Basel vs Thun preview

Switzerland flag 2026/2027 Super League, Switzerland
St. Jakob-Park Sun, 9 Aug - 2:30 PM
Super League
BaselBAS
4 2
ThunTHU
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 2:30 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Asane Sow - 4', 31'
Zan Celar - 53'
Goal
|
Goal
Brighton Labeau - 90+1'

CONTEXT

Basel defeated Thun 4-2 in a match where the home team led 2-0 at halftime. Although Thun was considered the stronger side beforehand and held a slight edge in possession with 53 percent, Basel's clinical finishing secured the win. The expected goals figures were 1.23 for Basel and 1.02 for Thun, showing a narrow advantage in chance quality. No red cards were shown to either team, keeping the contest at eleven versus eleven for the full duration. The significant deviation in performance came from Basel, who outperformed their pre-match positioning to claim all three points. This result came despite the away side's control in certain phases of play.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Basel showed significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the expected goals metrics.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Basel generated 1.23 xG compared to Thun's 1.02 xG.
  • Event impact: Basel secured a 4-2 victory over Thun.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Cibelli
L. Cibelli
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Maire
G. Maire
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. dos Santos
C. dos Santos
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Turkes
M. Turkes
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Basel S. Lichtsteiner
S. Lichtsteiner
VS
Thun G. Privitelli
G. Privitelli
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.53
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 59 L
Servette Rank: 66 W
Lugano Rank: 71 L
St. Gallen Rank: 70 L
Young Boys Rank: 70 L
Thun Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Young Boys Rank: 71 L
Luzern Rank: 63 W
St. Gallen Rank: 70 D
Young Boys Rank: 70 L
Sion Rank: 69 L
Basel Rank: 65 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.03
65.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Basel
Thun
Power Score
65.03
65.16
League Position
5
9
Global Rank
422
416

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Basel — Opponent-weighted form score
Thun — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Basel Thun

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Basel

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Thun

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Basel ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Thun
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.36
28.87
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.87
29.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Basel — Efficiency Index
vs
Thun — Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Basel
Thun
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Basel
vs
Thun
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Basel Thun
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
4%
32%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.06 vs -0.33
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Basel Thun
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
32%
4%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.33 vs -0.06
Basel
Thun
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Basel
vs
Thun
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Basel Thun
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Basel 0.33
Thun 0.54
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Basel Thun
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Basel 0.08
Thun 0.11
Basel
Thun
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BAS had peak pressure around 66'.
  • THU started the game with stronger pressure.
BAS Pressure THU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BAS reached the top pressure at 66' (84.71).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Basel BAS Home
4 matches
Thun THU Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
8
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:47:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Super League, Switzerland · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
St. Jakob-Park
Capacity
37994
Attendance
24316
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Luca Cibelli
Guillaume Maire
Claudio dos Santos
Mirel Turkes

Statistics

Possession
BAS
49%
THU
51%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 7
36 Dangerous attacks 26
47 Possession 53
2 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

86 Ball Safe 71
16 Goal Kicks 7
11 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 18
1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Assists 2
0 Injuries 1
13 Dribble Attempts 6
5 Successful Dribbles 2
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

68 Attacks 124
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

61 Long Passes 63
390 Passes 432
310 Successful Passes 346
79 Successful Passes Percentage 80
9 Key Passes 10
29 Successful Long Passes 24
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38

Defensive

0 Saves 3
13 Tackles 12
14 Interceptions 9
48 Duels Won 31

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 16
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Luca Cibelli

Starting XI ▼

13
Mirko Salvi
Mirko Salvi Goalkeeper
5.83
6
Keigo Tsunemoto
Keigo Tsunemoto Defender
6.88
24
Flavius Daniliuc
Flavius Daniliuc (C) Defender
6.44
29
Moussa Cissé
Moussa Cissé Defender
6.77
3
Nicolas Vouilloz
Nicolas Vouilloz
Defender89'
55
Akpe Victory
Akpe Victory Defender
7.07
4
Becir Omeragic
Becir Omeragic Midfielder
7.08
44
Jonas Harder
Jonas Harder
Midfielder89'
8
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
Ludwig Malachowski Thorell Midfielder
6.99
10
Xherdan Shaqiri
Xherdan Shaqiri
Midfielder60'
6.1
22
Léo Leroy
Léo Leroy Midfielder
6.48
9
Zan Celar
Zan Celar Attacker
7.42
37
Giacomo Koloto
Giacomo Koloto
Attacker75'
6.91
11
Kazeem Olaigbe
Kazeem Olaigbe Attacker
6.94
7
Philip Otele
Philip Otele
Attacker60'
6.39
18
Asane Sow
Asane Sow Attacker
2
9.66
Referee : Luca Cibelli

