaz

Statistics

Possession
Borac Banja Luka
44%
Levski Sofia
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Shots 14
57 Dangerous attacks 88
43 Possession 57
3 Corners 7
15 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
4 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 19

Attacking

97 Attacks 105

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
15 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI

21
Nikola Cetkovic
Nikola Cetkovic Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Abel Pascual
Abel Pascual Defender
6.26
6
Sinisa Sanicanin
Sinisa Sanicanin (C) Defender
6.26
16
Sebastián Herrera
Sebastián Herrera Defender
6.26
19
Viktor Rogan
Viktor Rogan Defender
6.26
11
Damir Hrelja
Damir Hrelja Midfielder
6.37
47
Amar Milak
Amar Milak
Midfielder64'
6.5
18
Milos Jojic
Milos Jojic Midfielder
6.37
77
Stefan Savic
Stefan Savic Midfielder
6.37
10
David Vukovic
David Vukovic
Midfielder88'
98
Sandi Ogrinec
Sandi Ogrinec Midfielder
6.33
7
Luka Juricic
Luka Juricic Attacker
6.63
99
Dani Romera
Dani Romera
Attacker88'
89
Matej Deket
Matej Deket Attacker
6.46
44
Ante Roguljic
Ante Roguljic
Midfielder64'
6.5
Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI

92
Svetoslav Vutsov
Svetoslav Vutsov Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Maicon
Maicon Defender
6.26
31
Nikola Serafimov
Nikola Serafimov Defender
6.25
19
Mehdi Moubarik
Mehdi Moubarik
Midfielder57'
6.5
50
Kristian Dimitrov
Kristian Dimitrov (C) Defender
6.26
71
Oliver Kamdem
Oliver Kamdem Defender
6.26
17
Everton Bala
Everton Bala Midfielder
6.37
20
Álex Centelles
Álex Centelles
Defender83'
6.5
18
Gasper Trdin
Gasper Trdin Midfielder
6.37
27
David Kusso
David Kusso Midfielder
6.37
11
Armstrong Oko-Flex
Armstrong Oko-Flex
Midfielder46'
6.69
35
Serginho
Serginho Midfielder
6.48
4
Christian Makoun
Christian Makoun
Defender83'
6.5
47
Akram Bouras
Akram Bouras Midfielder
6.37
7
Reinaldo
Reinaldo Attacker
6.46
9
Juan Perea
Juan Perea
Attacker67'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Dani Romera Luka Juricic
8th Substitution
88'
Event
David Vukovic Stefan Savic
9th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
Álex Centelles Everton Bala
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Christian Makoun Serginho
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Juan Perea Reinaldo
5th Substitution
Event
Amar Milak Damir Hrelja
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Ante Roguljic Matej Deket
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Sandi Ogrinec
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
57'
Event
Mehdi Moubarik Nikola Serafimov
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Armstrong Oko-Flex
Field Goal / 1st Goal
46'
Event
Armstrong Oko-Flex David Kusso
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Luka Juricic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Luka Juricic
Penalty / 1st Penalty
9'
7'
Event
Nikola Serafimov
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

88
Update Update
David Vukovic is on, and Stefan Savic is off.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Daniel Romera Andujar comes on for Luka Juricic.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Centelles is replaced by Everton Bala.
83
Update Update
Christian Makoun is on, and Sérgio Miguel Lobo Araújo is off.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Update Update
On comes Perea, off goes Reinaldo.
64
Update Update
Amar Milak is on, and Damir Hrelja is off.
64
Update Update
Ante Roguljic is on, and Matej Deket is off.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Sandi Ogrinec.
57
Substitution Substitution
El Mehdi Moubarik is substituted for Nikola Serafimov.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Armstrong Okoflex replaces David Kusso.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luka Juricic receives a yellow card.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Luka Juricic scores, making it 1-0.
7
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nikola Serafimov receives a yellow card.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mehmet Turkmen.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Borac Banja Luka 1-1 Levski Sofia. Structural assessment: Borac Banja Luka exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.