BATE vs Sion preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu Thu, 23 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
BATEBAT
1 – 1
SionSIO
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

BATE and Sion played out a 1-1 draw in the first leg of their knockout tie. The score was level at halftime after both sides scored once in the opening period. Sion controlled the majority of possession at 66 percent while BATE held 34 percent. Despite creating far more expected goal opportunities with 1.72 compared to the home side's 0.44, Sion could not secure a victory on the road. The stronger team experienced a moderate deviation from anticipated outcomes. No dismissals occurred to alter the balance of play. The even result leaves the aggregate position open ahead of the second leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sion recorded a moderate 10.7 percent deviation in this encounter.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency stayed in line with pre-match projections throughout.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 draw outcome was inconsistent with the xG differential.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Sion held clear xG superiority at 1.72 against BATE's 0.44.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 draw in leg one keeps the tie evenly poised overall.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown so no team faced numerical imbalance.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Savović
M. Savović
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Radulović
N. Radulović
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Radenović
V. Radenović
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Vujisić
D. Vujisić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
BATE V. Rogozhkin
V. Rogozhkin
VS
Sion D. Tholot
D. Tholot
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
AF Elbasani Rank: 46 D
AF Elbasani Rank: 45 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home BATE
3.57%
Draw
89.29%
Away Sion
7.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
37.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
BATE
Sion
Power Score
23.33
37.64
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
BATE — Opponent-weighted form score
Sion — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) BATE Sion

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

BATE

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

BATE ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sion
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.00
40.23
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.23
30.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
BATE -0.98 Efficiency Index
vs
Sion +0.98 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
BATE
Sion
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

BATE
vs
Sion
Created Set-piece attacking threat
BATE Sion
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
30%
21%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.13 vs -0.36
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
BATE Sion
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
21%
30%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.36 vs -0.13
BATE
Sion
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
BATE
vs
Sion
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
BATE Sion
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
BATE 0.38
Sion 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
BATE Sion
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
BATE 0.01
Sion 0.04
BATE
Sion
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SIO had peak pressure around 57'.
  • SIO started the game with stronger pressure.
BAT Pressure SIO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SIO reached the top pressure at 57' (92.59).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu
Capacity
10047
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Miloš Savović
Nikola Radulović
Vladislav Radenović
Dalibor Vujisić

Statistics

Possession
BAT
37%
SIO
63%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 8
24 Dangerous attacks 71
34 Possession 66
1 Corners 8
10 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

87 Ball Safe 67
15 Goal Kicks 4
6 Goal Attempts 15
5 Substitutions 4
14 Throwins 31
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0
10 Dribble Attempts 14
4 Successful Dribbles 8
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57

Attacking

61 Attacks 143
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

58 Long Passes 43
326 Passes 598
254 Successful Passes 536
78 Successful Passes Percentage 90
28 Successful Long Passes 32
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 74

Defensive

7 Saves 1
12 Tackles 15
8 Interceptions 1

Build-up

4 Total Crosses 39
1 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Miloš Savović

Starting XI ▼

16
Danila Sokol
Danila Sokol Goalkeeper
7.93
5
Maksim Sakuta
Maksim Sakuta Defender
6.86
17
Yuriy Kovalev
Yuriy Kovalev Defender
6.61
23
Nikolay Bochko
Nikolay Bochko
Defender65'
6.64
25
Nikita Neskoromnyi
Nikita Neskoromnyi Defender
6.72
28
Ivan Mikhnyuk
Ivan Mikhnyuk Defender
6.45
33
Artem Rakhmanov (C) Defender
10
Egor Rusakov
Egor Rusakov Midfielder
6.78
7
Victorien Angban
Victorien Angban
Midfielder46'
6.48
52
Egor Kress
Egor Kress Midfielder
6.73
47
Ales Sakhonchik
Ales Sakhonchik
Midfielder86'
55
Kirill Kaplenko
Kirill Kaplenko Midfielder
6.95
24
Vladislav Yatskevich
Vladislav Yatskevich Attacker
6.22
37
Erick Puerto
Erick Puerto
Attacker46'
6.33
26
Vladislav Varaksa
Vladislav Varaksa Attacker
7.54
19
Luka Đorđević
Luka Đorđević
Attacker78'
6.65
Referee : Miloš Savović