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Steffen
Niklas Steffen Goalkeeper
6.22
5
Nicolas Bürgy
Nicolas Bürgy Defender
6.43
19
Jan Bamert
Jan Bamert (C) Defender
5.96
37
Lucien Dähler
Lucien Dähler Defender
6.06
47
Fabio Fehr
Fabio Fehr Defender
5.84
27
Michael Heule
Michael Heule
Defender67'
6.46
8
Fabio Saiz
Fabio Saiz Midfielder
6.76
13
Nassim Zoukit
Nassim Zoukit Midfielder
6.31
16
Justin Roth
Justin Roth
Midfielder46'
6.21
21
Dorian Derbaci
Dorian Derbaci Midfielder
6.29
70
Nils Reichmuth
Nils Reichmuth Midfielder
6.57
30
Nico Maier
Nico Maier
Midfielder54'
6.73
11
Layton Stewart
Layton Stewart Attacker
7.13
96
Brighton Labeau
Brighton Labeau
Attacker74'
7.2
80
Simon Lengen
Simon Lengen Attacker
6.35
33
Marc Gutbub
Marc Gutbub
Attacker46'
6.69

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Justin Roth
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Brighton Labeau
Right foot shot / 6th Goal
Event
Jonas Harder → Becir Omeragic
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Nicolas Vouilloz → Moussa Cissé
10th Substitution
89'
Event
Léo Leroy
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
88'
Event
Xherdan Shaqiri  
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
75'
Event
Giacomo Koloto → Zan Celar
8th Substitution
75'
74'
Event
Brighton Labeau → Layton Stewart
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Layton Stewart
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
67'
Event
Michael Heule → Fabio Fehr
6th Substitution
61'
Event
Fabio Fehr
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Philip Otele → Kazeem Olaigbe
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Xherdan Shaqiri   → Ludwig Malachowski Thorell
5th Substitution
60'
54'
Event
Nico Maier → Nils Reichmuth
3rd Substitution
Event
Zan Celar
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
53'
46'
Event
Marc Gutbub → Simon Lengen
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Justin Roth → Nassim Zoukit
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Nils Reichmuth
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Asane Sow
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
31'
Event
Asane Sow
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
4'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Asane Sow takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 4-2.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Justin Roth.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Brighton Labeau takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brighton scores to make it 4-2.
89
Update Update
Nicolas Vouilloz is on, and Moussa Cisse is off.
89
Update Update
Jonas Harder is on, and Becir Omeragic is off.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Leo Leroy.
87
Attempt Attempt
Marc Gutbub takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
81
Attempt Attempt
Asane Sow takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Nico Maier takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Xherdan Shaqiri scores with a left-footed shot.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Xherdan Shaqiri scores to make it 4-1, assisted by Asane Sow.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Xherdan Shaqiri scores, making it 4-1.
74
Update Update
Giacomo Koloto comes on for Zan Celar.
73
Update Update
Brighton Labeau comes on for Layton Stewart.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
67
Substitution Substitution
Michael Heule is substituted off for Fabio Fehr.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Michael Heule comes on for Fabio Fehr.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabio Fehr receives a yellow card.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Fabio Fehr receives a yellow card.
60
Update Update
Xherdan Shaqiri is on, and Ludwig Malachowski Thorell is off.
59
Update Update
On Philip Otele, off Kazeem Aderemi Olaigbe.
55
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Nico Maier comes on for Nils Reichmuth.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Zan Celar scores with a left-footed shot.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Nico Maier is substituted for Nils Reichmuth.
52
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Nico Maier comes on for Nils Reichmuth.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Zan Celar scores, making it 3-0.
49
Attempt Attempt
Dorian Derbaci takes a right-footed shot but misses.
47
Attempt Attempt
Justin Roth takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
46
Update Update
On Marc Gutbub, off Simon Lengen.
46
Update Update
On comes Justin Roth, off goes Nassim Zoukit.
45
Attempt Attempt
Asane Sow takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
38
Attempt Attempt
Nils Reichmuth takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Nils Reichmuth.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nils Reichmuth receives a yellow card.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Asane Sow takes a right-footed shot.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Asane Sow scores, making it 2-0.
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Asane Sow Head Shot Missed
19
Attempt Attempt
Nassim Zoukit takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
16
Attempt Attempt
Layton Stewart takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Asane Sow's right-footed shot is saved.
8
Attempt Attempt
Leo Leroy takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Nils Reichmuth takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Asane Sow takes a right-footed shot.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Asane Sow scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Kazeem Aderemi Olaigbe.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Burgy takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Luca Cibelli.

CONCLUSION

The final outcome saw Basel triumph 4-2 against Thun after establishing a two-goal halftime advantage. Efficiency remained consistent with the flow of the game as both teams created opportunities in line with their xG tallies. Alignment with underlying metrics was evident since the winner matched the expected goals projection. Market expectations were also met by the result. The lack of red cards prevented any major distortions in team structure or strategy. Overall this encounter illustrated how structural elements and event impacts can lead to results that surprise initial assessments while staying true to data-driven insights from the performance.