Bohemians vs KF Ballkani preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Dalymount Park
Europa Conference League
BohemiansBOH
2 1
KF BallkaniBAL
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Ross Tierney - 89'
Goal
|
Goal
Toni Domgjoni - 29' (P)

CONTEXT

Bohemians hosted KF Ballkani in the first leg of their two-legged tie and produced a comeback victory to win 2-1. Trailing 0-1 at halftime after an early away goal the home side controlled 65 percent of possession yet needed a determined second-half response to overturn the deficit. They scored twice after the interval to secure the result and establish a narrow aggregate advantage heading into the return fixture. The stronger team demonstrated resilience by adjusting effectively without the complication of any dismissals on either side. This outcome leaves Bohemians in a favorable position while KF Ballkani must seek improvement in the second leg to progress.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Bohemians 2-1 KF Ballkani. Bohemians showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to missing values.
  • Market alignment: The result proved market aligned with the pre-match view.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined without available metrics.
  • Event impact: The second-half goals created the decisive event impact.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role with zero dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Semler
J. Semler
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Borucki
A. Borucki
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Kaplan
T. Kaplan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Simsek
I. Simsek
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bohemians A. Reynolds
A. Reynolds
VS
KF Ballkani M. Karoglan
M. Karoglan
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
St Josephs FC Rank: D
St Josephs FC Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Connah's Quay Rank: 51 W
Connah's Quay Rank: 51 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bohemians
60.14%
Draw
24.13%
Away KF Ballkani
15.73%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bohemians
-36.38%
Draw
+21.29%
KF Ballkani
+15.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
36.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bohemians
KF Ballkani
Power Score
36.67
36.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bohemians — Opponent-weighted form score
KF Ballkani — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bohemians KF Ballkani

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bohemians

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KF Ballkani

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bohemians ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KF Ballkani
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
3.08
2.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
2.86
3.08
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bohemians +0.02 Efficiency Index
vs
KF Ballkani -0.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bohemians
KF Ballkani
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bohemians ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KF Ballkani
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bohemians KF Ballkani
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bohemians KF Ballkani
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Bohemians
KF Ballkani
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bohemians
vs
KF Ballkani
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bohemians KF Ballkani
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bohemians —
KF Ballkani —
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bohemians KF Ballkani
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bohemians —
KF Ballkani —
Bohemians
KF Ballkani
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BAL had peak pressure around 20'.
  • BOH started the game with stronger pressure.
BOH Pressure BAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BAL reached the top pressure at 20' (47.45).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Dalymount Park
Capacity
4443
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jakob Semler
Alexander Borucki
Thomas Kaplan
Isa Simsek

Statistics

Possession
BOH
58%
BAL
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Shots 5
65 Possession 35
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
5 Substitutions 5
22 Throwins 16

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
7 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Jakob Semler

Starting XI ▼

25
Paul Walters
Paul Walters Goalkeeper
6.12
6
Jordan Flores
Jordan Flores Defender
6.26
12
Patrick Hickey
Patrick Hickey Defender
6.26
24
Cian Byrne
Cian Byrne
Defender77'
6.5
16
Darragh Power
Darragh Power Defender
6.26
22
Sam Todd
Sam Todd Defender
6.26
5
Sadou Diallo
Sadou Diallo Midfielder
6.37
11
Dayle Rooney
Dayle Rooney
Midfielder77'
6.5
10
Dawson Devoy
Dawson Devoy (C) Midfielder
6.48
17
Adam McDonnell
Adam McDonnell Midfielder
6.37
18
Douglas James-Taylor
Douglas James-Taylor
Attacker59'
7.23
26
Ross Tierney
Ross Tierney Midfielder
6.57
4
Niall Morahan
Niall Morahan
Defender90+3'
32
Markuss Strods
Markuss Strods Midfielder
6.37
8
Harry Vaughan
Harry Vaughan
Midfielder59'
6.5
9
Colm Whelan
Colm Whelan Attacker
6.46
Referee : Jakob Semler

Starting XI ▼

25
Adnan Golubovic
Adnan Golubovic Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Gentrit Halili
Gentrit Halili Defender
6.04
6
Diar Vokrri
Diar Vokrri Defender
6.04
12
Abou Dosso
Abou Dosso Defender
6.05
28
Ivica Batarelo
Ivica Batarelo Defender
6.05
5
Anel Sabanadzovic
Anel Sabanadzovic Midfielder
6.33
32
Bajram Jashanica
Bajram Jashanica
Defender84'
6.26
8
Toni Domgjoni
Toni Domgjoni Midfielder
6.41
22
Elvis Letaj
Elvis Letaj
Defender84'
6.26
10
Giovanni
Giovanni Midfielder
6.37
—
Giovanni
87'
14
Marsel Ismajlgeci
Marsel Ismajlgeci Midfielder
6.5
21
Ardit Deliu
Ardit Deliu
Midfielder59'
6.27
20
Edvin Kuc
Edvin Kuc (C) Midfielder
6.37
29
Albert Diène
Albert Diène
Midfielder84'
6.37
9
Valentin Serebe
Valentin Serebe Attacker
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Niall Morahan → Ross Tierney
10th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Ross Tierney
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
89'
87'
Event
Almedin Klinaku → Giovanni
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Albert Diène → Edvin Kuc
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Bajram Jashanica  → Anel Sabanadzovic
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Elvis Letaj → Toni Domgjoni
8th Substitution
Event
Cian Byrne → Patrick Hickey
4th Substitution
77'
Event
Dayle Rooney → Sadou Diallo
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Douglas James-Taylor
Field Goal / 1st Goal
76'
73'
Event
Gentrit Halili
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
61'
Event
Diar Vokrri
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Douglas James-Taylor → Adam McDonnell
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Harry Vaughan → Markuss Strods
3rd Substitution
59'
59'
Event
Ardit Deliu → Marsel Ismajlgeci
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Anel Sabanadzovic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
29'
Event
Toni Domgjoni
Penalty / 1st Penalty

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Niall Morahan comes on for Ross Tierney.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ross Tierney scores, making it 2-1.
87
Update Update
Almedin Klinaku comes on for Giovanni.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Update Update
Bajram Jashanica is on, and Anel Sabanadzovic is off.
84
Update Update
Bajram Jashanica is on, and Anel Sabanadzovic is off.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Dayle Rooney comes on for Sadou Diallo.
77
Update Update
Cian Byrne is on, and Patrick Hickey is off.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Douglas James-Taylor scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Dawson Devoy.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
60
Substitution Substitution
Harry Vaughan is substituted for Markuss Strods.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
59
Substitution Substitution
Harry Vaughan is substituted for Markuss Strods.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Toni Domgjoni scores, making it 0-1.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jakob Semler.

CONCLUSION

Bohemians turned around a halftime deficit through sustained pressure and clinical finishing to claim a 2-1 win that sets up an intriguing second leg. Their dominance in possession translated into meaningful territorial gains after the break allowing them to erase the early disadvantage. KF Ballkani will need sharper transitions and better defensive organization when hosting the return encounter. The absence of red cards ensured both teams could deploy full tactical options throughout the contest. Overall the performance underscored Bohemians ability to adapt and seize control when required leaving them with the upper hand in the tie.