Bodø / Glimt vs Lillestrøm preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Fri, 31 Jul - 7:00 PM
Eliteserien
Full Time Fri, 31 Jul 7:00 PM
Round 16 Regular Season
Sondre Fet - 25'
Markus Karlsbakk - 77' (Own Goal)
Goal
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CONTEXT

Bodø / Glimt delivered a commanding performance to defeat Lillestrøm 4-0 in the match. The home team established control early and led 2-0 at halftime before adding two more goals after the break. They held 58 percent possession while generating an expected goals total of 2.52 against Lillestrøm's 0.67. The visitors struggled to create meaningful chances throughout the contest. No red cards were issued to players from either side, keeping the game free of major disciplinary interruptions. The stronger team maintained their edge from start to finish and converted opportunities into a clear result. This outcome reflected the difference in quality and execution on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt showed a significant structural deviation of 100 percent against Lillestrøm.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's expected output.
  • xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with xG as the home side outperformed the visitors.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved market aligned with pre-match indicators for the home team.
  • xG expectations: Bodø / Glimt met xG expectations with 2.52 compared to Lillestrøm's 0.67.
  • Event impact: Key events drove the 4-0 scoreline and reinforced home dominance throughout.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no red card distortion influenced the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Aslam
M. Aslam
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Olav Dale
A. Olav Dale
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Jaeger
A. Jaeger
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Berg
M. Berg
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.79
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 61 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Rosenborg Rank: 68 D
Brann Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 80 L
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 65 L
Kristiansund Rank: 59 L
Sandefjord Rank: 65 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
86.14
51.6
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Lillestrøm
Power Score
86.14
51.6
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
43
550

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Bodø / Glimt Opponent-weighted form score
Lillestrøm Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Lillestrøm

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Bodø / Glimt

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Bodø / Glimt ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lillestrøm
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.10
18.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
18.69
28.10
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Bodø / Glimt +0.91 Efficiency Index
vs
Lillestrøm -0.91 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Lillestrøm
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bodø / Glimt
vs
Lillestrøm
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt Lillestrøm
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
39%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.03 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Lillestrøm
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
39%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs +0.03
Bodø / Glimt
Lillestrøm
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Bodø / Glimt
vs
Lillestrøm
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt Lillestrøm
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt Lillestrøm
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Bodø / Glimt
Lillestrøm
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOD had peak pressure around 69'.
  • BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure LILL Pressure
Pressure Index: BOD reached the top pressure at 69' (91.31).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
3 matches
Lillestrøm LILL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
12
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-01T00:02:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 31, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 16 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mohammad Usman Aslam
Anders Olav Dale
Aleksander Jaeger
Martin Berg

Statistics

Possession
BOD
57%
LILL
43%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 4
86 Dangerous attacks 37
58 Possession 42
10 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

62 Ball Safe 61
1 Penalties 0
4 Goal Kicks 2
9 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 4
20 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 0
15 Dribble Attempts 8
8 Successful Dribbles 5
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63

Attacking

98 Attacks 92
5 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

47 Long Passes 49
613 Passes 452
546 Successful Passes 378
89 Successful Passes Percentage 84
9 Key Passes 3
24 Successful Long Passes 22
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

Defensive

2 Saves 4
11 Tackles 12
7 Interceptions 9
42 Duels Won 36

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 6
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
6.77
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
7.12
5
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami Defender
6.85
15
Fredrik Bjørkan
Fredrik Bjørkan Defender
6.7
23
Magnus Riisnaes
Magnus Riisnaes
Midfielder84'
6.73
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Defender
7.86
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
6.9
16
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano
Midfielder67'
6.75
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Midfielder
7.63
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Midfielder
8.25
10
Jens Petter Hauge
7.4
21
Andreas Helmersen
6.66
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
7.46
77
Mikkel Bro Hansen
6.59
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen Attacker
6.71
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
6.5
Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
6.21
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger Defender
6.47
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær Defender
6
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen
Defender84'
6.52
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
6.25
47
Stian Kristiansen
6.15
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Midfielder
6.21
18
Kevin Krygård
Kevin Krygård Midfielder
6.33
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen
Midfielder78'
6.37
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Midfielder
6.23
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil Midfielder
6.16
7
Linus Alperud
Linus Alperud
Midfielder67'
6.68
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj Midfielder
6.12
77
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
6.5
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
6.56
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk
Midfielder67'
6.34

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Magnus Riisnaes Fredrik Bjørkan
10th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Sturla Ottesen Frederik Elkær
9th Substitution
Event
Mikkel Bro Hansen  Ole Didrik Blomberg
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Isak Dybvik Määttä Ola Brynhildsen
8th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Harald Woxen Kevin Krygård
6th Substitution
Event
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
77'
70'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Andreas Helmersen Jens Petter Hauge
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Joshua Kitolano Patrick Berg
5th Substitution
67'
67'
Event
Linus Alperud Yaw Paintsil
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Fredrik Gulbrandsen Y. Ibrahimaj
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Markus Karlsbakk Thomas Lehne Olsen
4th Substitution
Event
Header / 2nd Goal
63'
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
25'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
17'
Event
Penalty awarded
15'

CONCLUSION

Bodø / Glimt's 4-0 win over Lillestrøm underscored their superiority from the opening whistle through to the final whistle. Leading 2-0 at the interval allowed them to manage the game comfortably while adding further goals in the second period. Their possession advantage and higher xG total translated directly into the scoreline without any disciplinary issues altering the contest. The visitors failed to register a meaningful response despite efforts to close the gap. Overall the performance highlighted consistent execution and control that defined the afternoon. This result positions the home side strongly for upcoming fixtures while leaving Lillestrøm with clear areas to address before their next outing.