Bodø / Glimt vs Union Saint-Gilloise preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Aspmyra Stadion Tue, 11 Aug - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Full Time: After Extra Time Tue, 11 Aug 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 6 - 5

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Bodø / Glimt 3–2 Union Saint-Gilloise. The result saw Bodø / Glimt take the points. Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Bodø / Glimt 3.9 – 2.9 Union Saint-Gilloise. Possession was 70%–30%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Bodø / Glimt 3-2 Union Saint-Gilloise. Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Kovacs
I. Kovacs
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Marica
M. Marica
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Tunyogi
F. Tunyogi
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Horatiu Fesnic
Horatiu Fesnic
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Union Saint-Gilloise D. Hubert
D. Hubert
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 88 D
Sporting CP Rank: 90 L
Sporting CP Rank: 90 W
Inter Rank: 93 W
Inter Rank: 93 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 86 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
55.02%
Draw
23.31%
Away Union Saint-Gilloise
21.67%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bodø / Glimt
+49.66%
Draw
-65.98%
Union Saint-Gilloise
+16.31%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.5
87.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Union Saint-Gilloise
Power Score
85.5
87.5
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
42
29

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Bodø / Glimt Opponent-weighted form score
Union Saint-Gilloise Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Union Saint-Gilloise

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Union Saint-Gilloise

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Union Saint-Gilloise
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.43
71.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
71.00
40.43
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt -2.59 Efficiency Index
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise +2.59 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Union Saint-Gilloise
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
13%
1%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.48 vs -0.02
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Union Saint-Gilloise
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
1%
13%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.02 vs -0.48
Bodø / Glimt
Union Saint-Gilloise
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Bodø / Glimt
vs
Union Saint-Gilloise
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Union Saint-Gilloise
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Bodø / Glimt
Union Saint-Gilloise
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 112'.
  • BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure USG Pressure
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 112' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
2 matches
Union Saint-Gilloise USG Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:00:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-5-2

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 6 - 5
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Istvan Kovacs
Mihai Marius Marica
Ferencz Tunyogi
Horatiu Fesnic

Statistics

Possession
BOD
65%
USG
35%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
5 Big Chances Created 5
8 Shots 10
106 Dangerous attacks 46
70 Possession 30
10 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

10 Goal Kicks 14
12 Substitutions 7
22 Throwins 23
1 Hit Woodwork 1
2 Assists 2
29 Dribble Attempts 14
13 Successful Dribbles 7
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

183 Attacks 98
3 Big Chances Missed 5

Possession

64 Long Passes 71
1002 Passes 428
890 Successful Passes 336
89 Successful Passes Percentage 79
15 Key Passes 12
28 Successful Long Passes 36
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 51

Defensive

3 Saves 5
29 Tackles 27
7 Interceptions 14
61 Duels Won 62

Build-up

34 Total Crosses 14
10 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

1 Offsides 4
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Istvan Kovacs

Starting XI

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
6.46
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
7.49
6
Jostein Gundersen
6.81
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami
Defender41'
6.98
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
6.42
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
6.4
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.62
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg (C) Midfielder
8.44
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
6.36
16
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano
Midfielder70'
6.65
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
7.12
14
Ulrik Saltnes
Ulrik Saltnes
Midfielder104'
6.85
10
Jens Petter Hauge
8.82
2
Villads Nielsen
Villads Nielsen
Defender120+1'
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
8.66
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen Attacker
6.21
9
Andreas Helmersen
7.52
Referee : Istvan Kovacs

Starting XI

1
Vic Chambaere
Vic Chambaere Goalkeeper
7.41
5
Kevin Mac Allister
6.47
29
Massiré Sylla
Massiré Sylla Defender
8.06
55
Nikki Havenaar
Nikki Havenaar Defender
6.76
6
Kamiel Van De Perre
Kamiel Van De Perre Midfielder
6.42
8
Adem Zorgane
Adem Zorgane Midfielder
6.5
17
Rob Schoofs
Rob Schoofs
Midfielder70'
6.67
11
Guilherme Smith
Guilherme Smith Midfielder
7.18
22
Ousseynou Niang
Ousseynou Niang
Midfielder120+1'
23
Besfort Zeneli
Besfort Zeneli Midfielder
6.31
38
Relebohile Mofokeng
6.63
27
Louis Patris
Louis Patris Midfielder
7.46
30
Raul Florucz
Raul Florucz
Attacker120+1'
12
Promise David
Promise David Attacker
5.83
7
Mohammed Fuseini
Mohammed Fuseini
Attacker61'
7.03
28
Darius Olaru
Darius Olaru Attacker
6.97
9
Mateo Biondic
Mateo Biondic
Attacker74'
6.81

