Bodø / Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Aspmyra Stadion
Champions League
Bodø / GlimtBOD
3 0
NEC NijmegenNEC
Full Time
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 6 - 1
Sondre Auklend - 45+5'
Deveron Fonville - 73' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
|
Red Card Gonzalo Crettaz 3'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Bodø / Glimt 3–0 NEC Nijmegen. The result saw Bodø / Glimt take the points. Bodø / Glimt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Bodø / Glimt 2.4 – 0.2 NEC Nijmegen. Possession was 80%–20%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The 37 percent deviation was recorded for Bodø / Glimt in this fixture.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with the overall performance metrics observed.
  • xG alignment: The outcome proved consistent with the xG values of 2.43 to 0.2.
  • Market alignment: The result showed true alignment with the pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Bodø / Glimt exceeded the minimal xG output from NEC Nijmegen.
  • Event impact: The second half red card distortion altered the flow after the 2-0 halftime score.
  • Red card distortion: The away team's red card created measurable second half adjustments.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Oliver
M. Oliver
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Burt
S. Burt
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Mainwaring
J. Mainwaring
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Madley
A. Madley
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
NEC Nijmegen Rank: 76 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 87 W
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: 88 D
Sporting CP Rank: 89 L
Sporting CP Rank: 89 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 85 L
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 83 W
Olympiacos F.C. Rank: 84 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
63.02%
Draw
19.19%
Away NEC Nijmegen
17.79%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bodø / Glimt
-33.44%
Draw
+16.84%
NEC Nijmegen
+16.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
85.19
74.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
85.19
74.41
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
39
147

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt NEC Nijmegen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

NEC Nijmegen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NEC Nijmegen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.63
20.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.25
33.63
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt +0.53 Efficiency Index
vs
NEC Nijmegen -0.53 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
31%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.08 vs -0.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
31%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.06 vs -0.08
Bodø / Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bodø / Glimt
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt NEC Nijmegen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bodø / Glimt 0.18
NEC Nijmegen 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt NEC Nijmegen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bodø / Glimt 0.00
NEC Nijmegen 0.03
Bodø / Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 74'.
  • BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure NEC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 74' (95.83).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
1 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
1.65
xG
2.26
2.26
xGA
1.65

Data last updated: 2026-08-26T00:07:50+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 6 - 1
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Oliver
Stuart Burt
James Mainwaring
Andy Madley

Statistics

Possession
BOD
73%
NEC
27%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
7 Big Chances Created 1
9 Shots 1
118 Dangerous attacks 21
80 Possession 20
4 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

76 Ball Safe 78
6 Goal Kicks 15
19 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 16
2 Assists 0
0 Injuries 1
14 Dribble Attempts 22
7 Successful Dribbles 10
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

153 Attacks 66
5 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

32 Long Passes 57
777 Passes 188
705 Successful Passes 116
91 Successful Passes Percentage 62
19 Key Passes 3
17 Successful Long Passes 19
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

Defensive

2 Saves 7
20 Tackles 16
8 Interceptions 8
46 Duels Won 46

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 11
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
7.03
2
Villads Nielsen
Villads Nielsen Defender
7.8
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Defender
7.75
14
Ulrik Saltnes
Ulrik Saltnes
Midfielder80'
6.58
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
7.71
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Defender74'
7.16
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.66
32
Kasper Solhaug
Kasper Solhaug
Midfielder80'
6.6
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg (C) Midfielder
7.31
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
8.11
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
7.48
16
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano
Midfielder80'
6.71
9
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen Attacker
6.91
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen
Attacker80'
6.49
10
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge Attacker
7.64
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
6.87
Referee : Michael Oliver

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
4.22
2
Brayann Pereira
Brayann Pereira Defender
6.37
21
Tobias Storm
Tobias Storm Defender
6.09
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
6.9
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Midfielder
6.31
17
Bram Nuytinck
Bram Nuytinck
Defender46'
6.62
10
Dusan Tadic
Dusan Tadic Midfielder
6.04
8
Isak Hansen-Aarøen
Isak Hansen-Aarøen
Midfielder62'
6.55
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton Midfielder
6.5
99
Clement Bischoff
Clement Bischoff Midfielder
6.02
9
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery (C) Attacker
6.3
66
Almugera Kabar
Almugera Kabar
Defender46'
6.21
14
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis Attacker
6.5
12
Nikolas Polster
Nikolas Polster
Goalkeeper5'
7.59
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
6.63
11
Willum Thór Willumsson
Willum Thór Willumsson
Midfielder62'
6.42

