BATE vs AF Elbasani preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
BATE BATE
AF Elbasani AF Elbasani
KICKOFF : Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1

CONTEXT

The second leg of this Europa Conference League first qualifying round tie brings BATE and AF Elbasani together once more at the Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu. Following a 1-1 draw in the opening fixture the aggregate remains level and both sides must find a way to break the deadlock. Power scores sit level at 23.33 while form readings also match at 16.67, underlining the fine margins expected. BATE holds nominal home advantage yet the visitors showed they can compete on equal terms. Limited domestic positional data and sparse performance metrics leave room for tactical surprises. Set-piece information carries low confidence and efficiency figures are absent, shifting focus toward in-game adaptability. The contest promises a measured battle where organisation and key moments will shape progression.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Both teams enter this fixture with identical power scores of 23.33.
  • Form: The sides share matching form scores of 16.67 heading into the contest.
  • Squad: Limited information is available regarding squad compositions for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for analysis in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece statistics show low confidence with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: No specific xVariable insights are detailed for the teams.
  • Market: BATE 28.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | AF Elbasani 45.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
BATE V. Rogozhkin
V. Rogozhkin
VS
AF Elbasani I. Gvozdenovic
I. Gvozdenovic
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
AF Elbasani Rank: 45 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
BATE Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home BATE
28.08%
Draw
26.86%
Away AF Elbasani
45.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
BATE
AF Elbasani
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
BATE Opponent-weighted form score
AF Elbasani Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) BATE AF Elbasani

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

BATE BATE Home
1 matches
AF Elbasani AF Elbasani Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-14T00:04:26+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu
Capacity
10047
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniyar Sakhi
Sergey Vasyutin
Samat Tergeusizov
Georgiy Chekhovskiy

Squad

Referee : Daniyar Sakhi

Squad

16
Sokol Danila
Sokol Danila Goalkeeper
35
Arseni Skopets
Arseni Skopets Goalkeeper
33
Artem Rakhmanov
Artem Rakhmanov Defender
6
Hayk Mosahanian
Hayk Mosahanian Defender
88
Pavel Dubovskiy
Pavel Dubovskiy Defender
25
Nikita Neskoromny
Nikita Neskoromny Defender
42
Andrey Zhurin
Andrey Zhurin Defender
5
Maksim Sakuta
Maksim Sakuta Defender
7
Victorien Angban
Victorien Angban Midfielder
55
Kirill Kaplenko
Kirill Kaplenko Midfielder
17
Anton Kovalev
Anton Kovalev Midfielder
28
Ivan Mikhnyuk
Ivan Mikhnyuk Midfielder
26
Vladislav Varaksa
Vladislav Varaksa Midfielder
52
Egor Kress
Egor Kress Midfielder
15
Gleb Protasenya
Gleb Protasenya Midfielder
14
Maksim Telesh
Maksim Telesh Midfielder
11
Egor Grivenev
Egor Grivenev Midfielder
17
Platon Kolosovskiy
Platon Kolosovskiy Midfielder
10
Egor Rusakov
Egor Rusakov Midfielder
24
Vladislav Yatskevich
Vladislav Yatskevich Attacker
9
Nikolay Mirskiy
Nikolay Mirskiy Attacker
30
Anatoli Yarmolich
Anatoli Yarmolich Attacker
44
Maksim Mardas
Maksim Mardas Attacker
8
Kirill Apanasevich
Kirill Apanasevich Attacker
Referee : Daniyar Sakhi

Squad

24
Igor Aleksovski
Igor Aleksovski Goalkeeper
4
Bruno Lulaj
Bruno Lulaj Defender
77
Bledar Lila
Bledar Lila Defender
15
Yoan Epitaux
Yoan Epitaux Defender
18
Arsen Kasa
Arsen Kasa Midfielder
14
Mario Barjamaj
Mario Barjamaj Midfielder
17
Abbas Ibrahim
Abbas Ibrahim Midfielder
70
Insa Boye
Insa Boye Midfielder
32
Glenis Belloj
Glenis Belloj Midfielder
28
Ousmane Niang
Ousmane Niang Midfielder
9
Rubin Hebaj
Rubin Hebaj Attacker
22
Arsen Lleshi
Arsen Lleshi Attacker
20
Bernard Karrica
Bernard Karrica Attacker
7
Nongoh Samuel Bakia
Nongoh Samuel Bakia Attacker
10
Ardit Nikaj
Ardit Nikaj Attacker
79
Ibrahima Diallo
Ibrahima Diallo Attacker
25
Ledio Tresa
Ledio Tresa Attacker
23
Edoly Lukoki Mateso
Edoly Lukoki Mateso Attacker

CONCLUSION

With the aggregate locked at 1-1 the second leg offers both teams a fresh platform to impose their identity. BATE will aim to use the home setting to control territory and create clearer openings while AF Elbasani can draw confidence from their first-leg showing. Equal power and form indicators point to a balanced encounter where discipline and execution matter most. The lack of granular efficiency and set-piece metrics places greater weight on live adjustments and individual quality. Expect a measured tempo early as each side probes for weaknesses before committing forward. Progression will likely reward the side that manages transitions cleanly and avoids costly lapses in concentration over the ninety minutes.