Events

2ND-HALF
120+5'
Event
Argument / 1st Redcard
Event
Villads Nielsen Jens Petter Hauge
12th Substitution
120+1'
120+1'
Event
Raul Florucz Louis Patris
10th Substitution
120+1'
Event
Ousseynou Niang Guilherme Smith
11th Substitution
Event
Header / 5th Goal
117'
117'
Event
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Ulrik Saltnes Sondre Fet
9th Substitution
104'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä Fredrik Bjørkan
8th Substitution
103'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
92'
91'
Event
Relebohile Mofokeng Besfort Zeneli
7th Substitution
90+6'
Event
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
90+6'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
90+3'
Event
David Hubert
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
81'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
76'
74'
Event
Mateo Biondic Darius Olaru
6th Substitution
Event
Andreas Helmersen Ola Brynhildsen
3rd Substitution
70'
Event
Joshua Kitolano Sondre Auklend
4th Substitution
70'
70'
Event
Rob Schoofs Adem Zorgane
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
61'
Event
Mohammed Fuseini Promise David
2nd Substitution
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
51'
1ST-HALF
Event
Haitam Aleesami Jostein Gundersen
1st Substitution
41'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'

Match Commentary

120
Update Update
On comes Villads Nielsen, off goes Jens Petter Hauge.
120
Update Update
Ousseynou Niang replaces Guilherme Smith.
120
Update Update
Raul Alexander Florucz comes on for Louis Patris.
119
Update Update
Offside.
118
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kevin Mac Allister receives a yellow card.
117
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Andreas Klausen Helmersen takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
117
Attempt Attempt
Odin Luras Bjortuft takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
117
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andreas Klausen Helmersen scores, making it 3-2.
116
Attempt Attempt
Jens Petter Hauge takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
116
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andreas Klausen Helmersen scores, making it 3-2.
114
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
114
Attempt Attempt
Haitam Aleesami takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
114
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
113
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
113
Attempt Attempt
Odin Luras Bjortuft takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
112
Attempt Attempt
Rob Schoofs takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
107
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
106
Update Update
Offside.
104
Update Update
Ulrik Saltnes comes on for Sondre Brunstad Fet.
103
Update Update
Isak Dybvik Maatta replaces Fredrik Andre Bjorkan.
103
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
103
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded.
101
Attempt Attempt
Fredrik Sjovold takes a right-footed shot but misses.
100
Attempt Attempt
Jens Petter Hauge takes a right-footed shot but misses.
92
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Haitam Aleesami.
91
Update Update
Relebohile Mofokeng comes on for Besfort Zeneli.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Guilherme Smith receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card for Kamiel Van De Perre.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Fredrik Sjovold with his right foot is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Mohammed Fuseini takes a left-footed shot and scores.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohammed Fuseini scores to make it 2-2.
87
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Biondic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
84
Attempt Attempt
Mateo Biondic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Kamiel Van De Perre.
80
Attempt Attempt
Mohammed Fuseini takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Brunstad Fet takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jens Petter Hauge scores with a left-footed shot.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jens Petter Hauge scores with a left-footed shot.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jens Petter Hauge scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Andreas Klausen Helmersen.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohammed Fuseini with his left foot, but it misses the target.
70
Substitution Substitution
Rob Schoofs is substituted off for Adem Zorgane.
70
Update Update
Andreas Klausen Helmersen is on, and Ola Brynhildsen is off.
70
Update Update
Andreas Klausen Helmersen comes on for Ola Brynhildsen.
69
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano is on, and Sondre Auklend is off.
66
Update Update
Offside.
66
Attempt Attempt
Jens Petter Hauge takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
66
Update Update
Offside.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Guilherme Smith scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Darius Dumitru Olaru.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Guilherme Smith scores, making it 1-1.
61
Update Update
On comes Mohammed Fuseini, off goes Promise David.
57
Attempt Attempt
Promise David takes a shot, but it misses the target.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Auklend's right-footed shot is blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Promise David takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Louis Patris takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Ole Didrik Blomberg with his right foot results in a goal.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ole Didrik Blomberg scores to make it 1-0.
45
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
45
Attempt Attempt
Darius Dumitru Olaru takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Smith takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Darius Dumitru Olaru takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Update Update
Haitam Aleesami comes on for Jostein Gundersen.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Attempt Attempt
Promise David takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Jens Petter Hauge attempts a header but misses the shot.
25
Attempt Attempt
Promise David takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Update Update
Offside.
17
Update Update
Offside.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Sondre Auklend.
12
Attempt Attempt
Ola Brynhildsen takes a shot with his head, but it hits the post.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Update Update
Offside.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Istvan Kovacs.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Bodø / Glimt 3-2 Union Saint-Gilloise. Structural assessment: Bodø / Glimt exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.