Bodø / Glimt vs Fredrikstad preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aspmyra Stadion
Fri, 17 Jul - 5:15 PM
Round 14 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Bodø / Glimt hosted Fredrikstad and secured a 1-0 victory with the only goal arriving before halftime to establish a 1-0 lead. The home side controlled 66 percent possession while limiting the visitors to 34 percent. Expected goals heavily favored Bodø / Glimt at 3.04 against 0.29 for Fredrikstad producing an xG differential of 2.75. No red cards were shown to either team and the stronger side claimed the win. The outcome proved consistent with underlying metrics and showed significant deviation for the home team. Efficiency remained in line with performance levels across both halves. The result aligned with market expectations without any second half adjustments altering the scoreline.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Bodø / Glimt recorded a significant 100 percent deviation in the match.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team performances.
-
xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the xG values recorded.
-
Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations for the stronger team.
-
xG expectations: Bodø / Glimt created 3.04 xG while Fredrikstad managed 0.29.
-
Event impact: The first half goal proved decisive in the 1-0 scoreline.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to distort match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Hagenes
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
?. Simon Ytterland
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
C. Jørgensen
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
G. Havig
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
K. Knutsen
VS
C. Røjkjaer
2.17
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.17
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM
Rank: 59
W
Rosenborg
Rank: 63
D
Brann
Rank: 69
W
Start
Rank: 52
W
Tromsø
Rank: 70
W
Molde
Rank: 67
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm
Rank: 58
L
Start
Rank: 52
W
Sandefjord
Rank: 62
D
HamKam
Rank: 62
W
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 63
L
Brann
Rank: 69
L
3
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 1 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.52
61.31
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
Power Score
83.52
61.31
League Position
1
11
Global Rank
49
499
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Bodø / Glimt
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Fredrikstad
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Bodø / Glimt Fredrikstad
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Bodø / Glimt
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Fredrikstad
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Bodø / Glimt
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Fredrikstad
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.42
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
7.94
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Bodø / Glimt
+2.86
Efficiency Index
vs
Fredrikstad
-2.86
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Fredrikstad
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
35%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.07
vs
+0.00
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00
vs
-0.07
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Bodø / Glimt
vs
Fredrikstad
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Bodø / Glimt
0.17
Fredrikstad
0.14
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Bodø / Glimt
0.00
Fredrikstad
0.01
Bodø / Glimt
Fredrikstad
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BOD had peak pressure around 61'.
- BOD started the game with stronger pressure.
BOD Pressure
FFK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
BOD reached the top pressure at 61' (100.00).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Bodø / Glimt
BOD
Home
4
matches
Fredrikstad
FFK
Away
Match Record
3
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
3
Goals
10
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
10
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-18T00:01:14+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
3-4-3
77 M. Børsheim
4 F. Holmé
5 (C) S. Rafn
Leonard Owusu
58'
24 L. Owusu
14 M. Nilsson
16 D. Eid
23 H. Skogvold
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 17, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 14 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aspmyra Stadion
Capacity
8270
Attendance
7442
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kristoffer Hagenes
Øystein Simon Ytterland
Christer Solheim Jørgensen
Gustav Havig
Next Match
Bodø / Glimt
vs
HamKam
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Wed, 22 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Aspmyra Stadion
Fredrikstad
vs
Rosenborg
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Mon, 27 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Lerkendal Stadion
Statistics
Possession
BOD
65%
FFK
35%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
0
1
Big Chances Created
0
3
Shots
2
114
Dangerous attacks
14
66
Possession
34
12
Corners
0
13
Free kicks
7
1
Yellow Cards
4
Match Overview
82
Ball Safe
67
1
Penalties
0
3
Goal Kicks
12
8
Goal Attempts
2
5
Substitutions
6
22
Throwins
6
0
Injuries
2
19
Dribble Attempts
14
8
Successful Dribbles
5
42
Successful Dribbles Percentage
36
Attacking
181
Attacks
60
3
Counter Attacks
1
Possession
55
Long Passes
44
762
Passes
396
681
Successful Passes
328
89
Successful Passes Percentage
83
14
Key Passes
1
30
Successful Long Passes
21
55
Successful Long Passes Percentage
48
Defensive
0
Saves
4
18
Tackles
16
9
Interceptions
12
45
Duels Won
37
Build-up
25
Total Crosses
3
6
Accurate Crosses
1
Discipline
1
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
14
Lineup
Referee :
Kristoffer Hagenes
Manager ▼
K. Knutsen
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Julian Faye Lund
Goalkeeper
5
Haitam Aleesami
Defender
26
Håkon Evjen
Midfielder
77
Mikkel Bro Hansen
Attacker
Referee :
Kristoffer Hagenes
Manager ▼
C. Røjkjaer
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Öystein Övretveit
Goalkeeper
2
Kenneth Ikechukwu
Defender
18
Jonathan Norbye
Defender
37
Oscar Skari Hansen
Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
10th Substitution
90+2'
88'
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
86'
9th Substitution
8th Substitution
83'
Penalty disallowed
82'
80'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
75'
6th Substitution
75'
7th Substitution
3rd Substitution
69'
4th Substitution
69'
5th Substitution
69'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
59'
58'
Oscar Skari Hansen → Leonard Owusu
2nd Substitution
50'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
45+3'
Penalty awarded
45+1'
44'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Bodø / Glimt claimed a 1-0 win over Fredrikstad after leading 1-0 at halftime. Their dominance in possession and chance creation stood out with 3.04 xG compared to 0.29. The visitors offered little attacking threat throughout the contest. Absence of red cards ensured the game followed expected patterns without added complications. The stronger team delivered a result aligned with both xG and market indicators. Efficiency levels stayed consistent from start to finish. This narrow victory highlighted clear gaps in quality and opportunity between the sides while confirming the halftime score as the final outcome.
