Bodø / Glimt vs Lillestrøm preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion Today - 7:00 PM
Eliteserien
Bodø / Glimt BOD
Lillestrøm LILL
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Round 16 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Bodø / Glimt host Lillestrøm in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Aspmyra Stadion. Domestically, Bodø / Glimt sit 1th in the table while Lillestrøm are 4th. Power ranking favours Bodø / Glimt by 34.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Bodø / Glimt hold a +34.6 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Bodø / Glimt sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Bodø / Glimt show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Bodø / Glimt have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Bodø / Glimt carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Bodø / Glimt hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Projection split: Bodø / Glimt 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Lillestrøm 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Bodø / Glimt K. Knutsen
K. Knutsen
VS
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.79
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 61 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 W
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Rosenborg Rank: 66 D
Brann Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking Rank: 80 L
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 61 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 L
Sandefjord Rank: 63 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bodø / Glimt
0%
Draw
0%
Away Lillestrøm
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
84.91
50.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Lillestrøm
Power Score
84.91
50.33
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
45
541

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bodø / Glimt — Opponent-weighted form score
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bodø / Glimt Lillestrøm

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Bodø / Glimt BOD Home
3 matches
Lillestrøm LILL Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
3
Goals
12
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
12
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:13:08+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
N. Haikin
12 N. Haikin
F. Sjøvold
20 F. Sjøvold
O. Bjørtuft
4 O. Bjørtuft
J. Maurstad Gundersen
6 J. Maurstad Gundersen
I. Määttä
25 I. Määttä
S. Auklend
8 S. Auklend
P. Berg
7 P. Berg
S. Brunstad Fet
19 S. Brunstad Fet
O. Blomberg
11 O. Blomberg
A. Helmersen
21 A. Helmersen
O. Brynhildsen
17 O. Brynhildsen
P. Dahlberg
12 P. Dahlberg
F. Elkær
11 F. Elkær
E. Garnås
4 E. Garnås
L. Gabrielsen
28 L. Gabrielsen
L. Ranger
2 L. Ranger
M. Karlsbakk
8 M. Karlsbakk
G. Kjølstad Nyheim
14 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
Y. Ibrahimaj
29 Y. Ibrahimaj
V. António Félix
20 V. António Félix
T. Lehne Olsen
10 T. Lehne Olsen
Y. Paintsil
26 Y. Paintsil

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 31, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 16 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mohammad Usman Aslam

Expected Lineup

Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

12
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin Goalkeeper
6.87
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg Attacker
7.28
17
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen Attacker
6.92
21
Andreas Helmersen
Andreas Helmersen Centre Forward
7.04
4
Odin Luras Bjortuft
Odin Luras Bjortuft Right Back
7.25
6
Jostein Gundersen
Jostein Gundersen Left Back
7.06
7
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Central Midfield
7.55
8
Sondre Auklend
Sondre Auklend Central Midfield
7
19
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet Central Midfield
7.09
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold Right Back
7.39
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
Isak Dybvik Määttä Left Back
6.83
Referee : Mohammad Usman Aslam

Starting XI ▼

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
7.07
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen Centre Forward
6.98
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Attacker
7.13
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil Attacker
6.79
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger Right Back
7.13
4
Espen Garnås
Espen Garnås Left Back
5.91
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Central Midfield
6.96
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær Left Back
6.75
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Central Midfield
7.1
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen Right Back
6.98
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj Central Midfield
7.04

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Bodø / Glimt holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Bodø / Glimt a 34.6-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.