Bohemians vs St Josephs FC preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Dalymount Park
Europa Conference League
BohemiansBOH
2 0
St Josephs FCSt Josephs FC
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Bohemians welcomed St Josephs FC for the first leg of their two-legged knockout tie and delivered a controlled 2-0 win. The contest stayed level at 0-0 through halftime before the home side pulled clear in the second period. Bohemians controlled 65 percent of possession while limiting the visitors to 35 percent. The stronger side claimed the points without receiving or conceding any red cards. A notable performance deviation of 21.9 percent was recorded relative to baseline expectations yet the result stayed consistent with overall market alignment. Efficiency metrics remained in line with projections throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bohemians recorded a significant 21.9 percent deviation from baseline expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were available for either side.
  • Event impact: No disruptive events altered the flow or final 2-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so no distortion occurred from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Graagaard
L. Graagaard
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Deronjic
E. Deronjic
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Markus
M. Markus
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Funder
S. Funder
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bohemians A. Reynolds
A. Reynolds
VS
St Josephs FC J. Muñoz Arévalo
J. Muñoz Arévalo
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bohemians
78.09%
Draw
16.25%
Away St Josephs FC
5.66%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bohemians
-13.19%
Draw
+8.95%
St Josephs FC
+4.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bohemians
St Josephs FC
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bohemians — Opponent-weighted form score
St Josephs FC — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bohemians St Josephs FC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bohemians

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

St Josephs FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bohemians ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy St Josephs FC
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.31
17.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.57
20.31
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bohemians +0.22 Efficiency Index
vs
St Josephs FC -0.22 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bohemians
St Josephs FC
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bohemians ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy St Josephs FC
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bohemians
St Josephs FC
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bohemians
vs
St Josephs FC
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bohemians 0.16
St Josephs FC 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bohemians St Josephs FC
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bohemians 0.00
St Josephs FC 0.03
Bohemians
St Josephs FC
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOH had peak pressure around 82'.
  • BOH started the game with stronger pressure.
BOH Pressure St Josephs FC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOH reached the top pressure at 82' (60.76).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Dalymount Park
Capacity
4443
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lasse Læbel Graagaard
Esad Deronjic
Martin Markus
Svend Funder

Statistics

Possession
BOH
60%
St Josephs FC
40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
5 Shots 4
64 Dangerous attacks 23
65 Possession 35
9 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

71 Ball Safe 72
1 Penalties 0
5 Goal Attempts 2
4 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 14
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 5

Attacking

80 Attacks 52

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Starting XI ▼

25
Paul Walters
Paul Walters Goalkeeper
6.5
6
Jordan Flores
Jordan Flores Defender
6.5
12
Patrick Hickey
Patrick Hickey Defender
6.5
15
Senan Mullen
Senan Mullen Defender
6.5
5
Sadou Diallo
Sadou Diallo
Midfielder46'
6.56
16
Darragh Power
Darragh Power Defender
6.5
22
Sam Todd
Sam Todd Defender
6.5
8
Harry Vaughan
Harry Vaughan Midfielder
6.5
11
Dayle Rooney
Dayle Rooney
Midfielder65'
6.5
10
Dawson Devoy
Dawson Devoy (C) Midfielder
6.5
26
Ross Tierney
Ross Tierney Midfielder
6.5
32
Markuss Strods
Markuss Strods Midfielder
6.5
7
Connor Parsons
Connor Parsons
Midfielder65'
6.69
18
Douglas James-Taylor
Douglas James-Taylor Attacker
6.71
9
Colm Whelan
Colm Whelan
Attacker76'
6.5
Referee : Lasse Læbel Graagaard

Starting XI ▼

1
Bradley Banda
Bradley Banda Goalkeeper
6.12
—
Bradley Banda
64'
2
Kingsley Fobi Defender
4
Javi Paul
Javi Paul Defender
6.04
5
Geovanni Barba
Geovanni Barba Defender
6.04
20
Sébastien Lauture
Sébastien Lauture Defender
6.05
3
Julian Valarino
Julian Valarino Midfielder
6.27
8
Marco Rosa
Marco Rosa Midfielder
6.37
—
Marco Rosa
70'
16
Bakary Diédhiou Midfielder
22
Juanma
Juanma (C) Midfielder
6.27
19
Francis Ferrón
Francis Ferrón Attacker
6.46
33
Pirulo
Pirulo
Midfielder65'
23
Álvaro Cascajo
Álvaro Cascajo Attacker
6.5
9
Pablo Rodríguez
Pablo Rodríguez
Attacker46'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Connor Parsons
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
90'
85'
Event
Evan De Haro
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
83'
Event
Evan De Haro → Bakary Diédhiou
9th Substitution
Event
Colm Whelan → Douglas James-Taylor
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Sadou Diallo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
74'
70'
Event
Javier Moreno → Marco Rosa
7th Substitution
Event
Connor Parsons → Markuss Strods
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Dayle Rooney → Harry Vaughan
6th Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Pirulo → Francis Ferrón
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Romero → Bradley Banda
3rd Substitution
Event
Douglas James-Taylor
Penalty / 1st Penalty
60'
54'
Event
Geovanni Barba
1st Yellowcard
Event
Sadou Diallo → Senan Mullen
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Pablo Rodríguez → Álvaro Cascajo
2nd Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Connor Parsons scores, making it 2-0.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Update Update
Evan De Haro is on, and Bakary Essamay Diedhiou is off.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Colm Whelan is on, and Douglas James-Taylor is off.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sadou Diallo receives a yellow card.
70
Update Update
Pablo Rodriguez Moreno is on, and Marco Rosa is off.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Ruis Lopez Pirulo comes on for Francis.
65
Update Update
Connor Parsons is on, and Markuss Strods is off.
65
Update Update
Dayle Rooney replaces Harry Vaughan.
64
Update Update
On Gato Romero, off Bradley Banda.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Douglas James-Taylor scores, making it 1-0.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Pablo Rodriguez Moreno is on, and Alvaro Cascajo is off.
46
Update Update
Sadou Diallo is on, and Senan Mullen is off.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has started!

CONCLUSION

Bohemians established a useful advantage after a goalless first half by adding two second-half goals against St Josephs FC. Their superior possession and territorial control translated into a clean sheet and a 2-0 result that leaves them well positioned for the return leg. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain full complements and contest the match evenly until the later stages. Although a sizable performance deviation was observed the overall efficiency stayed consistent with expectations and the outcome matched market alignment. With the aggregate now favoring the home side the second leg will require St Josephs FC to chase an away goal while Bohemians can manage the tie from a position of strength.