Starting XI ▼

1
Anthony Racioppi
Anthony Racioppi Goalkeeper
6.56
5
Noé Sow
Noé Sow Defender
7.63
14
Numa Lavanchy
Numa Lavanchy Defender
7.08
17
Jan Kronig
Jan Kronig Defender
6.88
20
Nias Hefti
Nias Hefti Defender
6.42
7
Ilyas Chouaref
Ilyas Chouaref Midfielder
8.07
77
Donat Rrudhani
Donat Rrudhani
Midfielder82'
6.41
8
Baltazar
Baltazar Midfielder
7.25
13
Winsley Boteli
Winsley Boteli Midfielder
7.59
9
Josias Lukembila
Josias Lukembila
Attacker63'
6.91
19
Franck Surdez
Franck Surdez Midfielder
6.95
21
Liam Chipperfield
Liam Chipperfield
Midfielder63'
6.88
88
Ali Kabacalman
Ali Kabacalman (C) Midfielder
7.47
33
Rilind Nivokazi
Rilind Nivokazi Attacker
6.61
29
Théo Berdayes
Théo Berdayes
Attacker75'
6.79

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ales Sakhonchik → Egor Kress
9th Substitution
86'
83'
Event
Donat Rrudhani
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Erick Puerto
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
82'
82'
Event
Donat Rrudhani → Ilyas Chouaref
8th Substitution
Event
Luka Đorđević → Vladislav Varaksa
7th Substitution
78'
75'
Event
Théo Berdayes → Rilind Nivokazi
6th Substitution
Event
Nikolay Bochko → Yuriy Kovalev
5th Substitution
65'
63'
Event
Liam Chipperfield → Franck Surdez
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Josias Lukembila → Winsley Boteli
4th Substitution
Event
Victorien Angban → Egor Rusakov
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Erick Puerto → Vladislav Yatskevich
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Winsley Boteli
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Vladislav Yatskevich
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
32'
Event
Vladislav Varaksa
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
16'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Maksim Sakuta takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Attempt Attempt
Noe Sow's right-footed shot is saved.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Josias Lukembila takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
86
Attempt Attempt
Theo Berdayes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Update Update
Ales Sakhonchik is on, and Egor Kress is off.
84
Attempt Attempt
Artem Rakhmanov attempts a header but misses the shot.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Donat Rrudhani.
82
Update Update
On Donat Rrudhani, off Ylyas Chouaref.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
81
Attempt Attempt
Josias Lukembila takes a left-footed shot but misses.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Update Update
Luka Djordjevic is on, and Vladislav Varaksa is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Liam Chipperfield takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
75
Update Update
On Theo Berdayes, off Rilind Nivokazi.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Attempt Attempt
Josias Lukembila takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Attempt Attempt
Rilind Nivokazi takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
68
Attempt Attempt
Liam Chipperfield takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
65
Substitution Substitution
Nikolay Bochko is substituted off for Yuri Kovalev.
63
Update Update
Josias Lukembila comes on for Winsley Boteli.
63
Update Update
Liam Chipperfield comes on for Franck Surdez.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Ylyas Chouaref attempts a header but misses the shot.
54
Attempt Attempt
Baltazar takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
53
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Erick Puerto takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Erick Puerto comes on for Vladislav Yatskevich.
46
Update Update
Victorien Angban is on, and Egor Rusakov is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Franck Surdez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Winsley Boteli scores with a right-footed shot.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
41
Attempt Attempt
Franck Surdez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Vladislav Varaksa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Yuri Kovalev takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Yuri Kovalev takes a shot with his right foot, but it's blocked.
33
Attempt Attempt
Franck Surdez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Vladislav Yatskevich.
27
Attempt Attempt
Ali Kabacalman takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Ylyas Chouaref takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Ali Kabacalman takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Numa Lavanchy's left-footed shot is blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Nias Hefti takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Vladislav Varaksa takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vladislav Varaksa scores to make it 1-0.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
5
Attempt Attempt
Ylyas Chouaref takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ali Kabacalman with his right foot is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Vladislav Yatskevich takes a shot with his head but misses.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Milos Savovic.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: BATE 1-1 Sion. Structural assessment: Sion exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.