Belgrano vs Rosario Central preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Julio César Villagra Thu, 23 Jul - 10:30 PM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
BelgranoBEL
2 1
Rosario CentralROS
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 10:30 PM
Round 1 2nd Phase
Goal
|
Goal
Julián Fernández - 77'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Belgrano 2–1 Rosario Central. The result saw Belgrano take the points. Belgrano showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Belgrano 1.8 – 1.2 Rosario Central. Possession was 47%–53%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Belgrano 2-1 Rosario Central. Belgrano showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Zunino
S. Zunino
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
C. Navarro
C. Navarro
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Méndez
L. Méndez
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Córdoba
C. Córdoba
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Belgrano R. Zielinski
R. Zielinski
VS
Rosario Central J. Almirón Quintana
J. Almirón Quintana
1.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.79
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
River Plate Rank: 70 W
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 70 D
Unión Santa Fe Rank: 62 W
Talleres Córdoba Rank: 62 W
Sarmiento Rank: 57 W
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
River Plate Rank: 70 L
Racing Club Rank: 69 W
Independiente Rank: 67 W
Tigre Rank: 65 D
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Rank: 54 W
Sarmiento Rank: 57 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.44
68.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Belgrano
Rosario Central
Power Score
67.44
68.47
League Position
6
13
Global Rank
316
284

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Belgrano — Opponent-weighted form score
Rosario Central — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Belgrano Rosario Central

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Belgrano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rosario Central

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Belgrano ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rosario Central
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.22
17.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
17.64
29.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Belgrano +0.99 Efficiency Index
vs
Rosario Central -0.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Belgrano
Rosario Central
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Belgrano
vs
Rosario Central
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Belgrano Rosario Central
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
2%
36%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.03 vs -0.45
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Belgrano Rosario Central
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
36%
2%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.45 vs -0.03
Belgrano
Rosario Central
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Belgrano
vs
Rosario Central
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Belgrano Rosario Central
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Belgrano 0.26
Rosario Central 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Belgrano Rosario Central
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Belgrano 0.00
Rosario Central 0.02
Belgrano
Rosario Central
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BEL had peak pressure around 23'.
  • BEL started the game with stronger pressure.
BEL Pressure ROS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BEL reached the top pressure at 23' (75.13).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Belgrano BEL Home
2 matches
Rosario Central ROS Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:09:45+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 10:30 PM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 1 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Julio César Villagra
Capacity
18000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sebastían Zunino
Cristian Navarro
Lucio Méndez
Carlos Córdoba

Statistics

Possession
BEL
50%
ROS
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 6
51 Dangerous attacks 40
47 Possession 53
6 Corners 6
13 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 5
4 Substitutions 2
11 Throwins 23
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 0
20 Dribble Attempts 9
10 Successful Dribbles 7
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 78

Attacking

112 Attacks 65
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

43 Long Passes 46
386 Passes 429
323 Successful Passes 366
84 Successful Passes Percentage 85
12 Key Passes 7
24 Successful Long Passes 19
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

2 Saves 3
15 Tackles 11
9 Interceptions 6

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 19
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
7 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Sebastían Zunino

Starting XI ▼

23
Manuel Vicentini
Manuel Vicentini Goalkeeper
7.1
2
Alexis Maldonado
Alexis Maldonado Defender
6.66
3
Adrián Spörle
Adrián Spörle Defender
6.4
14
Leonardo Morales
Leonardo Morales Defender
6.92
17
Lisandro López
Lisandro López Defender
6.87
10
Lucas Zelarayán
Lucas Zelarayán (C) Midfielder
7.22
8
Ramiro Hernandes
Ramiro Hernandes
Midfielder81'
20
Franco Vázquez
Franco Vázquez Midfielder
7.64
21
Adrián Sánchez
Adrián Sánchez Midfielder
7.05
24
Emiliano Rigoni
Emiliano Rigoni Midfielder
6.89
11
Francisco González Metilli
Francisco González Metilli
Midfielder80'
53
Juan Velázquez
Juan Velázquez Midfielder
6.82
5
Santiago Longo
Santiago Longo
Midfielder68'
6.42
22
Nicolás Fernández
Nicolás Fernández Attacker
7.48
9
Lucas Passerini
Lucas Passerini
Attacker60'
6.38
Referee : Sebastían Zunino

Starting XI ▼

23
Conan Ledesma
Conan Ledesma Goalkeeper
6.76
3
Agustín Sández
Agustín Sández Defender
6.25
13
Gastón Ávila
Gastón Ávila Defender
7.01
15
Facundo Mallo
Facundo Mallo Defender
6.63
32
Emanuel Coronel
Emanuel Coronel Defender
6.52
5
Franco Ibarra
Franco Ibarra Midfielder
6.66
8
Jáminton Campaz
Jáminton Campaz Midfielder
6.79
11
Ángel Di María
Ángel Di María (C) Midfielder
6.75
42
Elías Verón
Elías Verón
Defender87'
18
Julián Fernández
Julián Fernández Midfielder
6.62
20
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy
Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy Midfielder
6.86
31
Federico Navarro
Federico Navarro
Midfielder72'
16
Tomás Badaloni
Tomás Badaloni Attacker
6.2

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Elías Verón
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Francisco González Metilli
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
88'
87'
Event
Elías Verón → Ángel Di María
6th Substitution
Event
Ramiro Hernandes → Lucas Zelarayán 
5th Substitution
81'
Event
Francisco González Metilli → Emiliano Rigoni
4th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Julián Fernández
Goal awarded
77'
Event
Julián Fernández
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
72'
Event
Federico Navarro → Vicente Tomás Pizarro Durcudoy
3rd Substitution
Event
Santiago Longo → Juan Velázquez 
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Lucas Passerini  → Nicolás Fernández
1st Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
Event
Nicolás Fernández
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
36'
28'
Event
Facundo Mallo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elias Veron receives a yellow card.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Francisco Gonzalez Metilli scores with a left-footed shot.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Francisco Gonzalez Metilli scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Ramiro Hernandes.
87
Update Update
Elias Veron replaces Angel Fabian Di Maria.
87
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Passerini takes a left-footed shot but misses.
85
Update Update
Offside.
81
Update Update
Ramiro Hernandes comes on for Lucas Zelarrayan.
80
Update Update
Francisco Gonzalez Metilli comes on for Emiliano Rigoni.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision confirms the goal for Julian Fernandez.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
77
Attempt Attempt
Jaminton Campaz takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Passerini's header is saved.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Attempt Attempt
Angel Fabian Di Maria takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Zelarrayan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Federico Navarro comes on for Vicente Pizarro.
68
Attempt Attempt
Emanuel Coronel takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
68
Update Update
Santiago Longo replaces Juan Velazquez.
60
Update Update
Lucas Passerini is on, and Nicolas Fernandez Miranda is off.
56
Update Update
Offside.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Attempt Attempt
Gaston Avila takes a header shot but misses.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Fernandez Miranda takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
47
Attempt Attempt
Jaminton Campaz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Emiliano Rigoni takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Guillermo Sanchez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nicolas Fernandez Miranda takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nicolas Fernandez Miranda takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nicolas Fernandez Miranda scores, making it 1-0.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Zelarrayan takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
29
Update Update
Offside.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Facundo Mallo Blanco.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Update Update
Offside.
24
Attempt Attempt
Jaminton Campaz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
21
Attempt Attempt
Franco Vazquez takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Zelarrayan takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Fernandez Miranda takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Oscar Badaloni takes a left-footed shot but misses.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Fernandez Miranda takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Zunino Sebastían.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Belgrano 2-1 Rosario Central. Structural assessment: Belgrano exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.