Events

2ND-HALF
83'
Event
Brayann Pereira
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ola Brynhildsen → Andreas Helmersen
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Joshua Kitolano → Sondre Fet
8th Substitution
80'
Event
Ulrik Saltnes → Odin Luras Bjortuft
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Kasper Solhaug → Fredrik Sjøvold
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä → Fredrik Bjørkan
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Deveron Fonville
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
73'
62'
Event
Isak Hansen-Aarøen → Dusan Tadic
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Willum Thór Willumsson → Bryan Linssen
5th Substitution
46'
Event
Almugera Kabar → Tjaronn Chery 
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Bram Nuytinck  → Darko Nejasmic
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Sondre Auklend
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+5'
Event
Fredrik Bjørkan
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
45+2'
15'
Event
Noé Lebreton
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
5'
Event
Nikolas Polster → Kaj Sierhuis
1st Substitution
3'
Event
Gonzalo Crettaz
Professional handball / 1st Redcard

Match Commentary

87
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Auklend attempts a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Auklend takes a left-footed shot but misses.
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Jens Petter Hauge with his left foot, but it misses the target.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Brayann Pereira receives a yellow card.
80
Substitution Substitution
Ulrik Saltnes is substituted for Odin Luras Bjortuft.
80
Update Update
Ola Brynhildsen comes on for Andreas Klausen Helmersen.
80
Update Update
Joshua Kitolano comes on for Sondre Brunstad Fet.
80
Update Update
On Jens Petter Hauge, Off Fredrik Sjovold.
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ole Didrik Blomberg with his left foot misses the target.
74
Update Update
Isak Dybvik Maatta comes on for Fredrik Andre Bjorkan.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Deveron Fonville results in an own goal.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Deveron Fonville makes it 3-0.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
71
Attempt Attempt
Willum Thor Willumsson attempts a header but misses the shot.
68
Update Update
Offside.
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ole Didrik Blomberg is saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Odin Luras Bjortuft attempts a header but misses the shot.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Klausen Helmersen takes a header shot but misses.
62
Update Update
Isak Hansen-Aaroen replaces Dusan Tadic.
62
Update Update
Offside.
62
Substitution Substitution
Willum Thor Willumsson is substituted for Bryan Linssen.
61
Attempt Attempt
Jens Petter Hauge takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
61
Update Update
Offside.
60
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Linssen takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Fredrik Sjovold takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Bryan Linssen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Bram Nuytinck comes on for Darko Nejasmic.
46
Update Update
Almugera Kabar comes on for Tjaronn Chery.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Sondre Auklend scores with a right-footed shot.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sondre Auklend scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Jens Petter Hauge.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Fredrik Andre Bjorkan with his left foot results in a goal.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fredrik Andre Bjorkan scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Sondre Auklend.
45
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Auklend's right-footed shot is saved.
37
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Attempt Attempt
Odin Luras Bjortuft takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Klausen Helmersen takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Odin Luras Bjortuft attempts a header but misses the shot.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Update Update
Offside.
19
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Noe Lebreton.
12
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ole Didrik Blomberg with his right foot is blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Klausen Helmersen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Sondre Auklend takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Berg takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
5
Update Update
Nikolas Polster comes on for Kaj Sierhuis.
3
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz.
2
Attempt Attempt
Andreas Klausen Helmersen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Michael Oliver.

CONCLUSION

The match demonstrated clear dominance by Bodø / Glimt through sustained possession and efficient chance creation that matched their 2.43 xG total. NEC Nijmegen struggled with limited opportunities and the impact of their red card reduced their ability to respond after the interval. The 3-0 scoreline reflected the expected outcome given the aggregate position and the stronger team's control throughout both halves. Structural elements including the halftime lead of 2-0 set the foundation for the final result without deviation from the data patterns. Overall the performance metrics confirmed consistency across possession efficiency and expected goal differentials leading to a straightforward conclusion for the tie.